{"ticker":"KXLEADERMLBHR-26-MTRO","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Mike Trout lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?","description":"If Mike Trout leads Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":4,"bestBid":0,"bestAsk":4,"spread":4,"volume":539.42,"volume24h":1,"openInterest":539.42,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-10-22T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":166,"iyYes":5269.363104833858,"iyNo":9.148199834781005,"cri":24,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":1,"cvr":null,"overround":0.23,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":4,"bidDepthUsd":0,"askDepthUsd":7028,"volume24h":1},"computedAt":"2026-05-09T08:12:38.289Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXLEADERMLBHR-26-AJUD","connectedTitle":"Will Aaron Judge lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?: Aa","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLEADERMLBHR-26","groupLabel":"KXLEADERMLBHR-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXLEADERMLBHR-26-SOHT","connectedTitle":"Will Shohei Ohtani lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLEADERMLBHR-26","groupLabel":"KXLEADERMLBHR-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXLEADERMLBHR-26-KSCH","connectedTitle":"Will Kyle Schwarber lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?:","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLEADERMLBHR-26","groupLabel":"KXLEADERMLBHR-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXLEADERMLBHR-26-CRAL","connectedTitle":"Will Cal Raleigh lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?: Ca","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLEADERMLBHR-26","groupLabel":"KXLEADERMLBHR-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXLEADERMLBHR-26-NKUR","connectedTitle":"Will Nick Kurtz lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?: Nic","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLEADERMLBHR-26","groupLabel":"KXLEADERMLBHR-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXLEADERMLBHR-26-PALO","connectedTitle":"Will Pete Alonso lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?: Pe","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLEADERMLBHR-26","groupLabel":"KXLEADERMLBHR-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXLEADERMLBHR-26-JSOT","connectedTitle":"Will Juan Soto lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?: Juan","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLEADERMLBHR-26","groupLabel":"KXLEADERMLBHR-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXLEADERMLBHR-26-JCAM","connectedTitle":"Will Junior Caminero lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLEADERMLBHR-26","groupLabel":"KXLEADERMLBHR-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXLEADERMLBHR-26-MOLS","connectedTitle":"Will Matt Olson lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?: Mat","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLEADERMLBHR-26","groupLabel":"KXLEADERMLBHR-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXLEADERMLBHR-26-VGUE","connectedTitle":"Will Vladimir Guerrero Jr. lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular s","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLEADERMLBHR-26","groupLabel":"KXLEADERMLBHR-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXLEADERMLBHR-26-FTAT","connectedTitle":"Will Fernando Tatis Jr. lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular seas","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLEADERMLBHR-26","groupLabel":"KXLEADERMLBHR-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXLEADERMLBHR-26-ESUA","connectedTitle":"Will Eugenio Suárez lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?:","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLEADERMLBHR-26","groupLabel":"KXLEADERMLBHR-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXLEADERMLBHR-26-YALV","connectedTitle":"Will Yordan Alvarez lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?:","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLEADERMLBHR-26","groupLabel":"KXLEADERMLBHR-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXLEADERMLBHR-26-RACU","connectedTitle":"Will Ronald Acuña Jr. lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLEADERMLBHR-26","groupLabel":"KXLEADERMLBHR-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXLEADERMLBHR-26-JROD","connectedTitle":"Will Julio Rodríguez lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLEADERMLBHR-26","groupLabel":"KXLEADERMLBHR-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXLEADERMLBHR-26-BROO","connectedTitle":"Will Brent Rooker lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?: B","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLEADERMLBHR-26","groupLabel":"KXLEADERMLBHR-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXLEADERMLBHR-26-RDEV","connectedTitle":"Will Rafael Devers lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLEADERMLBHR-26","groupLabel":"KXLEADERMLBHR-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXLEADERMLBHR-26-BWIT","connectedTitle":"Will Bobby Witt Jr. lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?:","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLEADERMLBHR-26","groupLabel":"KXLEADERMLBHR-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXLEADERMLBHR-26-JADE","connectedTitle":"Will Jo Adell lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?: Jo Ad","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLEADERMLBHR-26","groupLabel":"KXLEADERMLBHR-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXLEADERMLBHR-26-BHAR","connectedTitle":"Will Bryce Harper lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?: B","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLEADERMLBHR-26","groupLabel":"KXLEADERMLBHR-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXLEADERMLBHR-26-RANT","connectedTitle":"Will Roman Anthony lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLEADERMLBHR-26","groupLabel":"KXLEADERMLBHR-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXLEADERMLBHR-26-MMUR","connectedTitle":"Will Munetaka Murakami lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular seaso","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLEADERMLBHR-26","groupLabel":"KXLEADERMLBHR-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXLEADERMLBHR-26-BRIC","connectedTitle":"Will Ben Rice lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?: Ben R","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLEADERMLBHR-26","groupLabel":"KXLEADERMLBHR-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXLEADERMLBHR-26-JWOO","connectedTitle":"Will James Wood lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?: Jam","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLEADERMLBHR-26","groupLabel":"KXLEADERMLBHR-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXLEADERMLBHR-26-ECRU","connectedTitle":"Will Elly De La Cruz lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLEADERMLBHR-26","groupLabel":"KXLEADERMLBHR-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXLEADERMLBHR-26-GHEN","connectedTitle":"Will Gunnar Henderson lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLEADERMLBHR-26","groupLabel":"KXLEADERMLBHR-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXLEADERMLBHR-26-SSTE","connectedTitle":"Will Sal Stewart lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?: Sa","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLEADERMLBHR-26","groupLabel":"KXLEADERMLBHR-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXLEADERMLBHR-26-SLAN","connectedTitle":"Will Shea Langeliers lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLEADERMLBHR-26","groupLabel":"KXLEADERMLBHR-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXLEADERMLBHR-26-MMON","connectedTitle":"Will Mickey Moniak lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLEADERMLBHR-26","groupLabel":"KXLEADERMLBHR-26"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T14:45:59.211Z","priceCents":2,"iy":10280.626322082224,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T18:10:36.417Z","priceCents":3,"iy":6828.640752355935,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T07:05:49.329Z","priceCents":6,"iy":3319.0549157999003,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T21:20:54.124Z","priceCents":5,"iy":4039.162696425035,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T18:45:31.922Z","priceCents":4,"iy":5251.735590700352,"cri":24}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 5269%","29 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 24.0","illiquid (LAS 1.00)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXLEADERMLBHR-26-AJUD","reason":"Will Aaron Judge lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXLEADERMLBHR-26-SOHT","reason":"Will Shohei Ohtani lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 20"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXLEADERMLBHR-26-KSCH","reason":"Will Kyle Schwarber lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Mike%20Trout%20lead%20Pro%20Baseball%20in%20home%20runs%20for%20the%202026%20","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":120}