{"ticker":"KXINXVSGOLD-26DEC31-INXTR","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will S&P 500 Total Return Index outperform Gold?","description":"If S&P 500 Total Return Index performs above Gold for the period of 2026 by 0.001% then the market resolves to Yes.","price":76,"bestBid":76,"bestAsk":78,"spread":2,"volume":11886.81,"volume24h":0.17,"openInterest":4340.52,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":144,"iyYes":80.291984183579,"iyNo":805.1501747297784,"cri":3.167,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":false},"regime":{"score":0.636,"label":"taker","signals":{"spreadCents":2,"bidDepthUsd":2142,"askDepthUsd":1158,"volume24h":0.17,"observability":"direct","eventType":"financial","asPrior":0.8},"computedAt":"2026-08-10T16:35:35.583Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXINXVSGOLD-26DEC31-GOLD","connectedTitle":"Will Gold outperform S&P 500 Total Return Index?: Gold","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXINXVSGOLD-26DEC31","groupLabel":"KXINXVSGOLD-26DEC31"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T19:31:53.903Z","priceCents":82,"iy":964.5218382181383,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T19:46:02.828Z","priceCents":81,"iy":902.6665070882145,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T20:01:31.462Z","priceCents":82,"iy":964.6393447800859,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-13T22:31:27.388Z","priceCents":81,"iy":908.5430705959325,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-14T02:45:59.368Z","priceCents":82,"iy":971.861792356029,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-14T04:45:58.752Z","priceCents":83,"iy":1042.0848163134172,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-14T06:01:00.778Z","priceCents":82,"iy":972.6292446508639,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-14T06:16:22.129Z","priceCents":83,"iy":1042.4688635764576,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-15T08:32:09.304Z","priceCents":82,"iy":978.9568434741877,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-15T08:45:58.890Z","priceCents":83,"iy":1049.2450769123134,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-15T09:01:55.647Z","priceCents":82,"iy":979.0778937754459,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-15T09:32:00.462Z","priceCents":83,"iy":1049.4428028557866,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-15T09:46:55.037Z","priceCents":82,"iy":979.256641800811,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-15T10:01:59.587Z","priceCents":83,"iy":1049.566419417758,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-15T11:00:57.589Z","priceCents":82,"iy":979.5508531878111,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-15T11:46:23.726Z","priceCents":83,"iy":1050.0178671137312,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-19T18:46:20.570Z","priceCents":82,"iy":1005.155071952714,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-22T00:16:00.268Z","priceCents":83,"iy":1091.9678814741762,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-22T18:16:02.524Z","priceCents":82,"iy":1023.581708358897,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-23T01:31:40.818Z","priceCents":83,"iy":1099.0593691591494,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-01T15:02:02.193Z","priceCents":82,"iy":1089.7672565901244,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-03T05:45:54.308Z","priceCents":81,"iy":1030.7236890041847,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-04T00:45:56.711Z","priceCents":70,"iy":567.1123659350807,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-04T03:31:35.946Z","priceCents":71,"iy":595.5049544219833,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-04T13:32:05.099Z","priceCents":70,"iy":569.1285094401824,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-04T14:15:58.778Z","priceCents":71,"iy":597.2881298116957,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-04T16:02:18.373Z","priceCents":70,"iy":569.528127556468,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-04T17:47:18.017Z","priceCents":72,"iy":627.9497869558485,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-04T20:46:27.562Z","priceCents":71,"iy":598.3719848771092,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-04T23:00:58.008Z","priceCents":72,"iy":628.8627920933666,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-04T23:31:44.894Z","priceCents":73,"iy":661.3091812150964,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T03:30:56.556Z","priceCents":74,"iy":696.9268647373583,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T04:15:59.967Z","priceCents":75,"iy":734.7513923371133,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T04:32:09.104Z","priceCents":74,"iy":697.1232888733341,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T08:16:44.141Z","priceCents":73,"iy":662.9262152797214,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T19:00:59.849Z","priceCents":74,"iy":699.9603502652386,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T00:47:13.046Z","priceCents":75,"iy":749.1021036428937,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T12:47:01.408Z","priceCents":76,"iy":793.4328699731137,"cri":3.167}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["1 connected markets"],"warnings":["taker regime","direct observability (live sports/weather)"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 68c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXINXVSGOLD-26DEC31-INXTR","marketTitle":"Will S&P 500 Total Return Index outperform Gold?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":68},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXINXVSGOLD-26DEC31-GOLD","reason":"Will Gold outperform S&P 500 Total Return Index?: Gold"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20S%26P%20500%20Total%20Return%20Index%20outperform%20Gold%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":186}