{"ticker":"KXMANAGERSOUT-26AUG01EPL-PGUA","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Pep Guardiola cease to be manager of Manchester City before Aug 1, 2026?","description":"If Pep Guardiola ceases to be the manager of Manchester City starting Apr 16, 2026 and before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":38,"bestBid":29,"bestAsk":38,"spread":9,"volume":789.82,"volume24h":7.07,"openInterest":787.82,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-08-08T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":107,"iyYes":836.5041839734643,"iyNo":139.5556474353667,"cri":2.448,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.3448,"cvr":null,"overround":4.03,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":9,"bidDepthUsd":451,"askDepthUsd":3781,"volume24h":7.07},"computedAt":"2026-04-23T18:14:22.926Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMANAGERSOUT-26AUG01EPL-MART","connectedTitle":"Will Mikel Arteta cease to be manager of Arsenal before Aug 1, 2026?: Mikel Arte","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMANAGERSOUT-26AUG01EPL","groupLabel":"KXMANAGERSOUT-26AUG01EPL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMANAGERSOUT-26AUG01EPL-UEME","connectedTitle":"Will Unai Emery cease to be manager of Aston Villa before Aug 1, 2026?: Unai Eme","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMANAGERSOUT-26AUG01EPL","groupLabel":"KXMANAGERSOUT-26AUG01EPL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMANAGERSOUT-26AUG01EPL-AIRA","connectedTitle":"Will Andoni Iraola cease to be manager of Bournemouth before Aug 1, 2026?: Andon","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMANAGERSOUT-26AUG01EPL","groupLabel":"KXMANAGERSOUT-26AUG01EPL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMANAGERSOUT-26AUG01EPL-KAND","connectedTitle":"Will Keith Andrews cease to be manager of Brentford before Aug 1, 2026?: Keith A","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMANAGERSOUT-26AUG01EPL","groupLabel":"KXMANAGERSOUT-26AUG01EPL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMANAGERSOUT-26AUG01EPL-FHUR","connectedTitle":"Will Fabian Hurzeler cease to be manager of Brighton before Aug 1, 2026?: Fabian","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMANAGERSOUT-26AUG01EPL","groupLabel":"KXMANAGERSOUT-26AUG01EPL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMANAGERSOUT-26AUG01EPL-SPAR","connectedTitle":"Will Scott Parker cease to be manager of Burnley before Aug 1, 2026?: Scott Park","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMANAGERSOUT-26AUG01EPL","groupLabel":"KXMANAGERSOUT-26AUG01EPL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMANAGERSOUT-26AUG01EPL-LROS","connectedTitle":"Will Liam Rosenior cease to be manager of Chelsea before Aug 1, 2026?: Liam Rose","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMANAGERSOUT-26AUG01EPL","groupLabel":"KXMANAGERSOUT-26AUG01EPL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMANAGERSOUT-26AUG01EPL-OGLA","connectedTitle":"Will Oliver Glasner cease to be manager of Crystal Palace before Aug 1, 2026?: O","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMANAGERSOUT-26AUG01EPL","groupLabel":"KXMANAGERSOUT-26AUG01EPL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMANAGERSOUT-26AUG01EPL-DMOY","connectedTitle":"Will David Moyes cease to be manager of Everton before Aug 1, 2026?: David Moyes","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMANAGERSOUT-26AUG01EPL","groupLabel":"KXMANAGERSOUT-26AUG01EPL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMANAGERSOUT-26AUG01EPL-MSIL","connectedTitle":"Will Marco Silva cease to be manager of Fulham before Aug 1, 2026?: Marco Silva","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMANAGERSOUT-26AUG01EPL","groupLabel":"KXMANAGERSOUT-26AUG01EPL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMANAGERSOUT-26AUG01EPL-DFAR","connectedTitle":"Will Daniel Farke cease to be manager of Leeds before Aug 1, 2026?: Daniel Farke","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMANAGERSOUT-26AUG01EPL","groupLabel":"KXMANAGERSOUT-26AUG01EPL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMANAGERSOUT-26AUG01EPL-ASLO","connectedTitle":"Will Arne Slot cease to be manager of Liverpool before Aug 1, 2026?: Arne Slot","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMANAGERSOUT-26AUG01EPL","groupLabel":"KXMANAGERSOUT-26AUG01EPL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMANAGERSOUT-26AUG01EPL-EHOW","connectedTitle":"Will Eddie Howe cease to be manager of Newcastle before Aug 1, 2026?: Eddie Howe","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMANAGERSOUT-26AUG01EPL","groupLabel":"KXMANAGERSOUT-26AUG01EPL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMANAGERSOUT-26AUG01EPL-VPER","connectedTitle":"Will Vitor Pereira cease to be manager of Nottingham Forest before Aug 1, 2026?:","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMANAGERSOUT-26AUG01EPL","groupLabel":"KXMANAGERSOUT-26AUG01EPL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMANAGERSOUT-26AUG01EPL-RLEB","connectedTitle":"Will Regis Le Bris cease to be manager of Sunderland before Aug 1, 2026?: Regis ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMANAGERSOUT-26AUG01EPL","groupLabel":"KXMANAGERSOUT-26AUG01EPL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMANAGERSOUT-26AUG01EPL-RDEZ","connectedTitle":"Will Roberto De Zerbi cease to be manager of Tottenham before Aug 1, 2026?: Robe","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMANAGERSOUT-26AUG01EPL","groupLabel":"KXMANAGERSOUT-26AUG01EPL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMANAGERSOUT-26AUG01EPL-NESP","connectedTitle":"Will Nuno Espirito Santo cease to be manager of West Ham before Aug 1, 2026?: Nu","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMANAGERSOUT-26AUG01EPL","groupLabel":"KXMANAGERSOUT-26AUG01EPL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMANAGERSOUT-26AUG01EPL-REDW","connectedTitle":"Will Rob Edwards cease to be manager of Wolves before Aug 1, 2026?: Rob Edwards","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMANAGERSOUT-26AUG01EPL","groupLabel":"KXMANAGERSOUT-26AUG01EPL"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T16:35:54.690Z","priceCents":21,"iy":1216.2910021039916,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T03:05:24.582Z","priceCents":20,"iy":1298.2970966164244,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T03:10:16.417Z","priceCents":21,"iy":1221.0609404053662,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T21:05:58.412Z","priceCents":22,"iy":1158.5000618517772,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T23:15:51.589Z","priceCents":23,"iy":1094.8057786112229,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T23:51:19.101Z","priceCents":24,"iy":1035.7950455092646,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T00:51:16.049Z","priceCents":25,"iy":981.6401907698928,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T06:10:39.482Z","priceCents":26,"iy":933.1568131848389,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T01:10:28.099Z","priceCents":27,"iy":909.2559491512812,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T17:05:23.490Z","priceCents":28,"iy":870.086889498965,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T21:20:25.041Z","priceCents":29,"iy":829.7776010317868,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T00:25:21.027Z","priceCents":30,"iy":791.7619570000435,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T05:45:28.148Z","priceCents":31,"iy":756.8442794022056,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T06:15:29.879Z","priceCents":32,"iy":722.7015644363277,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T06:35:28.134Z","priceCents":28,"iy":874.643719139521,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T06:40:28.644Z","priceCents":33,"iy":690.6114403435122,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T07:00:30.461Z","priceCents":34,"iy":660.3810308084609,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T09:15:42.922Z","priceCents":35,"iy":632.347120588396,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T09:40:30.376Z","priceCents":36,"iy":605.4197507826916,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T10:15:29.150Z","priceCents":37,"iy":579.982909483824,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T10:35:28.850Z","priceCents":28,"iy":876.0070080560645,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T14:55:32.286Z","priceCents":29,"iy":835.4640379719453,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T15:55:28.760Z","priceCents":28,"iy":877.8258778258778,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T16:30:58.044Z","priceCents":29,"iy":835.9798771272488,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T16:35:32.234Z","priceCents":28,"iy":878.0558213630848,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T17:55:32.438Z","priceCents":29,"iy":836.4415455980871,"cri":2.448}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 837%","18 connected markets"],"warnings":["illiquid (LAS 0.34)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMANAGERSOUT-26AUG01EPL-MART","reason":"Will Mikel Arteta cease to be manager of Arsenal before Aug "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMANAGERSOUT-26AUG01EPL-UEME","reason":"Will Unai Emery cease to be manager of Aston Villa before Au"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMANAGERSOUT-26AUG01EPL-AIRA","reason":"Will Andoni Iraola cease to be manager of Bournemouth before"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Pep%20Guardiola%20cease%20to%20be%20manager%20of%20Manchester%20City%20be","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":2229}