{"ticker":"KXMANUCON-27FEB01-T190","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 be above $190 billion?","description":"If Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for December 2026 is above $190 billion, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":17,"bestBid":10,"bestAsk":19,"spread":9,"volume":101,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":49,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-02-01T14:59:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":203,"iyYes":1615.9578916299774,"iyNo":19.95009742753059,"cri":9,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.9,"cvr":null,"overround":2.29,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.568,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":9,"bidDepthUsd":986,"askDepthUsd":2262,"volume24h":0,"observability":"high","eventType":"data_release","asPrior":0.65},"computedAt":"2026-07-13T08:24:37.463Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMANUCON-27FEB01-T130","connectedTitle":"Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for Decembe","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMANUCON-27FEB01","groupLabel":"KXMANUCON-27FEB01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMANUCON-27FEB01-T140","connectedTitle":"Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for Decembe","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMANUCON-27FEB01","groupLabel":"KXMANUCON-27FEB01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMANUCON-27FEB01-T150","connectedTitle":"Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for Decembe","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMANUCON-27FEB01","groupLabel":"KXMANUCON-27FEB01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMANUCON-27FEB01-T160","connectedTitle":"Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for Decembe","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMANUCON-27FEB01","groupLabel":"KXMANUCON-27FEB01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMANUCON-27FEB01-T170","connectedTitle":"Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for Decembe","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMANUCON-27FEB01","groupLabel":"KXMANUCON-27FEB01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMANUCON-27FEB01-T180","connectedTitle":"Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for Decembe","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMANUCON-27FEB01","groupLabel":"KXMANUCON-27FEB01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMANUCON-27FEB01-T200","connectedTitle":"Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for Decembe","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMANUCON-27FEB01","groupLabel":"KXMANUCON-27FEB01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMANUCON-27FEB01-T210","connectedTitle":"Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for Decembe","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMANUCON-27FEB01","groupLabel":"KXMANUCON-27FEB01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMANUCON-27FEB01-T220","connectedTitle":"Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the United States for Decembe","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMANUCON-27FEB01","groupLabel":"KXMANUCON-27FEB01"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-07-06T19:16:52.846Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1565.6202191391712,"cri":9}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 1616%","9 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 9.0","illiquid (LAS 0.90)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMANUCON-27FEB01-T130","reason":"Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the Unite"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMANUCON-27FEB01-T140","reason":"Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the Unite"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMANUCON-27FEB01-T150","reason":"Will Total Construction Spending: Manufacturing in the Unite"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Total%20Construction%20Spending%3A%20Manufacturing%20in%20the%20Unite","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":202}