{"ticker":"KXMARMAD-27-HOU","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Houston win the College Basketball National Championship?","description":"If Houston is the 2026-27 Division 1 Men's College Basketball National Champion, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":4,"bestBid":4,"bestAsk":4,"spread":0,"volume":25342.12,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":21785.33,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-04-27T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":305,"iyYes":2870.427713389759,"iyNo":4.98338144685722,"cri":24,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.27,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.341,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":0,"bidDepthUsd":8446,"askDepthUsd":40682,"volume24h":0,"observability":"low","eventType":"sports","asPrior":0.15},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T09:42:57.495Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMARMAD-27-ALA","connectedTitle":"Will Alabama win the College Basketball National Championship?: Alabama","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMARMAD-27","groupLabel":"KXMARMAD-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMARMAD-27-ARIZ","connectedTitle":"Will Arizona win the College Basketball National Championship?: Arizona","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMARMAD-27","groupLabel":"KXMARMAD-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMARMAD-27-ARK","connectedTitle":"Will Arkansas win the College Basketball National Championship?: Arkansas","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMARMAD-27","groupLabel":"KXMARMAD-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMARMAD-27-AUB","connectedTitle":"Will Auburn win the College Basketball National Championship?: Auburn","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMARMAD-27","groupLabel":"KXMARMAD-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMARMAD-27-BYU","connectedTitle":"Will BYU win the College Basketball National Championship?: BYU","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMARMAD-27","groupLabel":"KXMARMAD-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMARMAD-27-CONN","connectedTitle":"Will UConn win the College Basketball National Championship?: UConn","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMARMAD-27","groupLabel":"KXMARMAD-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMARMAD-27-DUKE","connectedTitle":"Will Duke win the College Basketball National Championship?: Duke","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMARMAD-27","groupLabel":"KXMARMAD-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMARMAD-27-FLA","connectedTitle":"Will Florida win the College Basketball National Championship?: Florida","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMARMAD-27","groupLabel":"KXMARMAD-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMARMAD-27-GONZ","connectedTitle":"Will Gonzaga win the College Basketball National Championship?: Gonzaga","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMARMAD-27","groupLabel":"KXMARMAD-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMARMAD-27-ILL","connectedTitle":"Will Illinois win the College Basketball National Championship?: Illinois","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMARMAD-27","groupLabel":"KXMARMAD-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMARMAD-27-IND","connectedTitle":"Will Indiana win the College Basketball National Championship?: Indiana","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMARMAD-27","groupLabel":"KXMARMAD-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMARMAD-27-IOWA","connectedTitle":"Will Iowa win the College Basketball National Championship?: Iowa","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMARMAD-27","groupLabel":"KXMARMAD-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMARMAD-27-ISU","connectedTitle":"Will Iowa St. win the College Basketball National Championship?: Iowa St.","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMARMAD-27","groupLabel":"KXMARMAD-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMARMAD-27-KU","connectedTitle":"Will Kansas win the College Basketball National Championship?: Kansas","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMARMAD-27","groupLabel":"KXMARMAD-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMARMAD-27-LOU","connectedTitle":"Will Louisville win the College Basketball National Championship?: Louisville","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMARMAD-27","groupLabel":"KXMARMAD-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMARMAD-27-LSU","connectedTitle":"Will LSU win the College Basketball National Championship?: LSU","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMARMAD-27","groupLabel":"KXMARMAD-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMARMAD-27-MIA","connectedTitle":"Will Miami (FL) win the College Basketball National Championship?: Miami (FL)","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMARMAD-27","groupLabel":"KXMARMAD-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMARMAD-27-MICH","connectedTitle":"Will Michigan win the College Basketball National Championship?: Michigan","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMARMAD-27","groupLabel":"KXMARMAD-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMARMAD-27-MSU","connectedTitle":"Will Michigan St. win the College Basketball National Championship?: Michigan St","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMARMAD-27","groupLabel":"KXMARMAD-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMARMAD-27-NEB","connectedTitle":"Will Nebraska win the College Basketball National Championship?: Nebraska","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMARMAD-27","groupLabel":"KXMARMAD-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMARMAD-27-PUR","connectedTitle":"Will Purdue win the College Basketball National Championship?: Purdue","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMARMAD-27","groupLabel":"KXMARMAD-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMARMAD-27-SJU","connectedTitle":"Will St. John's win the College Basketball National Championship?: St. John's","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMARMAD-27","groupLabel":"KXMARMAD-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMARMAD-27-TENN","connectedTitle":"Will Tennessee win the College Basketball National Championship?: Tennessee","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMARMAD-27","groupLabel":"KXMARMAD-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMARMAD-27-TEX","connectedTitle":"Will Texas win the College Basketball National Championship?: Texas","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMARMAD-27","groupLabel":"KXMARMAD-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMARMAD-27-TTU","connectedTitle":"Will Texas Tech win the College Basketball National Championship?: Texas Tech","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMARMAD-27","groupLabel":"KXMARMAD-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMARMAD-27-UCLA","connectedTitle":"Will UCLA win the College Basketball National Championship?: UCLA","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMARMAD-27","groupLabel":"KXMARMAD-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMARMAD-27-UNC","connectedTitle":"Will North Carolina win the College Basketball National Championship?: North Car","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMARMAD-27","groupLabel":"KXMARMAD-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMARMAD-27-USC","connectedTitle":"Will USC win the College Basketball National Championship?: USC","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMARMAD-27","groupLabel":"KXMARMAD-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMARMAD-27-UVA","connectedTitle":"Will Virginia win the College Basketball National Championship?: Virginia","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMARMAD-27","groupLabel":"KXMARMAD-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMARMAD-27-VAN","connectedTitle":"Will Vanderbilt win the College Basketball National Championship?: Vanderbilt","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMARMAD-27","groupLabel":"KXMARMAD-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMARMAD-27-VILL","connectedTitle":"Will Villanova win the College Basketball National Championship?: Villanova","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMARMAD-27","groupLabel":"KXMARMAD-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMARMAD-27-WIS","connectedTitle":"Will Wisconsin win the College Basketball National Championship?: Wisconsin","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMARMAD-27","groupLabel":"KXMARMAD-27"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T21:46:29.858Z","priceCents":3,"iy":3547.495661444369,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T05:00:25.986Z","priceCents":4,"iy":2692.278140606992,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T06:00:20.215Z","priceCents":3,"iy":3627.565192177451,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-08T02:00:45.028Z","priceCents":4,"iy":2707.890905381469,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T03:45:30.460Z","priceCents":3,"iy":3660.2600485277803,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T02:16:03.227Z","priceCents":4,"iy":2830.4721654081404,"cri":24}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"Low observability — insufficient data for conviction","positives":["IY 2870%","tight LAS 0.000","32 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 24.0"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 4c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXMARMAD-27-HOU","marketTitle":"Will Houston win the College Basketball National Championship?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":4},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMARMAD-27-ALA","reason":"Will Alabama win the College Basketball National Championshi"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMARMAD-27-ARIZ","reason":"Will Arizona win the College Basketball National Championshi"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMARMAD-27-ARK","reason":"Will Arkansas win the College Basketball National Championsh"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Houston%20win%20the%20College%20Basketball%20National%20Championshi","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":137}