{"ticker":"KXISRAELPM-26OCT27-ALIE","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Avigdor Lieberman become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?","description":"If Avigdor Lieberman becomes Prime Minister of Israel as a result of government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election and meets all constitutional requirements before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":10,"bestBid":6,"bestAsk":10,"spread":4,"volume":5378.91,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":4318.31,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-10-27T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":444,"iyYes":1289.1410811050469,"iyNo":5.252272399250982,"cri":15.667,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.6667,"cvr":null,"overround":0.06,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.477,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":4,"bidDepthUsd":1307,"askDepthUsd":4320,"volume24h":0,"observability":"medium","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.45},"computedAt":"2026-08-10T00:22:53.947Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXISRAELPM-26OCT27-ASHA","connectedTitle":"Will Ayelet Shaked become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli le","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXISRAELPM-26OCT27","groupLabel":"KXISRAELPM-26OCT27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXISRAELPM-26OCT27-BGAN","connectedTitle":"Will Benny Gantz become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legi","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXISRAELPM-26OCT27","groupLabel":"KXISRAELPM-26OCT27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXISRAELPM-26OCT27-BNET","connectedTitle":"Will Benjamin Netanyahu become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israe","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXISRAELPM-26OCT27","groupLabel":"KXISRAELPM-26OCT27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXISRAELPM-26OCT27-GEIZ","connectedTitle":"Will Gadi Eizenkot become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli le","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXISRAELPM-26OCT27","groupLabel":"KXISRAELPM-26OCT27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXISRAELPM-26OCT27-GSAA","connectedTitle":"Will Gideon Sa'ar become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli leg","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXISRAELPM-26OCT27","groupLabel":"KXISRAELPM-26OCT27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXISRAELPM-26OCT27-IGVI","connectedTitle":"Will Itamar Ben Gvir become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXISRAELPM-26OCT27","groupLabel":"KXISRAELPM-26OCT27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXISRAELPM-26OCT27-NBEN","connectedTitle":"Will Naftali Bennett become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXISRAELPM-26OCT27","groupLabel":"KXISRAELPM-26OCT27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXISRAELPM-26OCT27-YCOH","connectedTitle":"Will Yossi Cohen become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legi","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXISRAELPM-26OCT27","groupLabel":"KXISRAELPM-26OCT27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXISRAELPM-26OCT27-YEDE","connectedTitle":"Will Yuli Edelstein become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli l","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXISRAELPM-26OCT27","groupLabel":"KXISRAELPM-26OCT27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXISRAELPM-26OCT27-YLAP","connectedTitle":"Will Yair Lapid become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legis","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXISRAELPM-26OCT27","groupLabel":"KXISRAELPM-26OCT27"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-08-01T22:45:53.635Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3960.056240105395,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-04T15:31:42.260Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2628.8082636871773,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-04T16:47:34.781Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1951.506402544978,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-04T20:46:26.069Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2630.0854137045244,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T19:17:15.379Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1956.3178346509449,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T19:30:59.025Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2635.653721032376,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T10:02:07.649Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1963.399190882297,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T12:31:06.162Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2645.745808131306,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T12:45:55.030Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1963.9009889003723,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T15:47:21.182Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2646.558651492217,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T17:45:53.832Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1558.9769873865607,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T18:01:17.821Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1969.2827854111215,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-09T00:01:17.366Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1559.8922133599647,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-09T10:30:55.532Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1972.3288565671123,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-09T11:17:35.439Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1561.5395180956195,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-09T13:31:48.904Z","priceCents":6,"iy":1287.8549014308667,"cri":15.667}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 1289%","10 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 15.7","illiquid (LAS 0.67)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXISRAELPM-26OCT27-ASHA","reason":"Will Ayelet Shaked become Prime Minister of Israel following"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXISRAELPM-26OCT27-BGAN","reason":"Will Benny Gantz become Prime Minister of Israel following t"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXISRAELPM-26OCT27-BNET","reason":"Will Benjamin Netanyahu become Prime Minister of Israel foll"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Avigdor%20Lieberman%20become%20Prime%20Minister%20of%20Israel%20follo","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":211}