{"ticker":"KXKRAKENBANKPUBLIC-27JAN01-CITI","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Citigroup take Kraken public before Jan 1, 2027?","description":"If Citigroup serves as a lead underwriter for Kraken's initial public offering in the United States before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":55,"bestBid":50,"bestAsk":60,"spread":10,"volume":28307.24,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":12160.24,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":237,"iyYes":154.07344871253693,"iyNo":154.07344871253693,"cri":1,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.2,"cvr":null,"overround":1.79,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":10,"bidDepthUsd":611,"askDepthUsd":588,"volume24h":0,"observability":"medium","eventType":"financial","asPrior":0.5},"computedAt":"2026-05-09T07:27:02.929Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXKRAKENBANKPUBLIC-27JAN01-GS","connectedTitle":"Will Goldman Sachs take Kraken public before Jan 1, 2027?: Goldman Sachs","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXKRAKENBANKPUBLIC-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXKRAKENBANKPUBLIC-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXKRAKENBANKPUBLIC-27JAN01-MS","connectedTitle":"Will Morgan Stanley take Kraken public before Jan 1, 2027?: Morgan Stanley","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXKRAKENBANKPUBLIC-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXKRAKENBANKPUBLIC-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXKRAKENBANKPUBLIC-27JAN01-JPM","connectedTitle":"Will JPMorgan Chase take Kraken public before Jan 1, 2027?: JPMorgan Chase","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXKRAKENBANKPUBLIC-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXKRAKENBANKPUBLIC-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXKRAKENBANKPUBLIC-27JAN01-BOA","connectedTitle":"Will Bank of America take Kraken public before Jan 1, 2027?: Bank of America","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXKRAKENBANKPUBLIC-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXKRAKENBANKPUBLIC-27JAN01"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T08:00:54.983Z","priceCents":14,"iy":843.3103113289967,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T08:16:45.326Z","priceCents":17,"iy":670.2921517960045,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T08:27:07.641Z","priceCents":21,"iy":516.482758682454,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T08:30:54.193Z","priceCents":16,"iy":720.7930698543931,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T08:35:53.750Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1578.9038138191231,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T08:40:57.963Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1388.2306130449795,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T08:55:53.466Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1110.9078255992697,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T09:15:54.931Z","priceCents":13,"iy":918.9202954203595,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T09:30:53.757Z","priceCents":15,"iy":778.1217983203605,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T09:50:55.928Z","priceCents":17,"iy":670.458591906384,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T10:10:54.018Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2151.5045481965863,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T10:31:09.133Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1579.3790848443573,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T10:45:53.755Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1388.6850701408252,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T11:11:36.349Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1111.300784666957,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T11:25:53.795Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1388.8313954922671,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T11:46:11.391Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1824.9813577173136,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T11:50:39.481Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1388.9202509297802,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T12:10:43.986Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1236.356793375988,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T12:25:56.300Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1007.4397480773333,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T12:46:07.017Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1389.1189100842967,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T13:55:52.645Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1111.7777252244005,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T14:30:49.776Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1389.5007042674804,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T14:55:35.048Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1825.8815277483425,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T15:00:58.344Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1389.6105743444798,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T15:05:54.236Z","priceCents":35,"iy":255.23747843660186,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T15:50:46.195Z","priceCents":37,"iy":234.04010833731368,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T18:11:10.984Z","priceCents":36,"iy":244.44863020866038,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T18:50:27.710Z","priceCents":37,"iy":234.1494469154845,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T18:55:27.649Z","priceCents":36,"iy":244.47718094367357,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T19:45:52.908Z","priceCents":37,"iy":234.18385678356134,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T19:51:02.760Z","priceCents":36,"iy":244.51218771837057,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T21:10:47.616Z","priceCents":35,"iy":255.48182148577894,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T21:25:35.728Z","priceCents":36,"iy":244.5730127919224,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T22:21:22.707Z","priceCents":35,"iy":255.52901237094306,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T02:40:30.062Z","priceCents":29,"iy":337.09323779128033,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T19:15:44.992Z","priceCents":34,"iy":271.04661799303983,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T19:21:13.030Z","priceCents":39,"iy":218.39910172395514,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T19:25:13.289Z","priceCents":46,"iy":163.9179568587232,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T19:40:43.792Z","priceCents":45,"iy":170.67008091844738,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T02:20:59.536Z","priceCents":46,"iy":164.0987556468788,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T05:05:38.134Z","priceCents":47,"iy":157.7025401562678,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T05:10:32.050Z","priceCents":46,"iy":164.1729481629955,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T01:20:35.209Z","priceCents":47,"iy":158.21356156433592,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T09:35:31.683Z","priceCents":48,"iy":153.97365606471246,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T01:40:51.444Z","priceCents":49,"iy":148.89901119538192,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T01:50:32.076Z","priceCents":50,"iy":143.06375940203267,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T02:10:32.124Z","priceCents":49,"iy":148.91126784325368,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T15:25:27.446Z","priceCents":55,"iy":175.24448023534705,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T17:55:49.277Z","priceCents":51,"iy":157.33305137627752,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T07:15:54.081Z","priceCents":50,"iy":152.7803938804127,"cri":1}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 154%","4 connected markets"],"warnings":["illiquid (LAS 0.20)"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 50c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXKRAKENBANKPUBLIC-27JAN01-CITI","marketTitle":"Will Citigroup take Kraken public before Jan 1, 2027?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":50},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXKRAKENBANKPUBLIC-27JAN01-GS","reason":"Will Goldman Sachs take Kraken public before Jan 1, 2027?: G"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXKRAKENBANKPUBLIC-27JAN01-MS","reason":"Will Morgan Stanley take Kraken public before Jan 1, 2027?: "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXKRAKENBANKPUBLIC-27JAN01-JPM","reason":"Will JPMorgan Chase take Kraken public before Jan 1, 2027?: "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Citigroup%20take%20Kraken%20public%20before%20Jan%201%2C%202027%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":487}