{"ticker":"KXLEADPOLL-CAGOV21APR26-SHIL","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Steve Hilton lead the next qualifying NYT poll in the 2026 California gubernatorial race?","description":"If Steve Hilton leads the next poll designated by The New York Times as a Select Poll after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":55,"bestBid":55,"bestAsk":62,"spread":7,"volume":103,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":103,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-04-21T20:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":362,"iyYes":82.48802981923444,"iyNo":123.22285935959718,"cri":1.222,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1273,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.16,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":7,"bidDepthUsd":2481,"askDepthUsd":1878,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-04-24T19:18:54.076Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXLEADPOLL-CAGOV21APR26-CBIA","connectedTitle":"Will Chad Bianco lead the next qualifying NYT poll in the 2026 California gubern","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLEADPOLL-CAGOV21APR26","groupLabel":"KXLEADPOLL-CAGOV21APR26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXLEADPOLL-CAGOV21APR26-TSTE","connectedTitle":"Will Tom Steyer lead the next qualifying NYT poll in the 2026 California guberna","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLEADPOLL-CAGOV21APR26","groupLabel":"KXLEADPOLL-CAGOV21APR26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXLEADPOLL-CAGOV21APR26-XBEC","connectedTitle":"Will Xavier Becerra lead the next qualifying NYT poll in the 2026 California gub","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLEADPOLL-CAGOV21APR26","groupLabel":"KXLEADPOLL-CAGOV21APR26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXLEADPOLL-CAGOV21APR26-KPOR","connectedTitle":"Will Katie Porter lead the next qualifying NYT poll in the 2026 California guber","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLEADPOLL-CAGOV21APR26","groupLabel":"KXLEADPOLL-CAGOV21APR26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXLEADPOLL-CAGOV21APR26-MMAH","connectedTitle":"Will Matt Mahan lead the next qualifying NYT poll in the 2026 California guberna","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLEADPOLL-CAGOV21APR26","groupLabel":"KXLEADPOLL-CAGOV21APR26"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:10:37.427Z","priceCents":2,"iy":4900.093974404988,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:15:30.628Z","priceCents":43,"iy":132.562134558117,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T22:55:28.822Z","priceCents":42,"iy":138.14141138890784,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T07:40:21.577Z","priceCents":44,"iy":127.44241772482117,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T18:05:20.834Z","priceCents":45,"iy":122.5310676530189,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T22:45:23.099Z","priceCents":47,"iy":113.11148980607915,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T15:55:28.760Z","priceCents":48,"iy":108.87922093418143,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T20:55:33.204Z","priceCents":57,"iy":133.30280920052718,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T21:30:33.006Z","priceCents":55,"iy":122.91695559039482,"cri":1.222}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["5 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 50c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXLEADPOLL-CAGOV21APR26-SHIL","marketTitle":"Will Steve Hilton lead the next qualifying NYT poll in the 2026 California gubernatorial race?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":50},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXLEADPOLL-CAGOV21APR26-CBIA","reason":"Will Chad Bianco lead the next qualifying NYT poll in the 20"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXLEADPOLL-CAGOV21APR26-TSTE","reason":"Will Tom Steyer lead the next qualifying NYT poll in the 202"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXLEADPOLL-CAGOV21APR26-XBEC","reason":"Will Xavier Becerra lead the next qualifying NYT poll in the"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Steve%20Hilton%20lead%20the%20next%20qualifying%20NYT%20poll%20in%20the%202","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":3354}