{"ticker":"KXLOSEPRIMARYHOUSED-26NOV03-6T","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will more than 6 House Democratic members lose their primary in 2026?","description":"If the number of Democratic House members that lose their primary in 2026 is above 6, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":38,"bestBid":37,"bestAsk":43,"spread":6,"volume":12656.22,"volume24h":150.56,"openInterest":3879.46,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":130,"iyYes":477.24786442217305,"iyNo":164.61383884957294,"cri":1.703,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1892,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.23,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.341,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":6,"bidDepthUsd":1009,"askDepthUsd":844,"volume24h":150.56,"observability":"low","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.15},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T09:44:09.016Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXLOSEPRIMARYHOUSED-26NOV03-4","connectedTitle":"Will exactly 4 House Democratic members lose their primary in 2026?: 4","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLOSEPRIMARYHOUSED-26NOV03","groupLabel":"KXLOSEPRIMARYHOUSED-26NOV03"},{"connectedTicker":"KXLOSEPRIMARYHOUSED-26NOV03-5","connectedTitle":"Will exactly 5 House Democratic members lose their primary in 2026?: 5","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLOSEPRIMARYHOUSED-26NOV03","groupLabel":"KXLOSEPRIMARYHOUSED-26NOV03"},{"connectedTicker":"KXLOSEPRIMARYHOUSED-26NOV03-6","connectedTitle":"Will exactly 6 House Democratic members lose their primary in 2026?: 6","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXLOSEPRIMARYHOUSED-26NOV03","groupLabel":"KXLOSEPRIMARYHOUSED-26NOV03"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T02:00:26.239Z","priceCents":18,"iy":1048.79985478695,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T15:30:24.002Z","priceCents":17,"iy":1128.0352600848287,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T00:01:54.535Z","priceCents":16,"iy":1272.207616316125,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T23:30:32.431Z","priceCents":17,"iy":1198.8689989770335,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T02:45:28.546Z","priceCents":16,"iy":1299.0644702054099,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T12:00:33.390Z","priceCents":17,"iy":1227.947509753255,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T15:16:07.499Z","priceCents":1,"iy":24922.580333680482,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T15:31:51.983Z","priceCents":19,"iy":1073.3025918269996,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T22:01:13.323Z","priceCents":18,"iy":1157.0610880317438,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T23:01:44.616Z","priceCents":20,"iy":1016.2530887829325,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-14T19:15:39.071Z","priceCents":19,"iy":1097.1870595386804,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T02:16:05.067Z","priceCents":20,"iy":1053.9233379051468,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T23:15:56.089Z","priceCents":19,"iy":1155.576158194917,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T01:45:57.966Z","priceCents":24,"iy":871.9914095958036,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T02:01:22.311Z","priceCents":27,"iy":744.5634572334989,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T02:15:57.649Z","priceCents":29,"iy":674.2729547465667,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T06:15:56.723Z","priceCents":30,"iy":643.4277195209171,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T15:15:56.908Z","priceCents":31,"iy":615.5205015862758,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T02:31:22.574Z","priceCents":37,"iy":472.54142828960335,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T03:30:56.217Z","priceCents":38,"iy":452.94405630516934,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T17:31:30.719Z","priceCents":37,"iy":474.7977283215451,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-26T00:16:07.506Z","priceCents":38,"iy":455.943708782729,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-26T00:30:55.612Z","priceCents":37,"iy":475.8556296028349,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-26T01:16:38.130Z","priceCents":38,"iy":456.0903683710701,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-26T02:46:41.200Z","priceCents":37,"iy":476.2020140269916,"cri":1.703}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"Low observability — insufficient data for conviction","positives":["IY 477%","3 connected markets"],"warnings":["illiquid (LAS 0.19)"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 34c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXLOSEPRIMARYHOUSED-26NOV03-6T","marketTitle":"Will more than 6 House Democratic members lose their primary in 2026?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":34},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXLOSEPRIMARYHOUSED-26NOV03-4","reason":"Will exactly 4 House Democratic members lose their primary i"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXLOSEPRIMARYHOUSED-26NOV03-5","reason":"Will exactly 5 House Democratic members lose their primary i"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXLOSEPRIMARYHOUSED-26NOV03-6","reason":"Will exactly 6 House Democratic members lose their primary i"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20more%20than%206%20House%20Democratic%20members%20lose%20their%20primary","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":118}