{"ticker":"KXLOSEPRIMARYHOUSED-26NOV03-4","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will exactly 4 House Democratic members lose their primary in 2026?","description":"If the number of Democratic House members that lose their primary in 2026 is exactly 4, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":10,"bestBid":5,"bestAsk":11,"spread":6,"volume":7645.2,"volume24h":1,"openInterest":2690.33,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":130,"iyYes":5323.76309829962,"iyNo":14.747266200275961,"cri":19,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":1.4,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.23,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.295,"label":"maker","signals":{"spreadCents":6,"bidDepthUsd":1979,"askDepthUsd":1281,"volume24h":1,"observability":"none","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.05},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T08:45:08.167Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXLOSEPRIMARYHOUSED-26NOV03-5","connectedTitle":"Will exactly 5 House Democratic members lose their primary in 2026?: 5","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLOSEPRIMARYHOUSED-26NOV03","groupLabel":"KXLOSEPRIMARYHOUSED-26NOV03"},{"connectedTicker":"KXLOSEPRIMARYHOUSED-26NOV03-6","connectedTitle":"Will exactly 6 House Democratic members lose their primary in 2026?: 6","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLOSEPRIMARYHOUSED-26NOV03","groupLabel":"KXLOSEPRIMARYHOUSED-26NOV03"},{"connectedTicker":"KXLOSEPRIMARYHOUSED-26NOV03-6T","connectedTitle":"Will more than 6 House Democratic members lose their primary in 2026?: 7 or more","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLOSEPRIMARYHOUSED-26NOV03","groupLabel":"KXLOSEPRIMARYHOUSED-26NOV03"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T23:45:54.533Z","priceCents":15,"iy":1410.5318193700914,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T02:45:48.459Z","priceCents":14,"iy":1530.3684780171027,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T03:01:47.271Z","priceCents":15,"iy":1411.8412639904254,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T13:00:50.204Z","priceCents":14,"iy":1534.8417386984502,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T13:30:29.836Z","priceCents":15,"iy":1416.0653238579052,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T13:45:55.545Z","priceCents":14,"iy":1535.1780248973696,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T14:00:27.362Z","priceCents":15,"iy":1416.2689473047524,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T14:45:58.109Z","priceCents":14,"iy":1535.6091070083262,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T17:00:55.073Z","priceCents":15,"iy":1417.4822043732925,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T19:15:56.839Z","priceCents":14,"iy":1537.5888803766625,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T19:30:28.514Z","priceCents":15,"iy":1418.49321957955,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T00:15:44.009Z","priceCents":14,"iy":1539.7852247331007,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T04:00:39.252Z","priceCents":15,"iy":1421.9453954635246,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T07:15:33.598Z","priceCents":14,"iy":1542.8685460270274,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T12:00:33.390Z","priceCents":15,"iy":1425.2081538903244,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T12:16:05.008Z","priceCents":16,"iy":1320.5135272957814,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T15:16:07.499Z","priceCents":1,"iy":24922.580333680482,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T15:31:51.983Z","priceCents":17,"iy":1229.1925833777618,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T15:45:44.492Z","priceCents":18,"iy":1146.9964252647333,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T21:31:15.505Z","priceCents":17,"iy":1231.3158639167345,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T00:15:53.123Z","priceCents":18,"iy":1149.8041529712048,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T01:15:30.432Z","priceCents":17,"iy":1232.6359856469821,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T04:02:17.419Z","priceCents":18,"iy":1151.0537930164535,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T18:01:36.824Z","priceCents":17,"iy":1238.6246462386614,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T18:16:55.039Z","priceCents":18,"iy":1155.8064115010657,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T20:16:04.971Z","priceCents":17,"iy":1239.4344300524492,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T22:15:34.089Z","priceCents":18,"iy":1157.1335563318753,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T15:31:37.741Z","priceCents":17,"iy":1264.0687366322486,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T16:31:19.176Z","priceCents":18,"iy":1179.802165348899,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T22:31:04.938Z","priceCents":17,"iy":1266.6833634446762,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T23:15:30.421Z","priceCents":18,"iy":1182.159152668765,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T11:45:31.343Z","priceCents":17,"iy":1271.6729036496317,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T18:01:49.261Z","priceCents":18,"iy":1188.768304172168,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T20:01:15.483Z","priceCents":17,"iy":1274.802257319435,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T20:15:33.126Z","priceCents":18,"iy":1189.5592231975575,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-17T04:45:42.792Z","priceCents":17,"iy":1278.130364656352,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-17T14:45:47.554Z","priceCents":18,"iy":1196.1569511386074,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-17T15:01:14.381Z","priceCents":17,"iy":1282.0659310710234,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-17T15:15:43.470Z","priceCents":18,"iy":1196.3376798004,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T01:16:15.090Z","priceCents":17,"iy":1286.0165282520363,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T04:45:38.588Z","priceCents":18,"iy":1201.194693071278,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T07:15:40.321Z","priceCents":17,"iy":1288.3408449338583,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T09:15:41.243Z","priceCents":18,"iy":1202.8282740599816,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T20:45:38.022Z","priceCents":17,"iy":1293.5967069754731,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T01:45:57.966Z","priceCents":14,"iy":1691.5322080880997,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T02:01:22.311Z","priceCents":8,"iy":3166.94456809591,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T02:15:57.649Z","priceCents":9,"iy":2784.673439086369,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T06:01:57.590Z","priceCents":5,"iy":5238.944203544502,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T12:30:56.933Z","priceCents":6,"iy":4328.660247481781,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T02:31:22.574Z","priceCents":5,"iy":5272.962287104621,"cri":19}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["maker regime","IY 5324%","3 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 19.0","illiquid (LAS 1.40)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXLOSEPRIMARYHOUSED-26NOV03-5","reason":"Will exactly 5 House Democratic members lose their primary i"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXLOSEPRIMARYHOUSED-26NOV03-6","reason":"Will exactly 6 House Democratic members lose their primary i"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXLOSEPRIMARYHOUSED-26NOV03-6T","reason":"Will more than 6 House Democratic members lose their primary"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20exactly%204%20House%20Democratic%20members%20lose%20their%20primary%20i","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":153}