{"ticker":"KXLEADPOLL-CAGOV21APR26-TSTE","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Tom Steyer lead the next qualifying NYT poll in the 2026 California gubernatorial race?","description":"If Tom Steyer leads the next poll designated by The New York Times as a Select Poll after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":0,"bestBid":18,"bestAsk":21,"spread":3,"volume":0,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":0,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-04-21T20:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":362,"iyYes":459.28520306758946,"iyNo":22.130934829550704,"cri":4.556,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1667,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.16,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":3,"bidDepthUsd":523,"askDepthUsd":9663,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-04-24T19:18:53.892Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXLEADPOLL-CAGOV21APR26-SHIL","connectedTitle":"Will Steve Hilton lead the next qualifying NYT poll in the 2026 California guber","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLEADPOLL-CAGOV21APR26","groupLabel":"KXLEADPOLL-CAGOV21APR26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXLEADPOLL-CAGOV21APR26-CBIA","connectedTitle":"Will Chad Bianco lead the next qualifying NYT poll in the 2026 California gubern","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLEADPOLL-CAGOV21APR26","groupLabel":"KXLEADPOLL-CAGOV21APR26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXLEADPOLL-CAGOV21APR26-XBEC","connectedTitle":"Will Xavier Becerra lead the next qualifying NYT poll in the 2026 California gub","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLEADPOLL-CAGOV21APR26","groupLabel":"KXLEADPOLL-CAGOV21APR26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXLEADPOLL-CAGOV21APR26-KPOR","connectedTitle":"Will Katie Porter lead the next qualifying NYT poll in the 2026 California guber","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLEADPOLL-CAGOV21APR26","groupLabel":"KXLEADPOLL-CAGOV21APR26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXLEADPOLL-CAGOV21APR26-MMAH","connectedTitle":"Will Matt Mahan lead the next qualifying NYT poll in the 2026 California guberna","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLEADPOLL-CAGOV21APR26","groupLabel":"KXLEADPOLL-CAGOV21APR26"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:15:30.628Z","priceCents":17,"iy":488.250008501465,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T07:40:21.577Z","priceCents":18,"iy":456.16293963408214,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T22:45:23.099Z","priceCents":19,"iy":427.6220870821681,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T20:50:32.178Z","priceCents":18,"iy":458.10967387427945,"cri":4.556}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"high","reasoning":"Market resolved or at extreme price","positives":["IY 459%","5 connected markets"],"warnings":["illiquid (LAS 0.17)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXLEADPOLL-CAGOV21APR26-SHIL","reason":"Will Steve Hilton lead the next qualifying NYT poll in the 2"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXLEADPOLL-CAGOV21APR26-CBIA","reason":"Will Chad Bianco lead the next qualifying NYT poll in the 20"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXLEADPOLL-CAGOV21APR26-XBEC","reason":"Will Xavier Becerra lead the next qualifying NYT poll in the"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Tom%20Steyer%20lead%20the%20next%20qualifying%20NYT%20poll%20in%20the%20202","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":3375}