{"ticker":"KXLARSENR1-26MAY16-JFLE","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will John Fleming win the first round of the 2026 Louisiana Senate Republican primary?","description":"If John Fleming wins the first round of the 2026 Louisiana Senate Republican primary, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":17,"bestBid":10,"bestAsk":17,"spread":7,"volume":2937.76,"volume24h":106,"openInterest":1333.76,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-05-16T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":390,"iyYes":843.2655554899541,"iyNo":10.410685870246345,"cri":9,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.1,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.409,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":7,"bidDepthUsd":3186,"askDepthUsd":3038,"volume24h":106,"observability":"medium","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.3},"computedAt":"2026-04-22T00:43:00.145Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T10:31:09.133Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1046.3797379999753,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T10:37:00.675Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1208.8731180023267,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T10:50:54.145Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1728.861643702431,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T12:10:43.986Z","priceCents":6,"iy":1425.7480710222833,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T12:50:57.052Z","priceCents":11,"iy":736.3661751665182,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T04:35:39.717Z","priceCents":12,"iy":668.5115253718023,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T04:40:31.721Z","priceCents":15,"iy":521.7938271075467,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T12:06:05.927Z","priceCents":16,"iy":483.8049984977745,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T00:05:28.375Z","priceCents":10,"iy":843.2157708301249,"cri":9}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 843%"],"warnings":["cliff risk 9.0"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 15c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXLARSENR1-26MAY16-JFLE","marketTitle":"Will John Fleming win the first round of the 2026 Louisiana Senate Republican primary?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":15},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20John%20Fleming%20win%20the%20first%20round%20of%20the%202026%20Louisiana%20","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":3665}