{"ticker":"KXIRANCRUDE-26JUL13-T2.2","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Iran’s average daily crude oil production for June 2026 be at least 2.2M bpd?","description":"If the Iran’s average daily crude oil production for June 2026 is at least 2.2M bpd (million barrels per day), as reported in the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published after the reference month, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":51,"bestBid":36,"bestAsk":42,"spread":6,"volume":65.73,"volume24h":62.72,"openInterest":29.36,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-07-13T07:59:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":24,"iyYes":2716.2664359700657,"iyNo":859.4436770061534,"cri":1.778,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1667,"cvr":null,"overround":2.32,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":6,"bidDepthUsd":2389,"askDepthUsd":122,"volume24h":62.72},"computedAt":"2026-06-19T10:48:06.495Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXIRANCRUDE-26JUL13-T1.6","connectedTitle":"Will Iran’s average daily crude oil production for June 2026 be at least 1.6M bp","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXIRANCRUDE-26JUL13","groupLabel":"KXIRANCRUDE-26JUL13"},{"connectedTicker":"KXIRANCRUDE-26JUL13-T1.8","connectedTitle":"Will Iran’s average daily crude oil production for June 2026 be at least 1.8M bp","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXIRANCRUDE-26JUL13","groupLabel":"KXIRANCRUDE-26JUL13"},{"connectedTicker":"KXIRANCRUDE-26JUL13-T2.0","connectedTitle":"Will Iran’s average daily crude oil production for June 2026 be at least 2.0M bp","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXIRANCRUDE-26JUL13","groupLabel":"KXIRANCRUDE-26JUL13"},{"connectedTicker":"KXIRANCRUDE-26JUL13-T2.4","connectedTitle":"Will Iran’s average daily crude oil production for June 2026 be at least 2.4M bp","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXIRANCRUDE-26JUL13","groupLabel":"KXIRANCRUDE-26JUL13"},{"connectedTicker":"KXIRANCRUDE-26JUL13-T2.6","connectedTitle":"Will Iran’s average daily crude oil production for June 2026 be at least 2.6M bp","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXIRANCRUDE-26JUL13","groupLabel":"KXIRANCRUDE-26JUL13"},{"connectedTicker":"KXIRANCRUDE-26JUL13-T2.8","connectedTitle":"Will Iran’s average daily crude oil production for June 2026 be at least 2.8M bp","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXIRANCRUDE-26JUL13","groupLabel":"KXIRANCRUDE-26JUL13"},{"connectedTicker":"KXIRANCRUDE-26JUL13-T3.0","connectedTitle":"Will Iran’s average daily crude oil production for June 2026 be at least 3.0M bp","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXIRANCRUDE-26JUL13","groupLabel":"KXIRANCRUDE-26JUL13"},{"connectedTicker":"KXIRANCRUDE-26JUL13-T3.2","connectedTitle":"Will Iran’s average daily crude oil production for June 2026 be at least 3.2M bp","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXIRANCRUDE-26JUL13","groupLabel":"KXIRANCRUDE-26JUL13"},{"connectedTicker":"KXIRANCRUDE-26JUL13-T3.4","connectedTitle":"Will Iran’s average daily crude oil production for June 2026 be at least 3.4M bp","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXIRANCRUDE-26JUL13","groupLabel":"KXIRANCRUDE-26JUL13"},{"connectedTicker":"KXIRANCRUDE-26JUL13-T3.6","connectedTitle":"Will Iran’s average daily crude oil production for June 2026 be at least 3.6M bp","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXIRANCRUDE-26JUL13","groupLabel":"KXIRANCRUDE-26JUL13"},{"connectedTicker":"KXIRANCRUDE-26JUL13-T3.8","connectedTitle":"Will Iran’s average daily crude oil production for June 2026 be at least 3.8M bp","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXIRANCRUDE-26JUL13","groupLabel":"KXIRANCRUDE-26JUL13"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-06-17T19:01:36.565Z","priceCents":49,"iy":1487.4626436322378,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-17T19:45:45.768Z","priceCents":25,"iy":4292.602610843232,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-17T20:01:22.577Z","priceCents":17,"iy":6989.014132596327,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-17T20:15:50.714Z","priceCents":19,"iy":6105.040142729706,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-17T20:31:32.313Z","priceCents":23,"iy":4796.312445496449,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-17T20:45:47.679Z","priceCents":36,"iy":2547.8596234054066,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-17T21:15:45.470Z","priceCents":35,"iy":2663.799830459948,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-17T21:31:43.655Z","priceCents":36,"iy":2551.0649822648566,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-17T22:00:47.514Z","priceCents":33,"iy":2915.839488729514,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-17T22:16:02.921Z","priceCents":27,"iy":3884.4788500368104,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T00:00:47.713Z","priceCents":28,"iy":3705.082222372606,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T00:16:14.790Z","priceCents":29,"iy":3529.1682384391315,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T00:30:54.433Z","priceCents":30,"iy":3364.808449554212,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T01:16:15.949Z","priceCents":31,"iy":3213.6841567986926,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T02:16:05.865Z","priceCents":46,"iy":1697.7504591075572,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T03:00:43.779Z","priceCents":45,"iy":1769.7905784548382,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T03:30:38.687Z","priceCents":46,"iy":1701.255701062357,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T03:46:02.614Z","priceCents":49,"iy":1508.9686971070603,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T06:01:37.616Z","priceCents":45,"iy":1778.610601670964,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T06:15:39.526Z","priceCents":46,"iy":1708.99114896923,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T09:45:38.693Z","priceCents":47,"iy":1651.2707401141422,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T11:00:37.538Z","priceCents":48,"iy":1589.678647047788,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T13:31:16.366Z","priceCents":46,"iy":1729.8972944792492,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T16:15:43.782Z","priceCents":50,"iy":1480.429933076455,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T16:30:33.582Z","priceCents":46,"iy":1738.6011802376356,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T18:30:34.365Z","priceCents":45,"iy":1816.3393636704984,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T20:45:38.022Z","priceCents":35,"iy":2770.3823069198256,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T21:00:34.829Z","priceCents":37,"iy":2541.139495794605,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T22:45:33.426Z","priceCents":40,"iy":2245.324803149606,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T23:02:01.320Z","priceCents":41,"iy":2155.023601686393,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T23:15:33.142Z","priceCents":47,"iy":1689.3603048795399,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T23:30:44.244Z","priceCents":41,"iy":2156.7934235577736,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T02:45:54.854Z","priceCents":39,"iy":2357.4242717819543,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T03:01:07.147Z","priceCents":35,"iy":2800.252583373169,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T03:15:34.190Z","priceCents":36,"iy":2681.691486088726,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T04:31:00.352Z","priceCents":27,"iy":4087.3585646614138,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T05:15:34.531Z","priceCents":36,"iy":2691.0334213448723,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T05:30:47.305Z","priceCents":45,"iy":1850.8530519483515,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T05:45:32.865Z","priceCents":39,"iy":2369.557281772448,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T06:45:49.126Z","priceCents":38,"iy":2476.097940998186,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T07:16:04.686Z","priceCents":35,"iy":2820.878663575293,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T07:30:34.391Z","priceCents":36,"iy":2701.452493292627,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T08:00:34.075Z","priceCents":37,"iy":2589.6349284823805,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T08:15:38.146Z","priceCents":51,"iy":1583.7000132719422,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T08:30:32.446Z","priceCents":52,"iy":1649.0811021213894,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T08:45:42.326Z","priceCents":53,"iy":1717.2719654574898,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T09:00:32.470Z","priceCents":43,"iy":2019.6068343378788,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T09:16:21.483Z","priceCents":36,"iy":2709.8007554033616,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T10:16:34.149Z","priceCents":44,"iy":1943.3795789217477,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T10:31:42.682Z","priceCents":36,"iy":2715.698036699125,"cri":1.778}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 2716%","11 connected markets"],"warnings":["illiquid (LAS 0.17)"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 46c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXIRANCRUDE-26JUL13-T2.2","marketTitle":"Will Iran’s average daily crude oil production for June 2026 be at least 2.2M bpd?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":46},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXIRANCRUDE-26JUL13-T1.6","reason":"Will Iran’s average daily crude oil production for June 2026"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXIRANCRUDE-26JUL13-T1.8","reason":"Will Iran’s average daily crude oil production for June 2026"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXIRANCRUDE-26JUL13-T2.0","reason":"Will Iran’s average daily crude oil production for June 2026"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Iran%E2%80%99s%20average%20daily%20crude%20oil%20production%20for%20June%202026","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":121}