{"ticker":"KXKRAKENBANKPUBLIC-27JAN01-CITI","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Citigroup take Kraken public before Jan 1, 2027?","description":"If Citigroup serves as a lead underwriter for Kraken's initial public offering in the United States before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":44,"bestBid":24,"bestAsk":33,"spread":9,"volume":30533.06,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":11160.25,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":185,"iyYes":624.3765238028358,"iyNo":62.26469489446561,"cri":3.167,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":0.15,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":false},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":9,"bidDepthUsd":2140,"askDepthUsd":6115,"volume24h":0,"observability":"medium","eventType":"financial","asPrior":0.5},"computedAt":"2026-06-30T02:29:35.250Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXKRAKENBANKPUBLIC-27JAN01-BOA","connectedTitle":"Will Bank of America take Kraken public before Jan 1, 2027?: Bank of America","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXKRAKENBANKPUBLIC-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXKRAKENBANKPUBLIC-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXKRAKENBANKPUBLIC-27JAN01-GS","connectedTitle":"Will Goldman Sachs take Kraken public before Jan 1, 2027?: Goldman Sachs","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXKRAKENBANKPUBLIC-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXKRAKENBANKPUBLIC-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXKRAKENBANKPUBLIC-27JAN01-JPM","connectedTitle":"Will JPMorgan Chase take Kraken public before Jan 1, 2027?: JPMorgan Chase","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXKRAKENBANKPUBLIC-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXKRAKENBANKPUBLIC-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXKRAKENBANKPUBLIC-27JAN01-MS","connectedTitle":"Will Morgan Stanley take Kraken public before Jan 1, 2027?: Morgan Stanley","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXKRAKENBANKPUBLIC-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXKRAKENBANKPUBLIC-27JAN01"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T14:15:50.633Z","priceCents":39,"iy":279.01327672114473,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T14:45:58.109Z","priceCents":38,"iy":291.0799619679526,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T15:15:51.768Z","priceCents":39,"iy":279.06919612529373,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T11:01:04.740Z","priceCents":38,"iy":293.7258954616169,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T11:15:35.552Z","priceCents":39,"iy":281.59370019307477,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T12:15:54.683Z","priceCents":38,"iy":293.8012480645859,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T12:30:34.724Z","priceCents":39,"iy":281.6659443165467,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T15:01:24.602Z","priceCents":38,"iy":293.9680306194399,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T15:15:33.420Z","priceCents":39,"iy":281.8244554516102,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T11:00:37.538Z","priceCents":38,"iy":302.6832745220934,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T11:15:49.513Z","priceCents":39,"iy":290.1815795105348,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T14:30:35.912Z","priceCents":38,"iy":302.9080511434076,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T14:46:05.061Z","priceCents":39,"iy":290.39708426458645,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T10:01:06.434Z","priceCents":40,"iy":282.5223179730636,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T13:15:59.034Z","priceCents":36,"iy":335.0746889514285,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T03:01:27.093Z","priceCents":40,"iy":283.5582809376327,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T03:16:03.361Z","priceCents":39,"iy":295.6930020031159,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T03:30:57.852Z","priceCents":36,"iy":336.105629251319,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T03:46:04.346Z","priceCents":38,"iy":308.4813421269373,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T04:01:01.493Z","priceCents":40,"iy":283.6199751346871,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T04:15:55.690Z","priceCents":36,"iy":336.1596067393094,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T04:45:53.712Z","priceCents":38,"iy":308.5484696514016,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T05:01:03.290Z","priceCents":39,"iy":295.8033129173912,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T05:15:55.731Z","priceCents":40,"iy":283.69639563081637,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T05:45:56.391Z","priceCents":38,"iy":308.61562639698684,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T06:15:59.106Z","priceCents":36,"iy":336.30421249819324,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T07:15:58.556Z","priceCents":40,"iy":283.8184598636634,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T07:30:55.243Z","priceCents":36,"iy":336.39487228227216,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T07:46:03.256Z","priceCents":37,"iy":322.20738189092225,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T08:00:56.206Z","priceCents":39,"iy":295.99502053020933,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T08:16:03.252Z","priceCents":40,"iy":283.88026734002887,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T08:31:07.763Z","priceCents":36,"iy":336.4681331837663,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T09:16:05.505Z","priceCents":37,"iy":322.3126560314937,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T09:30:53.128Z","priceCents":40,"iy":283.956828189263,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T09:46:08.013Z","priceCents":36,"iy":336.55888137970703,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T10:01:06.432Z","priceCents":38,"iy":308.8989656047895,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T10:15:54.680Z","priceCents":36,"iy":336.59554356722117,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T11:15:59.189Z","priceCents":35,"iy":353.53302050566026,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T11:31:16.635Z","priceCents":36,"iy":338.44242306230126,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-26T06:16:59.923Z","priceCents":35,"iy":358.7570749617049,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-28T22:16:10.401Z","priceCents":34,"iy":380.3572105243213,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-28T22:30:57.672Z","priceCents":35,"iy":363.9130198031572,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-29T01:31:05.338Z","priceCents":34,"iy":380.63510602797066,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-29T01:46:20.115Z","priceCents":35,"iy":364.1769600702413,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-29T11:46:02.895Z","priceCents":34,"iy":381.5102611848704,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-29T12:02:08.255Z","priceCents":35,"iy":365.01628534196146,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-29T17:16:03.464Z","priceCents":7,"iy":2614.339318061391,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-29T18:31:15.222Z","priceCents":5,"iy":3739.8347677905035,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-29T18:45:56.603Z","priceCents":4,"iy":4724.256576747598,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-29T22:01:34.757Z","priceCents":24,"iy":623.7969309370897,"cri":3.167}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 624%","4 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 40c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXKRAKENBANKPUBLIC-27JAN01-CITI","marketTitle":"Will Citigroup take Kraken public before Jan 1, 2027?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":40},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXKRAKENBANKPUBLIC-27JAN01-BOA","reason":"Will Bank of America take Kraken public before Jan 1, 2027?:"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXKRAKENBANKPUBLIC-27JAN01-GS","reason":"Will Goldman Sachs take Kraken public before Jan 1, 2027?: G"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXKRAKENBANKPUBLIC-27JAN01-JPM","reason":"Will JPMorgan Chase take Kraken public before Jan 1, 2027?: "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Citigroup%20take%20Kraken%20public%20before%20Jan%201%2C%202027%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":196}