{"ticker":"KXMANCHINRUN-28MAR01","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Joe Manchin announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?","description":"If Joe Manchin has announced that they will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Mar 1, 2028, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":26,"bestBid":25,"bestAsk":26,"spread":1,"volume":569,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":559,"status":"active","closeTime":"2028-03-01T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":680,"iyYes":161.12703579227417,"iyNo":17.90300397691935,"cri":3,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.04,"cvr":null,"overround":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1},"computedAt":"2026-04-22T00:58:59.141Z","fresh":false},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 161%","tight LAS 0.040"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 23c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXMANCHINRUN-28MAR01","marketTitle":"Will Joe Manchin announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":23},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Joe%20Manchin%20announce%20a%20run%20for%20President%20of%20the%20United%20","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":5136}