{"ticker":"KXIASENATE-26-JTUR","venue":"kalshi","title":"Who will win the 2026 Iowa Senate election?","description":"If Josh Turek wins the 2026 Iowa Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":40,"bestBid":35,"bestAsk":38,"spread":3,"volume":7766.39,"volume24h":275.04,"openInterest":3440.86,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","edges":[{"thesisTitle":"Hormuz blockade disrupts fertilizer supply chains. Fertilizer prices spike, US f","thesisSlug":"fertilizer-shock-farm-crisis","thesisPrice":50,"edge":14,"direction":"yes","firstDetectedAt":"2026-07-03T06:07:44.857Z","firstDetectedPrice":41}],"indicators":{"tauDays":450,"iyYes":150.58807101282778,"iyNo":43.66163005697373,"cri":1.857,"ee":12,"eeSource":"thesis","las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":null,"hasThesis":true,"hasOrderbook":false},"regime":{"score":0.625,"label":"taker","signals":{"spreadCents":3,"bidDepthUsd":584,"askDepthUsd":440,"volume24h":275.04,"sfEdgeCents":14,"sfEdgeDirection":"yes"},"computedAt":"2026-08-10T12:07:34.325Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXIASENATE-26-AHIN","connectedTitle":"Who will win the 2026 Iowa Senate election?: Ashley Hinson","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXIASENATE-26","groupLabel":"KXIASENATE-26"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":1,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-07-11T17:16:04.578Z","priceCents":34,"iy":147.6392067956445,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T02:46:06.289Z","priceCents":35,"iy":141.3645477377204,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T03:03:05.236Z","priceCents":36,"iy":135.32671437396797,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-13T14:31:19.623Z","priceCents":35,"iy":141.80518448122316,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-24T22:02:26.769Z","priceCents":37,"iy":133.1641664870007,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-25T04:02:07.606Z","priceCents":38,"iy":127.6701423259751,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-27T01:00:58.146Z","priceCents":40,"iy":117.84761818663185,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-30T04:31:33.830Z","priceCents":41,"iy":113.82811537006748,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-30T09:01:11.269Z","priceCents":40,"iy":118.69944433483866,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-30T13:30:59.134Z","priceCents":41,"iy":113.92044940572517,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-01T21:31:18.239Z","priceCents":42,"iy":109.87940981313962,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-01T21:45:52.918Z","priceCents":43,"iy":105.47595893388217,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-03T01:45:54.104Z","priceCents":41,"iy":114.79461359258849,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T07:46:51.474Z","priceCents":42,"iy":110.70645991280914,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T15:46:41.921Z","priceCents":41,"iy":115.70064463553038,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T16:16:00.955Z","priceCents":39,"iy":125.76301548362163,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T16:31:23.758Z","priceCents":38,"iy":131.1914022847826,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T17:45:59.955Z","priceCents":36,"iy":143.2789535729576,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T18:01:39.346Z","priceCents":35,"iy":149.6789709405139,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T17:01:59.623Z","priceCents":32,"iy":171.63072701724877,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T19:31:37.953Z","priceCents":33,"iy":164.02004512077082,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-10T07:00:56.367Z","priceCents":34,"iy":157.33455282306775,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-10T07:16:29.754Z","priceCents":35,"iy":150.5272100535046,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-10T09:32:42.704Z","priceCents":36,"iy":144.12482789545916,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-10T10:16:59.479Z","priceCents":35,"iy":150.5690048705662,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-10T11:46:29.830Z","priceCents":36,"iy":144.15460482631593,"cri":1.778}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["+14c executable edge (yes)","IY 151%","1 connected markets"],"warnings":["taker regime"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 36c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXIASENATE-26-JTUR","marketTitle":"Who will win the 2026 Iowa Senate election?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":36},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXIASENATE-26-AHIN","reason":"Who will win the 2026 Iowa Senate election?: Ashley Hinson"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Who%20will%20win%20the%202026%20Iowa%20Senate%20election%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":458}