{"ticker":"KXLEAVEPOWELLGOV-27JUN01","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Jerome Powell leave Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Aug 1, 2026?","description":"If Jerome Powell has either officially announced their intention to leave as Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System or has actually left as Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jun 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":79,"bestBid":75,"bestAsk":78,"spread":3,"volume":11437.92,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":3688.35,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-06-01T03:59:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":340,"iyYes":35.82456367644431,"iyNo":322.4210730879989,"cri":3,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.04,"cvr":null,"overround":1.88,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":3,"bidDepthUsd":1753,"askDepthUsd":2303,"volume24h":0,"observability":"high","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.5},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T13:23:41.387Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXLEAVEPOWELLGOV-26AUG01","connectedTitle":"Will Jerome Powell leave Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLEAVEPOWELLGOV-26AUG01","groupLabel":"KXLEAVEPOWELLGOV-26AUG01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXLEAVEPOWELLGOV-26AUG01-27","connectedTitle":"Will Jerome Powell leave Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLEAVEPOWELLGOV-26AUG01","groupLabel":"KXLEAVEPOWELLGOV-26AUG01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXLEAVEPOWELLGOV-26DEC01","connectedTitle":"Will Jerome Powell leave Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLEAVEPOWELLGOV-26AUG01","groupLabel":"KXLEAVEPOWELLGOV-26AUG01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXLEAVEPOWELLGOV-26JUL01","connectedTitle":"Will Jerome Powell leave Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLEAVEPOWELLGOV-26AUG01","groupLabel":"KXLEAVEPOWELLGOV-26AUG01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXLEAVEPOWELLGOV-26NOV01","connectedTitle":"Will Jerome Powell leave Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLEAVEPOWELLGOV-26AUG01","groupLabel":"KXLEAVEPOWELLGOV-26AUG01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXLEAVEPOWELLGOV-26OCT01","connectedTitle":"Will Jerome Powell leave Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLEAVEPOWELLGOV-26AUG01","groupLabel":"KXLEAVEPOWELLGOV-26AUG01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXLEAVEPOWELLGOV-26SEP01","connectedTitle":"Will Jerome Powell leave Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLEAVEPOWELLGOV-26AUG01","groupLabel":"KXLEAVEPOWELLGOV-26AUG01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXLEAVEPOWELLGOV-28JAN31","connectedTitle":"Will Jerome Powell leave Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLEAVEPOWELLGOV-26AUG01","groupLabel":"KXLEAVEPOWELLGOV-26AUG01"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T10:00:32.619Z","priceCents":82,"iy":455.8690435827864,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T18:45:27.589Z","priceCents":83,"iy":489.06066773771926,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T17:15:26.629Z","priceCents":82,"iy":458.7643925257423,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T01:16:25.554Z","priceCents":83,"iy":492.12782295289355,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T04:30:33.050Z","priceCents":82,"iy":459.35879467199044,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T23:30:47.034Z","priceCents":79,"iy":380.16291830116296,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T20:00:41.823Z","priceCents":80,"iy":405.1818878145711,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-08T02:45:28.963Z","priceCents":81,"iy":434.58966224893885,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-08T06:15:28.288Z","priceCents":80,"iy":407.9294784928963,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T14:45:58.109Z","priceCents":81,"iy":437.6454099633943,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T18:02:08.228Z","priceCents":80,"iy":410.78854518955364,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T03:01:43.554Z","priceCents":76,"iy":326.4697021052235,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T04:02:17.419Z","priceCents":77,"iy":345.187408329745,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T18:01:36.824Z","priceCents":76,"iy":327.0470504458875,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T18:16:55.039Z","priceCents":77,"iy":345.7675979160198,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-13T00:45:36.964Z","priceCents":76,"iy":327.3072922271244,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-13T01:15:34.775Z","priceCents":77,"iy":346.0525445789678,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-13T15:45:33.457Z","priceCents":76,"iy":327.8876094889303,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T18:45:56.925Z","priceCents":77,"iy":348.747808615442,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T17:30:32.148Z","priceCents":75,"iy":313.3621035039321,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T21:45:33.137Z","priceCents":76,"iy":330.9387398272724,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-17T04:30:51.563Z","priceCents":75,"iy":313.7733610714716,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T12:00:32.733Z","priceCents":76,"iy":332.4550957911713,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T13:16:07.445Z","priceCents":75,"iy":315.00548023232733,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T04:45:33.670Z","priceCents":76,"iy":333.1238999946201,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T06:16:08.541Z","priceCents":74,"iy":301.1977657169811,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T07:30:55.162Z","priceCents":76,"iy":335.1669648613564,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T20:16:02.374Z","priceCents":75,"iy":318.01627546308396,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T21:00:55.842Z","priceCents":76,"iy":335.71504642404176,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T21:30:57.195Z","priceCents":75,"iy":318.0652338723498,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T08:31:08.539Z","priceCents":74,"iy":302.1561712237694,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T03:02:04.146Z","priceCents":75,"iy":319.2047574626866,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T10:02:54.019Z","priceCents":74,"iy":303.0941638719387,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T12:02:24.844Z","priceCents":75,"iy":319.55501599234236,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T12:31:20.562Z","priceCents":74,"iy":303.18527505111825,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T16:30:56.413Z","priceCents":75,"iy":319.72856650646173,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T22:16:15.308Z","priceCents":74,"iy":303.54494645426684,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T00:46:55.931Z","priceCents":75,"iy":320.0509743286968,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T05:31:00.886Z","priceCents":74,"iy":303.8130392372122,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T08:46:12.476Z","priceCents":75,"iy":320.361847975869,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T01:45:56.892Z","priceCents":74,"iy":304.5647959630111,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T05:16:19.132Z","priceCents":75,"iy":321.16522851125984,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T10:16:07.928Z","priceCents":76,"iy":339.21468498768365,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T11:30:59.704Z","priceCents":75,"iy":321.4103309205544,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T14:45:56.297Z","priceCents":76,"iy":339.4009512035887,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T22:30:58.185Z","priceCents":75,"iy":321.8429994004021,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T23:31:00.051Z","priceCents":76,"iy":339.7651088914105,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-26T04:01:46.445Z","priceCents":75,"iy":322.06071800422353,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-26T05:16:42.115Z","priceCents":76,"iy":340.00498118328596,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-26T10:30:55.948Z","priceCents":75,"iy":322.3166768709085,"cri":3}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["tight LAS 0.040","8 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 71c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXLEAVEPOWELLGOV-27JUN01","marketTitle":"Will Jerome Powell leave Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Aug 1, 2026?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":71},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXLEAVEPOWELLGOV-26AUG01","reason":"Will Jerome Powell leave Member of the Board of Governors of"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXLEAVEPOWELLGOV-26AUG01-27","reason":"Will Jerome Powell leave Member of the Board of Governors of"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXLEAVEPOWELLGOV-26DEC01","reason":"Will Jerome Powell leave Member of the Board of Governors of"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Jerome%20Powell%20leave%20Member%20of%20the%20Board%20of%20Governors%20of","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":127}