{"ticker":"KXINXMINY-01JAN2027-6100.01","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the minimum SP500 value reach below 6100.01 by Jan 1, 2027?","description":"If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending on Jan 1, 2027 is below 6100.01, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":50,"bestBid":47,"bestAsk":51,"spread":4,"volume":47691.32,"volume24h":605.44,"openInterest":22740.45,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-01-01T11:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":255,"iyYes":161.69099442594435,"iyNo":127.15393616479564,"cri":1.128,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1064,"cvr":null,"overround":1.3,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.341,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":4,"bidDepthUsd":6350,"askDepthUsd":1137,"volume24h":605.44,"observability":"low","eventType":"financial","asPrior":0.15},"computedAt":"2026-04-21T21:40:21.508Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXINXMINY-01JAN2027-6300.01","connectedTitle":"Will the minimum SP500 value reach below 6300.01 by Jan 1, 2027?: 6,300 or below","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXINXMINY-01JAN2027","groupLabel":"KXINXMINY-01JAN2027"},{"connectedTicker":"KXINXMINY-01JAN2027-6200.01","connectedTitle":"Will the minimum SP500 value reach below 6200.01 by Jan 1, 2027?: 6,200 or below","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXINXMINY-01JAN2027","groupLabel":"KXINXMINY-01JAN2027"},{"connectedTicker":"KXINXMINY-01JAN2027-6000.01","connectedTitle":"Will the minimum SP500 value reach below 6000.01 by Jan 1, 2027?: 6,000 or below","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXINXMINY-01JAN2027","groupLabel":"KXINXMINY-01JAN2027"},{"connectedTicker":"KXINXMINY-01JAN2027-5900.01","connectedTitle":"Will the minimum SP500 value reach below 5900.01 by Jan 1, 2027?: 5,900 or below","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXINXMINY-01JAN2027","groupLabel":"KXINXMINY-01JAN2027"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T20:05:35.555Z","priceCents":44,"iy":178.24559592107107,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T20:10:46.202Z","priceCents":45,"iy":171.17432836991736,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T20:20:35.695Z","priceCents":46,"iy":164.41296064616049,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T21:03:24.946Z","priceCents":47,"iy":157.95309123875154,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T21:15:37.904Z","priceCents":48,"iy":151.74948446750486,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T22:05:59.045Z","priceCents":49,"iy":145.81287918985848,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T01:55:13.562Z","priceCents":23,"iy":469.30098615825085,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T02:25:35.034Z","priceCents":22,"iy":497.04479199365056,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T02:31:27.017Z","priceCents":50,"iy":140.19427469627774,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T03:35:54.388Z","priceCents":51,"iy":145.94171488531796,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T04:50:37.034Z","priceCents":50,"iy":140.24598761992954,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T05:45:12.984Z","priceCents":51,"iy":145.99162981322408,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T06:30:52.165Z","priceCents":50,"iy":140.2837190174759,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T07:10:45.656Z","priceCents":49,"iy":146.02529959896583,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T15:55:24.747Z","priceCents":50,"iy":140.4953905964318,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T04:55:55.993Z","priceCents":51,"iy":146.53560775908997,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T05:25:36.405Z","priceCents":52,"iy":152.5338949923878,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T06:46:03.430Z","priceCents":51,"iy":146.57914281556683,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T06:55:54.666Z","priceCents":50,"iy":140.8342014893699,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T07:25:58.518Z","priceCents":51,"iy":146.59441448111838,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T08:05:15.324Z","priceCents":52,"iy":152.59923613549913,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T08:55:31.964Z","priceCents":49,"iy":146.6300607457267,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T12:05:17.999Z","priceCents":46,"iy":165.46437059317844,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T12:40:16.021Z","priceCents":45,"iy":172.29023717263783,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T13:15:16.574Z","priceCents":46,"iy":165.49568602873833,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T13:35:15.569Z","priceCents":45,"iy":172.3155258220073,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T14:05:16.810Z","priceCents":46,"iy":165.51806145515152,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T14:40:32.019Z","priceCents":47,"iy":159.01120920113087,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T14:45:15.906Z","priceCents":48,"iy":152.76253908403007,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T20:30:17.303Z","priceCents":49,"iy":146.9033577143716,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T20:45:17.604Z","priceCents":45,"iy":172.51409975139066,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T23:05:48.789Z","priceCents":49,"iy":146.96473414817774,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T23:15:27.609Z","priceCents":50,"iy":141.2052350390152,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T01:50:16.925Z","priceCents":45,"iy":172.6556459471291,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T02:00:18.139Z","priceCents":49,"iy":147.03355943248127,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T04:05:26.166Z","priceCents":45,"iy":172.71848135070587,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T04:20:15.959Z","priceCents":49,"iy":147.0887799904264,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T05:10:15.601Z","priceCents":45,"iy":172.74857832007498,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T13:00:48.033Z","priceCents":43,"iy":188.32505928098118,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T18:55:19.610Z","priceCents":46,"iy":166.93741413860803,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T22:15:18.071Z","priceCents":49,"iy":148.09046828011952,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T01:55:19.372Z","priceCents":47,"iy":160.54253667664585,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T13:00:35.296Z","priceCents":43,"iy":189.06094550646526,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T13:50:31.561Z","priceCents":44,"iy":181.5467498868442,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T14:50:52.298Z","priceCents":45,"iy":174.3711347369884,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T15:40:31.138Z","priceCents":44,"iy":181.60139737122208,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T16:30:31.057Z","priceCents":45,"iy":174.4188572198112,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T17:30:31.760Z","priceCents":44,"iy":181.65536741842126,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T19:45:33.965Z","priceCents":46,"iy":167.61330055335353,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:50:36.569Z","priceCents":47,"iy":161.67003601117526,"cri":1.128}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"Low observability — insufficient data for conviction","positives":["IY 162%","4 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 45c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXINXMINY-01JAN2027-6100.01","marketTitle":"Will the minimum SP500 value reach below 6100.01 by Jan 1, 2027?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":45},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXINXMINY-01JAN2027-6300.01","reason":"Will the minimum SP500 value reach below 6300.01 by Jan 1, 2"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXINXMINY-01JAN2027-6200.01","reason":"Will the minimum SP500 value reach below 6200.01 by Jan 1, 2"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXINXMINY-01JAN2027-6000.01","reason":"Will the minimum SP500 value reach below 6000.01 by Jan 1, 2"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20minimum%20SP500%20value%20reach%20below%206100.01%20by%20Jan%201%2C%202","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":4572}