{"ticker":"KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLEAO-MUN","venue":"kalshi","title":"Where will Rafael Leao go next?","description":"If Rafael Leao's next club is Manchester United before Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":12,"bestBid":4,"bestAsk":96,"spread":92,"volume":317.08,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":205.18,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-10-09T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":105,"iyYes":8349.9347065608,"iyNo":14.4964144211125,"cri":24,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":23,"cvr":null,"overround":0.08,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":92,"bidDepthUsd":5,"askDepthUsd":125,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T16:22:52.361Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLEAO-RMA","connectedTitle":"Where will Rafael Leao go next?: Real Madrid","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLEAO","groupLabel":"KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLEAO"},{"connectedTicker":"KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLEAO-TOT","connectedTitle":"Where will Rafael Leao go next?: Tottenham","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLEAO","groupLabel":"KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLEAO"},{"connectedTicker":"KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLEAO-ARS","connectedTitle":"Where will Rafael Leao go next?: Arsenal","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLEAO","groupLabel":"KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLEAO"},{"connectedTicker":"KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLEAO-BMU","connectedTitle":"Where will Rafael Leao go next?: Bayern Munich","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLEAO","groupLabel":"KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLEAO"},{"connectedTicker":"KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLEAO-CFC","connectedTitle":"Where will Rafael Leao go next?: Chelsea","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLEAO","groupLabel":"KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLEAO"},{"connectedTicker":"KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLEAO-NEW","connectedTitle":"Where will Rafael Leao go next?: Newcastle","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLEAO","groupLabel":"KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLEAO"},{"connectedTicker":"KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLEAO-ATM","connectedTitle":"Where will Rafael Leao go next?: Atletico","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLEAO","groupLabel":"KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLEAO"},{"connectedTicker":"KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLEAO-BAR","connectedTitle":"Where will Rafael Leao go next?: Barcelona","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLEAO","groupLabel":"KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLEAO"},{"connectedTicker":"KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLEAO-ACM","connectedTitle":"Where will Rafael Leao go next?: AC Milan","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLEAO","groupLabel":"KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLEAO"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T12:45:32.355Z","priceCents":7,"iy":3847.051783617644,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T12:00:43.778Z","priceCents":2,"iy":14770.859658250953,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-13T23:16:34.324Z","priceCents":1,"iy":30723.644495081327,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T06:15:39.526Z","priceCents":3,"iy":10414.276721789827,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T09:45:38.693Z","priceCents":4,"iy":7740.088533889394,"cri":24}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 8350%","9 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 24.0","illiquid (LAS 23.00)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLEAO-RMA","reason":"Where will Rafael Leao go next?: Real Madrid"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLEAO-TOT","reason":"Where will Rafael Leao go next?: Tottenham"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLEAO-ARS","reason":"Where will Rafael Leao go next?: Arsenal"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Where%20will%20Rafael%20Leao%20go%20next%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":139}