{"ticker":"KXINXY-26DEC31H1600-T9000","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the S&P 500 be above 9000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?","description":"If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 9000, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":3,"bestBid":3,"bestAsk":4,"spread":1,"volume":124577.05,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":101893.07,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-12-31T21:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":189,"iyYes":6258.971693643621,"iyNo":5.986900334019831,"cri":32.333,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.3333,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.25,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.636,"label":"taker","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":2221,"askDepthUsd":16182,"volume24h":0,"observability":"direct","eventType":"financial","asPrior":0.8},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T07:45:21.837Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXINXY-26DEC31H1600-B4100","connectedTitle":"Will the S&P 500 be between 4000 and 4199.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?: 4,000 ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXINXY-26DEC31H1600","groupLabel":"KXINXY-26DEC31H1600"},{"connectedTicker":"KXINXY-26DEC31H1600-B4300","connectedTitle":"Will the S&P 500 be between 4200 and 4399.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?: 4,200 ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXINXY-26DEC31H1600","groupLabel":"KXINXY-26DEC31H1600"},{"connectedTicker":"KXINXY-26DEC31H1600-B4500","connectedTitle":"Will the S&P 500 be between 4400 and 4599.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?: 4,400 ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXINXY-26DEC31H1600","groupLabel":"KXINXY-26DEC31H1600"},{"connectedTicker":"KXINXY-26DEC31H1600-B4700","connectedTitle":"Will the S&P 500 be between 4600 and 4799.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?: 4,600 ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXINXY-26DEC31H1600","groupLabel":"KXINXY-26DEC31H1600"},{"connectedTicker":"KXINXY-26DEC31H1600-B4900","connectedTitle":"Will the S&P 500 be between 4800 and 4999.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?: 4,800 ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXINXY-26DEC31H1600","groupLabel":"KXINXY-26DEC31H1600"},{"connectedTicker":"KXINXY-26DEC31H1600-B5100","connectedTitle":"Will the S&P 500 be between 5000 and 5199.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?: 5,000 ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXINXY-26DEC31H1600","groupLabel":"KXINXY-26DEC31H1600"},{"connectedTicker":"KXINXY-26DEC31H1600-B5300","connectedTitle":"Will the S&P 500 be between 5200 and 5399.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?: 5,200 ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXINXY-26DEC31H1600","groupLabel":"KXINXY-26DEC31H1600"},{"connectedTicker":"KXINXY-26DEC31H1600-B5500","connectedTitle":"Will the S&P 500 be between 5400 and 5599.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?: 5,400 ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXINXY-26DEC31H1600","groupLabel":"KXINXY-26DEC31H1600"},{"connectedTicker":"KXINXY-26DEC31H1600-B5700","connectedTitle":"Will the S&P 500 be between 5600 and 5799.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?: 5,600 ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXINXY-26DEC31H1600","groupLabel":"KXINXY-26DEC31H1600"},{"connectedTicker":"KXINXY-26DEC31H1600-B5900","connectedTitle":"Will the S&P 500 be between 5800 and 5999.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?: 5,800 ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXINXY-26DEC31H1600","groupLabel":"KXINXY-26DEC31H1600"},{"connectedTicker":"KXINXY-26DEC31H1600-B6100","connectedTitle":"Will the S&P 500 be between 6000 and 6199.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?: 6,000 ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXINXY-26DEC31H1600","groupLabel":"KXINXY-26DEC31H1600"},{"connectedTicker":"KXINXY-26DEC31H1600-B6300","connectedTitle":"Will the S&P 500 be between 6200 and 6399.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?: 6,200 ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXINXY-26DEC31H1600","groupLabel":"KXINXY-26DEC31H1600"},{"connectedTicker":"KXINXY-26DEC31H1600-B6500","connectedTitle":"Will the S&P 500 be between 6400 and 6599.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?: 6,400 ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXINXY-26DEC31H1600","groupLabel":"KXINXY-26DEC31H1600"},{"connectedTicker":"KXINXY-26DEC31H1600-B6700","connectedTitle":"Will the S&P 500 be between 6600 and 6799.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?: 6,600 ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXINXY-26DEC31H1600","groupLabel":"KXINXY-26DEC31H1600"},{"connectedTicker":"KXINXY-26DEC31H1600-B6900","connectedTitle":"Will the S&P 500 be between 6800 and 6999.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?: 6,800 ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXINXY-26DEC31H1600","groupLabel":"KXINXY-26DEC31H1600"},{"connectedTicker":"KXINXY-26DEC31H1600-B7100","connectedTitle":"Will the S&P 500 be between 7000 and 7199.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?: 7,000 ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXINXY-26DEC31H1600","groupLabel":"KXINXY-26DEC31H1600"},{"connectedTicker":"KXINXY-26DEC31H1600-B7300","connectedTitle":"Will the S&P 500 be between 7200 and 7399.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?: 7,200 ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXINXY-26DEC31H1600","groupLabel":"KXINXY-26DEC31H1600"},{"connectedTicker":"KXINXY-26DEC31H1600-B7500","connectedTitle":"Will the S&P 500 be between 7400 and 7599.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?: 7,400 ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXINXY-26DEC31H1600","groupLabel":"KXINXY-26DEC31H1600"},{"connectedTicker":"KXINXY-26DEC31H1600-B7700","connectedTitle":"Will the S&P 500 be between 7600 and 7799.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?: 7,600 ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXINXY-26DEC31H1600","groupLabel":"KXINXY-26DEC31H1600"},{"connectedTicker":"KXINXY-26DEC31H1600-B7900","connectedTitle":"Will the S&P 500 be between 7800 and 7999.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?: 7,800 ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXINXY-26DEC31H1600","groupLabel":"KXINXY-26DEC31H1600"},{"connectedTicker":"KXINXY-26DEC31H1600-B8100","connectedTitle":"Will the S&P 500 be between 8000 and 8199.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?: 8,000 ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXINXY-26DEC31H1600","groupLabel":"KXINXY-26DEC31H1600"},{"connectedTicker":"KXINXY-26DEC31H1600-B8300","connectedTitle":"Will the S&P 500 be between 8200 and 8399.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?: 8,200 ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXINXY-26DEC31H1600","groupLabel":"KXINXY-26DEC31H1600"},{"connectedTicker":"KXINXY-26DEC31H1600-B8500","connectedTitle":"Will the S&P 500 be between 8400 and 8599.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?: 8,400 ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXINXY-26DEC31H1600","groupLabel":"KXINXY-26DEC31H1600"},{"connectedTicker":"KXINXY-26DEC31H1600-B8700","connectedTitle":"Will the S&P 500 be between 8600 and 8799.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?: 8,600 ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXINXY-26DEC31H1600","groupLabel":"KXINXY-26DEC31H1600"},{"connectedTicker":"KXINXY-26DEC31H1600-B8900","connectedTitle":"Will the S&P 500 be between 8800 and 9000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?: 8,800 to ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXINXY-26DEC31H1600","groupLabel":"KXINXY-26DEC31H1600"},{"connectedTicker":"KXINXY-26DEC31H1600-T4000","connectedTitle":"Will the S&P 500 be below 4000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?: 3,999.99 or below","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXINXY-26DEC31H1600","groupLabel":"KXINXY-26DEC31H1600"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T15:00:26.912Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2694.1499803690613,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T18:31:05.757Z","priceCents":4,"iy":4130.068881628265,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T19:00:55.865Z","priceCents":5,"iy":3269.946200308369,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T19:45:30.739Z","priceCents":4,"iy":4131.0621922924565,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T20:00:49.715Z","priceCents":5,"iy":3270.5938945769917,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T20:15:27.044Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2696.9326812274303,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T21:15:27.645Z","priceCents":4,"iy":4132.289882965625,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T12:15:35.413Z","priceCents":5,"iy":3281.0696239662375,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T16:30:44.829Z","priceCents":4,"iy":4147.982593625555,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T17:00:48.843Z","priceCents":5,"iy":3284.146122008278,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T20:15:26.268Z","priceCents":4,"iy":4151.048898029199,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T15:15:43.250Z","priceCents":5,"iy":3298.626800926564,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T04:15:23.940Z","priceCents":4,"iy":4177.436122423675,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T17:15:54.530Z","priceCents":5,"iy":3315.706936449348,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T17:30:25.394Z","priceCents":4,"iy":4188.46164880036,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T17:45:43.291Z","priceCents":5,"iy":3316.03987854735,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T18:00:24.191Z","priceCents":4,"iy":4188.882247459653,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T19:15:41.725Z","priceCents":5,"iy":3317.0391061452506,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T19:45:26.423Z","priceCents":4,"iy":4190.344985936513,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T03:31:26.586Z","priceCents":3,"iy":5681.307607384015,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-08T17:00:28.953Z","priceCents":2,"iy":8675.048262080072,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-08T21:46:42.456Z","priceCents":1,"iy":17543.987415520856,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-08T23:01:07.094Z","priceCents":2,"iy":8685.580527982285,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T13:45:38.731Z","priceCents":3,"iy":5748.442132403322,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T14:30:55.632Z","priceCents":2,"iy":8712.914697715203,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T14:15:50.633Z","priceCents":3,"iy":5777.172946415314,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T12:30:34.724Z","priceCents":2,"iy":8838.471194046078,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T15:01:24.602Z","priceCents":3,"iy":5835.2163257502725,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T16:01:10.683Z","priceCents":2,"iy":8844.852824814054,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T21:16:00.183Z","priceCents":1,"iy":17889.58804687384,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-13T13:01:32.637Z","priceCents":4,"iy":4351.022192199948,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-13T13:15:31.665Z","priceCents":3,"iy":5862.0558339914805,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-13T14:01:13.104Z","priceCents":4,"iy":4351.908431077395,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T11:15:32.319Z","priceCents":5,"iy":3477.829152583171,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T17:16:12.590Z","priceCents":4,"iy":4398.584017473827,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T21:15:46.352Z","priceCents":3,"iy":5930.813596061424,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T12:15:30.832Z","priceCents":4,"iy":4416.123893448407,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T14:30:43.965Z","priceCents":3,"iy":5952.320909197895,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T15:01:27.888Z","priceCents":4,"iy":4418.685592361122,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-17T09:30:44.849Z","priceCents":5,"iy":3511.765808009965,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-17T13:45:58.071Z","priceCents":4,"iy":4439.916675536364,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T02:45:54.854Z","priceCents":3,"iy":6028.640512191801,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T23:45:34.134Z","priceCents":4,"iy":4494.9585653077465,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T02:01:49.693Z","priceCents":3,"iy":6058.66146448312,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T05:15:37.418Z","priceCents":4,"iy":4500.246588854184,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T14:45:33.140Z","priceCents":3,"iy":6075.191324341948,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T21:00:35.281Z","priceCents":4,"iy":4515.463917525773,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T22:31:01.454Z","priceCents":3,"iy":6116.849887096134,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T00:30:58.449Z","priceCents":4,"iy":4542.319797980845,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T15:02:37.526Z","priceCents":3,"iy":6170.870632198333,"cri":32.333}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 6259%","26 connected markets"],"warnings":["taker regime","cliff risk 32.3","illiquid (LAS 0.33)","direct observability (live sports/weather)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXINXY-26DEC31H1600-B4100","reason":"Will the S&P 500 be between 4000 and 4199.99 on Dec 31, 2026"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXINXY-26DEC31H1600-B4300","reason":"Will the S&P 500 be between 4200 and 4399.99 on Dec 31, 2026"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXINXY-26DEC31H1600-B4500","reason":"Will the S&P 500 be between 4400 and 4599.99 on Dec 31, 2026"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20S%26P%20500%20be%20above%209000%20on%20Dec%2031%2C%202026%20at%204pm%20EST%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":124}