{"ticker":"KXLEAVEHOUSE-26APR-RGAL","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Ruben Gallego be out as House member before July 2026?","description":"If Ruben Gallego leaves as Senator before July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":4,"bestBid":4,"bestAsk":8,"spread":4,"volume":78350.46,"volume24h":5.8,"openInterest":31531.39,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-07-01T03:59:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":53,"iyYes":16543.284484061034,"iyNo":28.720980007050418,"cri":24,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.75,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.24,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":4,"bidDepthUsd":15351,"askDepthUsd":1168,"volume24h":5.8},"computedAt":"2026-05-09T05:09:08.681Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXLEAVEHOUSE-26APR-RKHA","connectedTitle":"Will Ro Khanna be out as House member before July 2026?: Ro Khanna","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLEAVEHOUSE-26APR","groupLabel":"KXLEAVEHOUSE-26APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXLEAVEHOUSE-26APR-HCUE","connectedTitle":"Will Henry Cuellar be out as House member before July 2026?: Henry Cuellar","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLEAVEHOUSE-26APR","groupLabel":"KXLEAVEHOUSE-26APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXLEAVEHOUSE-26APR-NMAC","connectedTitle":"Will Nancy Mace be out as House member before July 2026?: Nancy Mace","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLEAVEHOUSE-26APR","groupLabel":"KXLEAVEHOUSE-26APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXLEAVEHOUSE-26APR-MCOL","connectedTitle":"Will Mike Collins be out as House member before July 2026?: Mike Collins","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLEAVEHOUSE-26APR","groupLabel":"KXLEAVEHOUSE-26APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXLEAVEHOUSE-26APR-MMCC","connectedTitle":"Will Mitch McConnell be out as Senator before July 2026?: Mitch McConnell","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLEAVEHOUSE-26APR","groupLabel":"KXLEAVEHOUSE-26APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXLEAVEHOUSE-26APR-NPEL","connectedTitle":"Will Nancy Pelosi be out as House member before July 2026?: Nancy Pelosi","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLEAVEHOUSE-26APR","groupLabel":"KXLEAVEHOUSE-26APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXLEAVEHOUSE-26APR-CMIL","connectedTitle":"Will Cory Mills be out as House member before July 2026?: Cory Mills","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLEAVEHOUSE-26APR","groupLabel":"KXLEAVEHOUSE-26APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXLEAVEHOUSE-26MAY-CEDW","connectedTitle":"Will Chuck Edwards be out as U.S. House member before July 2026?: Chuck Edwards","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLEAVEHOUSE-26APR","groupLabel":"KXLEAVEHOUSE-26APR"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T18:35:19.483Z","priceCents":11,"iy":4079.4875304690067,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T20:05:37.861Z","priceCents":12,"iy":3700.6825293681195,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T21:05:24.295Z","priceCents":11,"iy":4085.356728293909,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T05:50:32.068Z","priceCents":10,"iy":4631.783765492153,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T13:10:31.371Z","priceCents":11,"iy":4303.863209090777,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T15:00:30.065Z","priceCents":10,"iy":4792.751783603974,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T15:20:32.042Z","priceCents":11,"iy":4309.515691890522,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T16:30:58.044Z","priceCents":12,"iy":3908.797959441962,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T17:16:14.943Z","priceCents":11,"iy":4314.6156359492425,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T20:45:38.781Z","priceCents":12,"iy":3918.9274925208515,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T21:55:33.097Z","priceCents":11,"iy":4326.879532001727,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T00:10:37.267Z","priceCents":10,"iy":4819.61296380522,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T01:10:32.155Z","priceCents":11,"iy":4335.454905797112,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T15:30:26.837Z","priceCents":10,"iy":4865.225118483413,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T17:25:14.191Z","priceCents":11,"iy":4378.976598727489,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T20:05:13.514Z","priceCents":10,"iy":4879.026868065766,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T21:40:12.522Z","priceCents":11,"iy":4390.499707390123,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T22:05:13.781Z","priceCents":10,"iy":4885.048924843114,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T23:55:13.835Z","priceCents":11,"iy":4396.644014622547,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-25T00:15:14.472Z","priceCents":12,"iy":3985.803985803986,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-25T06:10:57.480Z","priceCents":11,"iy":4413.794790132449,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-25T06:15:56.816Z","priceCents":12,"iy":4000.6975064145677,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-26T00:05:33.116Z","priceCents":11,"iy":4463.561890785977,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-26T00:10:33.313Z","priceCents":12,"iy":4045.808834272989,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-26T01:00:29.996Z","priceCents":11,"iy":4466.127001061368,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-26T04:45:36.640Z","priceCents":10,"iy":4979.687121028377,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-26T14:20:24.068Z","priceCents":11,"iy":4503.998624606238,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-26T15:05:25.691Z","priceCents":12,"iy":4084.2068856778105,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-26T18:10:27.270Z","priceCents":11,"iy":4514.947206319953,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-26T19:45:24.224Z","priceCents":10,"iy":5027.31738671319,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-27T16:00:44.457Z","priceCents":9,"iy":5721.880270322883,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-27T16:35:37.254Z","priceCents":10,"iy":5094.998061264057,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-27T18:05:36.116Z","priceCents":9,"iy":5729.608699552188,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-27T18:10:35.717Z","priceCents":10,"iy":5100.218913505876,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T22:25:34.684Z","priceCents":11,"iy":4670.391286345234,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T00:30:32.358Z","priceCents":10,"iy":5202.312138728324,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T19:25:51.448Z","priceCents":8,"iy":6731.509397652191,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T01:10:10.275Z","priceCents":9,"iy":5941.297157872332,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T02:05:09.953Z","priceCents":8,"iy":6761.545772322364,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T02:35:10.906Z","priceCents":9,"iy":5946.945688800084,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T09:15:41.339Z","priceCents":8,"iy":6794.269990288119,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T14:15:10.592Z","priceCents":9,"iy":5993.886109847912,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T02:55:11.022Z","priceCents":8,"iy":6876.187667911671,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T02:25:42.731Z","priceCents":6,"iy":9520.241960098781,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T06:05:43.062Z","priceCents":5,"iy":11575.31045533449,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T06:10:41.448Z","priceCents":6,"iy":9545.032187706911,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T07:35:45.280Z","priceCents":5,"iy":11784.397355944875,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T15:56:11.340Z","priceCents":4,"iy":14973.847047964171,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T17:06:19.215Z","priceCents":5,"iy":12735.753769305637,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T04:45:42.001Z","priceCents":4,"iy":16538.287267784322,"cri":24}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 16543%","8 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 24.0","illiquid (LAS 0.75)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXLEAVEHOUSE-26APR-RKHA","reason":"Will Ro Khanna be out as House member before July 2026?: Ro "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXLEAVEHOUSE-26APR-HCUE","reason":"Will Henry Cuellar be out as House member before July 2026?:"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXLEAVEHOUSE-26APR-NMAC","reason":"Will Nancy Mace be out as House member before July 2026?: Na"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Ruben%20Gallego%20be%20out%20as%20House%20member%20before%20July%202026%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":143}