{"ticker":"KXMARMADROUND-27R16-MICH","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Michigan qualify for the men's Round of 16?","description":"If Michigan qualifies for the 2027 Men's College Basketball Round of 16, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":17,"bestBid":16,"bestAsk":88,"spread":72,"volume":16,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":16,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-05-02T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":358,"iyYes":535.1487664698752,"iyNo":19.415828261945588,"cri":5.25,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":4.5625,"cvr":null,"overround":2.22,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":72,"bidDepthUsd":83,"askDepthUsd":129,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-09T12:13:13.639Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMARMADROUND-27R16-CONN","connectedTitle":"Will UConn qualify for the men's Round of 16?: UConn","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMARMADROUND-27R16","groupLabel":"KXMARMADROUND-27R16"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMARMADROUND-27R16-UNC","connectedTitle":"Will North Carolina qualify for the men's Round of 16?: North Carolina","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMARMADROUND-27R16","groupLabel":"KXMARMADROUND-27R16"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMARMADROUND-27R16-LOU","connectedTitle":"Will Louisville qualify for the men's Round of 16?: Louisville","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMARMADROUND-27R16","groupLabel":"KXMARMADROUND-27R16"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMARMADROUND-27R16-MIA","connectedTitle":"Will Miami (FL) qualify for the men's Round of 16?: Miami (FL)","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMARMADROUND-27R16","groupLabel":"KXMARMADROUND-27R16"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMARMADROUND-27R16-DUKE","connectedTitle":"Will Duke qualify for the men's Round of 16?: Duke","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMARMADROUND-27R16","groupLabel":"KXMARMADROUND-27R16"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMARMADROUND-27R16-HOU","connectedTitle":"Will Houston qualify for the men's Round of 16?: Houston","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMARMADROUND-27R16","groupLabel":"KXMARMADROUND-27R16"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMARMADROUND-27R16-KU","connectedTitle":"Will Kansas qualify for the men's Round of 16?: Kansas","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMARMADROUND-27R16","groupLabel":"KXMARMADROUND-27R16"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMARMADROUND-27R16-ARIZ","connectedTitle":"Will Arizona qualify for the men's Round of 16?: Arizona","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMARMADROUND-27R16","groupLabel":"KXMARMADROUND-27R16"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMARMADROUND-27R16-ILL","connectedTitle":"Will Illinois qualify for the men's Round of 16?: Illinois","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMARMADROUND-27R16","groupLabel":"KXMARMADROUND-27R16"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMARMADROUND-27R16-MSU","connectedTitle":"Will Michigan St. qualify for the men's Round of 16?: Michigan St.","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMARMADROUND-27R16","groupLabel":"KXMARMADROUND-27R16"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMARMADROUND-27R16-GONZ","connectedTitle":"Will Gonzaga qualify for the men's Round of 16?: Gonzaga","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMARMADROUND-27R16","groupLabel":"KXMARMADROUND-27R16"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMARMADROUND-27R16-FLA","connectedTitle":"Will Florida qualify for the men's Round of 16?: Florida","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMARMADROUND-27R16","groupLabel":"KXMARMADROUND-27R16"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMARMADROUND-27R16-ARK","connectedTitle":"Will Arkansas qualify for the men's Round of 16?: Arkansas","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMARMADROUND-27R16","groupLabel":"KXMARMADROUND-27R16"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMARMADROUND-27R16-TENN","connectedTitle":"Will Tennessee qualify for the men's Round of 16?: Tennessee","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMARMADROUND-27R16","groupLabel":"KXMARMADROUND-27R16"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMARMADROUND-27R16-NEB","connectedTitle":"Will Nebraska qualify for the men's Round of 16?: Nebraska","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMARMADROUND-27R16","groupLabel":"KXMARMADROUND-27R16"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T10:10:43.775Z","priceCents":1,"iy":9895.68927508291,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T12:10:35.679Z","priceCents":99,"iy":9897.939059264363,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T15:10:37.036Z","priceCents":15,"iy":566.7427499399463,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T04:31:01.310Z","priceCents":16,"iy":525.8716502696251,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T06:30:41.425Z","priceCents":15,"iy":567.7368116705827,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T07:00:54.817Z","priceCents":16,"iy":526.02177929183,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T03:00:52.525Z","priceCents":16,"iy":527.2273550176361,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T05:00:53.170Z","priceCents":15,"iy":569.2023461594207,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T05:15:54.005Z","priceCents":16,"iy":527.3637454453386,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T12:40:49.852Z","priceCents":15,"iy":569.7024785041752,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T15:05:51.605Z","priceCents":16,"iy":527.9594659378324,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T17:40:52.746Z","priceCents":15,"iy":570.0290572426762,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T04:46:36.996Z","priceCents":16,"iy":528.7899024239481,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T13:50:33.385Z","priceCents":15,"iy":571.3517510250722,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T03:40:17.131Z","priceCents":16,"iy":530.1856514401129,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T05:40:45.502Z","priceCents":15,"iy":572.3953245310832,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T06:05:27.402Z","priceCents":16,"iy":530.3323831400659,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T11:55:45.518Z","priceCents":15,"iy":572.8090630302291,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T12:05:27.922Z","priceCents":16,"iy":530.6995679627784,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T14:05:42.336Z","priceCents":15,"iy":572.951870196161,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T04:56:20.454Z","priceCents":16,"iy":531.7333466526813,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T06:56:17.193Z","priceCents":15,"iy":574.06821466173,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T04:55:43.949Z","priceCents":16,"iy":533.2129401354563,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T07:01:10.406Z","priceCents":15,"iy":575.6707886736193,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T07:11:29.320Z","priceCents":16,"iy":533.3524454192227,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T11:05:50.622Z","priceCents":15,"iy":575.943298591097,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T11:20:41.174Z","priceCents":16,"iy":533.6093853989436,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T13:20:53.544Z","priceCents":15,"iy":576.0940913450336,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T06:15:17.219Z","priceCents":16,"iy":534.7828635058313,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T08:15:21.932Z","priceCents":15,"iy":577.3612960435167,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T08:55:17.986Z","priceCents":16,"iy":534.9485779370875,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T10:55:21.799Z","priceCents":15,"iy":577.5402463178901,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T11:35:19.558Z","priceCents":16,"iy":535.1158894163642,"cri":5.25}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 535%","15 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 5.3","illiquid (LAS 4.56)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMARMADROUND-27R16-CONN","reason":"Will UConn qualify for the men's Round of 16?: UConn"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMARMADROUND-27R16-UNC","reason":"Will North Carolina qualify for the men's Round of 16?: Nort"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMARMADROUND-27R16-LOU","reason":"Will Louisville qualify for the men's Round of 16?: Louisvil"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Michigan%20qualify%20for%20the%20men's%20Round%20of%2016%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":106}