{"ticker":"KXKYPRIMARY-05R26-HROG","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Hal Rogers be the Republican nominee for KY-05?","description":"If Hal Rogers wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 KY-05 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":98,"bestBid":91,"bestAsk":99,"spread":8,"volume":9398.01,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":7510.01,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":561,"iyYes":6.439229676815943,"iyNo":658.3118636260846,"cri":10.111,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0879,"cvr":null,"overround":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":8,"bidDepthUsd":1344,"askDepthUsd":350,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-04-22T00:24:22.944Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXKYPRIMARY-05R26-BHUR","connectedTitle":"Will Benjamin Hurley be the Republican nominee for KY-05?: Benjamin Hurley","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXKYPRIMARY-05R26","groupLabel":"KXKYPRIMARY-05R26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXKYPRIMARY-05R26-BMON","connectedTitle":"Will Brandon Monhollon be the Republican nominee for KY-05?: Brandon Monhollon","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXKYPRIMARY-05R26","groupLabel":"KXKYPRIMARY-05R26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXKYPRIMARY-05R26-JSHE","connectedTitle":"Will Jerry Lee Shelton be the Republican nominee for KY-05?: Jerry Lee Shelton","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXKYPRIMARY-05R26","groupLabel":"KXKYPRIMARY-05R26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXKYPRIMARY-05R26-KSMI","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Smith be the Republican nominee for KY-05?: Kevin Smith","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXKYPRIMARY-05R26","groupLabel":"KXKYPRIMARY-05R26"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T13:07:56.620Z","priceCents":82,"iy":289.64318050470104,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T13:22:46.298Z","priceCents":81,"iy":271.0571973318401,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T13:37:48.919Z","priceCents":82,"iy":289.6537761542456,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T14:08:00.362Z","priceCents":81,"iy":271.07230758679736,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T14:22:44.610Z","priceCents":82,"iy":289.6694187681006,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T14:52:58.227Z","priceCents":81,"iy":271.0869472528894,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T15:07:44.684Z","priceCents":82,"iy":289.6850630715908,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T15:23:46.392Z","priceCents":81,"iy":271.097337652674,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T16:23:20.929Z","priceCents":82,"iy":289.71181369855793,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T17:22:45.084Z","priceCents":81,"iy":271.13607252452044,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T17:53:19.521Z","priceCents":82,"iy":289.7431131556732,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T18:22:45.223Z","priceCents":81,"iy":271.1559166239351,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T19:07:44.902Z","priceCents":82,"iy":289.769369528461,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T20:22:44.769Z","priceCents":81,"iy":271.1951408875498,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T21:07:56.349Z","priceCents":82,"iy":289.81179372294565,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T22:08:03.682Z","priceCents":81,"iy":271.22964871701004,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T22:37:57.129Z","priceCents":82,"iy":289.8431147879448,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T23:07:50.646Z","priceCents":81,"iy":271.2495065167316,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T23:22:46.689Z","priceCents":82,"iy":289.8587778593217,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T00:37:48.846Z","priceCents":81,"iy":271.2788257265002,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T01:07:48.787Z","priceCents":82,"iy":289.8956685538458,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T01:52:45.681Z","priceCents":81,"iy":271.3034209191135,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T02:22:44.474Z","priceCents":82,"iy":289.921952584151,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T03:37:46.853Z","priceCents":81,"iy":271.3379563116981,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T03:52:50.577Z","priceCents":82,"iy":289.9538030836824,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T04:07:44.848Z","priceCents":81,"iy":271.34789277917247,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T04:22:49.132Z","priceCents":82,"iy":289.96442147205425,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T05:07:46.048Z","priceCents":81,"iy":271.36776789753736,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T05:22:47.929Z","priceCents":82,"iy":289.98515485284776,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T06:22:44.183Z","priceCents":81,"iy":271.3923792212118,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T06:37:47.255Z","priceCents":82,"iy":290.01145511333885,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T06:52:45.303Z","priceCents":81,"iy":271.4023196751215,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T09:37:21.609Z","priceCents":82,"iy":290.07469641497516,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T09:52:16.971Z","priceCents":81,"iy":271.46103053640485,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T10:07:24.331Z","priceCents":82,"iy":290.0853236598164,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T10:37:35.980Z","priceCents":81,"iy":271.476185850035,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T14:23:55.129Z","priceCents":82,"iy":290.1754334937878,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T14:52:09.533Z","priceCents":81,"iy":271.5600442542295,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T15:08:12.605Z","priceCents":82,"iy":290.1911325036174,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T15:24:24.832Z","priceCents":81,"iy":271.5704709527068,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T15:52:45.356Z","priceCents":82,"iy":290.20683321222793,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T16:07:54.561Z","priceCents":81,"iy":271.5846904683191,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T03:10:53.846Z","priceCents":82,"iy":290.95381523761966,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T08:35:23.259Z","priceCents":83,"iy":313.59533872799426,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T08:40:11.837Z","priceCents":82,"iy":292.60656627514277,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T17:50:52.193Z","priceCents":83,"iy":313.80849571114567,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T17:55:51.922Z","priceCents":82,"iy":292.8054578232961,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T01:45:17.578Z","priceCents":83,"iy":316.7811728568046,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T02:15:17.105Z","priceCents":82,"iy":295.58864805277886,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T04:05:32.560Z","priceCents":91,"iy":656.152424119227,"cri":10.111}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["4 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 10.1"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 88c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXKYPRIMARY-05R26-HROG","marketTitle":"Will Hal Rogers be the Republican nominee for KY-05?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":88},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXKYPRIMARY-05R26-BHUR","reason":"Will Benjamin Hurley be the Republican nominee for KY-05?: B"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXKYPRIMARY-05R26-BMON","reason":"Will Brandon Monhollon be the Republican nominee for KY-05?:"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXKYPRIMARY-05R26-JSHE","reason":"Will Jerry Lee Shelton be the Republican nominee for KY-05?:"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Hal%20Rogers%20be%20the%20Republican%20nominee%20for%20KY-05%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":2797}