{"ticker":"KXLEAVEHOUSE-26APR-NMAC","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Nancy Mace be out as House member before July 2026?","description":"If Nancy Mace leaves as House member before July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":3,"bestBid":3,"bestAsk":5,"spread":2,"volume":4450.46,"volume24h":9.9,"openInterest":2235.81,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-07-01T03:59:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":53,"iyYes":22322.89223474818,"iyNo":21.352538007517655,"cri":32.333,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.6667,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.25,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":2,"bidDepthUsd":482,"askDepthUsd":1097,"volume24h":9.9},"computedAt":"2026-05-09T07:23:25.671Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXLEAVEHOUSE-26APR-RGAL","connectedTitle":"Will Ruben Gallego be out as House member before July 2026?: Ruben Gallego","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLEAVEHOUSE-26APR","groupLabel":"KXLEAVEHOUSE-26APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXLEAVEHOUSE-26APR-RKHA","connectedTitle":"Will Ro Khanna be out as House member before July 2026?: Ro Khanna","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLEAVEHOUSE-26APR","groupLabel":"KXLEAVEHOUSE-26APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXLEAVEHOUSE-26APR-HCUE","connectedTitle":"Will Henry Cuellar be out as House member before July 2026?: Henry Cuellar","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLEAVEHOUSE-26APR","groupLabel":"KXLEAVEHOUSE-26APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXLEAVEHOUSE-26APR-MCOL","connectedTitle":"Will Mike Collins be out as House member before July 2026?: Mike Collins","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLEAVEHOUSE-26APR","groupLabel":"KXLEAVEHOUSE-26APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXLEAVEHOUSE-26APR-MMCC","connectedTitle":"Will Mitch McConnell be out as Senator before July 2026?: Mitch McConnell","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLEAVEHOUSE-26APR","groupLabel":"KXLEAVEHOUSE-26APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXLEAVEHOUSE-26APR-NPEL","connectedTitle":"Will Nancy Pelosi be out as House member before July 2026?: Nancy Pelosi","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLEAVEHOUSE-26APR","groupLabel":"KXLEAVEHOUSE-26APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXLEAVEHOUSE-26APR-CMIL","connectedTitle":"Will Cory Mills be out as House member before July 2026?: Cory Mills","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLEAVEHOUSE-26APR","groupLabel":"KXLEAVEHOUSE-26APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXLEAVEHOUSE-26MAY-CEDW","connectedTitle":"Will Chuck Edwards be out as U.S. House member before July 2026?: Chuck Edwards","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLEAVEHOUSE-26APR","groupLabel":"KXLEAVEHOUSE-26APR"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T18:50:54.155Z","priceCents":5,"iy":8962.14833098564,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T00:10:13.943Z","priceCents":6,"iy":7411.103478963352,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T02:00:58.358Z","priceCents":7,"iy":6291.074069543751,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T02:05:49.737Z","priceCents":6,"iy":7418.795434986616,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T02:51:03.070Z","priceCents":7,"iy":6293.931904273642,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T15:35:31.331Z","priceCents":12,"iy":3742.752204634861,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T15:56:58.467Z","priceCents":13,"iy":3416.3050974004664,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T16:30:31.057Z","priceCents":14,"iy":3136.8293141146323,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T17:25:31.658Z","priceCents":15,"iy":2895.2034341172084,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T17:40:59.694Z","priceCents":12,"iy":3747.3108494682365,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T03:40:29.306Z","priceCents":10,"iy":4691.985774070529,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-25T03:00:11.573Z","priceCents":9,"iy":5504.923189623598,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-25T03:05:11.926Z","priceCents":6,"iy":8530.115210008402,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T04:40:09.499Z","priceCents":5,"iy":11374.259894047987,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T13:30:58.436Z","priceCents":4,"iy":14454.729963863176,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T15:45:58.706Z","priceCents":3,"iy":19503.985632991236,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T16:15:37.524Z","priceCents":4,"iy":14725.658956428186,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T18:05:38.113Z","priceCents":3,"iy":19864.112749388452,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T18:10:36.417Z","priceCents":4,"iy":14745.240620108063,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T12:05:54.969Z","priceCents":3,"iy":20466.974206005114,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T12:10:51.086Z","priceCents":4,"iy":15193.034791355927,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T18:05:51.635Z","priceCents":3,"iy":20556.09744768806,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T18:10:49.378Z","priceCents":4,"iy":15259.197324414718,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T06:05:35.527Z","priceCents":3,"iy":20736.692906006938,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T06:11:37.877Z","priceCents":4,"iy":15393.266324594082,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T12:06:21.648Z","priceCents":3,"iy":20828.18585059946,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T12:10:18.024Z","priceCents":4,"iy":15460.915300305336,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T18:05:15.294Z","priceCents":3,"iy":20920.48973031743,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T18:15:15.385Z","priceCents":4,"iy":15530.53807286588,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:05:31.157Z","priceCents":3,"iy":21013.61537457118,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:11:26.685Z","priceCents":4,"iy":15598.846112753301,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T06:05:27.402Z","priceCents":3,"iy":21107.57380645777,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T06:10:34.999Z","priceCents":4,"iy":15668.318159866927,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T12:10:52.505Z","priceCents":3,"iy":21203.90000838454,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T12:15:47.588Z","priceCents":4,"iy":15739.825711975564,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T18:10:42.460Z","priceCents":3,"iy":21299.18725598128,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T18:16:52.039Z","priceCents":4,"iy":15811.132770197097,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T06:06:24.733Z","priceCents":3,"iy":21491.9628982129,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T06:11:20.456Z","priceCents":4,"iy":15953.959350185767,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T07:06:14.392Z","priceCents":3,"iy":21508.4138266205,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T12:15:44.549Z","priceCents":4,"iy":16027.810813283324,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T18:05:23.510Z","priceCents":3,"iy":21689.45575730844,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T18:15:23.510Z","priceCents":4,"iy":16101.461262751585,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T00:05:26.045Z","priceCents":3,"iy":21789.569562916193,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T00:10:24.687Z","priceCents":4,"iy":16174.597019885892,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T15:30:33.313Z","priceCents":3,"iy":22050.94668659691,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T16:41:21.527Z","priceCents":4,"iy":16382.712124329079,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T18:10:31.196Z","priceCents":3,"iy":22096.775200184737,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T18:15:57.994Z","priceCents":4,"iy":16402.958524482725,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T19:10:30.047Z","priceCents":3,"iy":22114.16543307038,"cri":32.333}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 22323%","8 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 32.3","illiquid (LAS 0.67)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXLEAVEHOUSE-26APR-RGAL","reason":"Will Ruben Gallego be out as House member before July 2026?:"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXLEAVEHOUSE-26APR-RKHA","reason":"Will Ro Khanna be out as House member before July 2026?: Ro "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXLEAVEHOUSE-26APR-HCUE","reason":"Will Henry Cuellar be out as House member before July 2026?:"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Nancy%20Mace%20be%20out%20as%20House%20member%20before%20July%202026%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":185}