{"ticker":"KXLARSENMOV-26MAY16-JLET-P54","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Julia Letlow in the first round of the 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate primary be above 9%?","description":"If the margin of victory for Julia Letlow in the first round of the 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate primary falls at least 9%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":14,"bestBid":14,"bestAsk":20,"spread":6,"volume":2167.75,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":151.75,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-05-16T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":390,"iyYes":575.3775789343251,"iyNo":15.247972616431548,"cri":6.143,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.4286,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.42,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":6,"bidDepthUsd":359,"askDepthUsd":349,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-04-21T21:48:50.956Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXLARSENMOV-26MAY16-JLET-P1","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Julia Letlow in the first round of the 2026 Louis","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLARSENMOV-26MAY16","groupLabel":"KXLARSENMOV-26MAY16"},{"connectedTicker":"KXLARSENMOV-26MAY16-JLET-P4","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Julia Letlow in the first round of the 2026 Louis","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLARSENMOV-26MAY16","groupLabel":"KXLARSENMOV-26MAY16"},{"connectedTicker":"KXLARSENMOV-26MAY16-JLET-P7","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Julia Letlow in the first round of the 2026 Louis","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLARSENMOV-26MAY16","groupLabel":"KXLARSENMOV-26MAY16"},{"connectedTicker":"KXLARSENMOV-26MAY16-JFLE-P1","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for John Fleming in the first round of the 2026 Louis","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLARSENMOV-26MAY16","groupLabel":"KXLARSENMOV-26MAY16"},{"connectedTicker":"KXLARSENMOV-26MAY16-JFLE-P4","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for John Fleming in the first round of the 2026 Louis","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLARSENMOV-26MAY16","groupLabel":"KXLARSENMOV-26MAY16"},{"connectedTicker":"KXLARSENMOV-26MAY16-JFLE-P7","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for John Fleming in the first round of the 2026 Louis","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLARSENMOV-26MAY16","groupLabel":"KXLARSENMOV-26MAY16"},{"connectedTicker":"KXLARSENMOV-26MAY16-JFLE-P54","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for John Fleming in the first round of the 2026 Louis","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLARSENMOV-26MAY16","groupLabel":"KXLARSENMOV-26MAY16"},{"connectedTicker":"KXLARSENMOV-26MAY16-BCAS-P1","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Bill Cassidy in the first round of the 2026 Louis","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLARSENMOV-26MAY16","groupLabel":"KXLARSENMOV-26MAY16"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T03:15:49.615Z","priceCents":15,"iy":516.5061377244263,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T06:30:40.721Z","priceCents":14,"iy":560.0988371927039,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T23:15:35.212Z","priceCents":15,"iy":520.1862442804663,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T23:45:35.848Z","priceCents":14,"iy":563.9291579939428,"cri":6.143}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 575%","8 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 6.1","illiquid (LAS 0.43)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXLARSENMOV-26MAY16-JLET-P1","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Julia Letlow in the first rou"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXLARSENMOV-26MAY16-JLET-P4","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Julia Letlow in the first rou"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXLARSENMOV-26MAY16-JLET-P7","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Julia Letlow in the first rou"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Julia%20Letlow%20in%20the%20first%20rou","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":1623}