{"ticker":"KXHURCTOTMAJ-26DEC01-T7","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will there be more than 7 major Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?","description":"If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 7 hurricanes of hurricane category 3 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":18,"bestBid":11,"bestAsk":17,"spread":6,"volume":595.02,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":455.92,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-12-02T04:59:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":216,"iyYes":1367.853402832722,"iyNo":20.895122048069602,"cri":8.091,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":2.74,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":false},"regime":{"score":0.341,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":6,"bidDepthUsd":21,"askDepthUsd":5086,"volume24h":0,"observability":"low","eventType":"weather","asPrior":0.15},"computedAt":"2026-04-30T07:36:12.595Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXHURCTOTMAJ-26DEC01-T0","connectedTitle":"Will there be more than 0 major Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?: Above 0","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXHURCTOTMAJ-26DEC01","groupLabel":"KXHURCTOTMAJ-26DEC01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHURCTOTMAJ-26DEC01-T1","connectedTitle":"Will there be more than 1 major Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?: Above 1","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXHURCTOTMAJ-26DEC01","groupLabel":"KXHURCTOTMAJ-26DEC01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHURCTOTMAJ-26DEC01-T2","connectedTitle":"Will there be more than 2 major Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?: Above 2","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXHURCTOTMAJ-26DEC01","groupLabel":"KXHURCTOTMAJ-26DEC01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHURCTOTMAJ-26DEC01-T3","connectedTitle":"Will there be more than 3 major Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?: Above 3","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXHURCTOTMAJ-26DEC01","groupLabel":"KXHURCTOTMAJ-26DEC01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHURCTOTMAJ-26DEC01-T4","connectedTitle":"Will there be more than 4 major Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?: Above 4","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXHURCTOTMAJ-26DEC01","groupLabel":"KXHURCTOTMAJ-26DEC01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHURCTOTMAJ-26DEC01-T5","connectedTitle":"Will there be more than 5 major Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?: Above 5","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXHURCTOTMAJ-26DEC01","groupLabel":"KXHURCTOTMAJ-26DEC01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHURCTOTMAJ-26DEC01-T6","connectedTitle":"Will there be more than 6 major Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?: Above 6","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXHURCTOTMAJ-26DEC01","groupLabel":"KXHURCTOTMAJ-26DEC01"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T03:22:52.498Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1240.483484977682,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T05:07:44.502Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1380.286897989025,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T05:23:11.887Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1240.921333953189,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T06:38:02.061Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1380.6523740075904,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T18:30:56.423Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1254.3459021482774,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T04:50:38.661Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1397.8366509791238,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T10:40:56.839Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1313.9092369214766,"cri":8.091}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"Low observability — insufficient data for conviction","positives":["IY 1368%","7 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 8.1"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 16c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXHURCTOTMAJ-26DEC01-T7","marketTitle":"Will there be more than 7 major Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":16},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXHURCTOTMAJ-26DEC01-T0","reason":"Will there be more than 0 major Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXHURCTOTMAJ-26DEC01-T1","reason":"Will there be more than 1 major Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXHURCTOTMAJ-26DEC01-T2","reason":"Will there be more than 2 major Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20there%20be%20more%20than%207%20major%20Atlantic%20hurricanes%20in%202026%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":4161}