{"ticker":"KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLEAO-CFC","venue":"kalshi","title":"Where will Rafael Leao go next?","description":"If Rafael Leao's next club is Chelsea before Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":17,"bestBid":0,"bestAsk":97,"spread":97,"volume":40,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":40,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-10-09T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":105,"iyYes":1698.6386780503587,"iyNo":71.25948293751688,"cri":4.882,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":5.7059,"cvr":null,"overround":0.08,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":97,"bidDepthUsd":0,"askDepthUsd":115,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T16:22:45.857Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLEAO-RMA","connectedTitle":"Where will Rafael Leao go next?: Real Madrid","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLEAO","groupLabel":"KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLEAO"},{"connectedTicker":"KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLEAO-TOT","connectedTitle":"Where will Rafael Leao go next?: Tottenham","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLEAO","groupLabel":"KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLEAO"},{"connectedTicker":"KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLEAO-ARS","connectedTitle":"Where will Rafael Leao go next?: Arsenal","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLEAO","groupLabel":"KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLEAO"},{"connectedTicker":"KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLEAO-BMU","connectedTitle":"Where will Rafael Leao go next?: Bayern Munich","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLEAO","groupLabel":"KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLEAO"},{"connectedTicker":"KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLEAO-NEW","connectedTitle":"Where will Rafael Leao go next?: Newcastle","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLEAO","groupLabel":"KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLEAO"},{"connectedTicker":"KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLEAO-ATM","connectedTitle":"Where will Rafael Leao go next?: Atletico","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLEAO","groupLabel":"KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLEAO"},{"connectedTicker":"KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLEAO-MUN","connectedTitle":"Where will Rafael Leao go next?: Manchester United","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLEAO","groupLabel":"KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLEAO"},{"connectedTicker":"KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLEAO-BAR","connectedTitle":"Where will Rafael Leao go next?: Barcelona","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLEAO","groupLabel":"KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLEAO"},{"connectedTicker":"KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLEAO-ACM","connectedTitle":"Where will Rafael Leao go next?: AC Milan","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLEAO","groupLabel":"KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLEAO"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T02:45:48.459Z","priceCents":6,"iy":4707.6870725897625,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T12:00:43.778Z","priceCents":7,"iy":4004.926962732765,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T03:31:12.230Z","priceCents":8,"iy":3514.405083851738,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T16:45:36.317Z","priceCents":7,"iy":4078.9718755820436,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-13T23:16:34.324Z","priceCents":6,"iy":4861.990879693004,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T20:30:55.238Z","priceCents":7,"iy":4226.730568806242,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T13:30:40.430Z","priceCents":6,"iy":5150.723593346544,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T13:45:34.310Z","priceCents":1,"iy":32551.12152058373,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T15:00:50.756Z","priceCents":17,"iy":1606.0661002626323,"cri":4.882}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 1699%","9 connected markets"],"warnings":["illiquid (LAS 5.71)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLEAO-RMA","reason":"Where will Rafael Leao go next?: Real Madrid"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLEAO-TOT","reason":"Where will Rafael Leao go next?: Tottenham"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLEAO-ARS","reason":"Where will Rafael Leao go next?: Arsenal"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Where%20will%20Rafael%20Leao%20go%20next%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":131}