{"ticker":"KXMAXSHIPSHORMUZ-26JUN30-AL80","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be at least 80 in June 2026?","description":"If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 80 in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":11,"bestBid":11,"bestAsk":12,"spread":1,"volume":73436.38,"volume24h":46802.57,"openInterest":17297.67,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-07-07T16:45:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","edges":[{"thesisTitle":"Hormuz blockade disrupts fertilizer supply chains. Fertilizer prices spike, US f","thesisSlug":"fertilizer-shock-farm-crisis","thesisPrice":3,"edge":9,"direction":"no","firstDetectedAt":"2026-06-16T06:05:55.246Z","firstDetectedPrice":20}],"indicators":{"tauDays":12,"iyYes":24946.62796234008,"iyNo":381.08092203549415,"cri":8.091,"ee":8,"eeSource":"thesis","las":0.0909,"cvr":null,"overround":1.51,"hasThesis":true,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.6,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":335,"askDepthUsd":3282,"volume24h":46802.57,"sfEdgeCents":9,"sfEdgeDirection":"no"},"computedAt":"2026-06-25T20:45:57.778Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMAXSHIPSHORMUZ-26JUN30-AL30","connectedTitle":"Will the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as r","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMAXSHIPSHORMUZ-26JUN30","groupLabel":"KXMAXSHIPSHORMUZ-26JUN30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMAXSHIPSHORMUZ-26JUN30-AL40","connectedTitle":"Will the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as r","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMAXSHIPSHORMUZ-26JUN30","groupLabel":"KXMAXSHIPSHORMUZ-26JUN30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMAXSHIPSHORMUZ-26JUN30-AL50","connectedTitle":"Will the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as r","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMAXSHIPSHORMUZ-26JUN30","groupLabel":"KXMAXSHIPSHORMUZ-26JUN30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMAXSHIPSHORMUZ-26JUN30-AL60","connectedTitle":"Will the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as r","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMAXSHIPSHORMUZ-26JUN30","groupLabel":"KXMAXSHIPSHORMUZ-26JUN30"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":44.58999999999651,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T06:15:35.196Z","priceCents":21,"iy":7447.49817267038,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T06:45:49.126Z","priceCents":16,"iy":10405.354039965248,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T07:16:04.686Z","priceCents":13,"iy":13279.110126079411,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T07:30:34.391Z","priceCents":12,"iy":14558.970174961472,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T00:45:47.251Z","priceCents":11,"iy":16716.754320060103,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T15:15:33.529Z","priceCents":9,"iy":21630.263483504605,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T15:30:46.994Z","priceCents":8,"iy":24615.88083509266,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T16:01:29.106Z","priceCents":7,"iy":28474.960154349457,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T16:15:37.253Z","priceCents":6,"iy":33597.728162945554,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T18:00:34.847Z","priceCents":7,"iy":28612.73138001955,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T04:15:55.466Z","priceCents":6,"iy":34614.60855528652,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T06:30:54.981Z","priceCents":5,"iy":42219.65177158163,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T11:00:55.767Z","priceCents":3,"iy":72674.83629944373,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T15:31:03.417Z","priceCents":2,"iy":100000,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T03:01:27.093Z","priceCents":4,"iy":56254.81633701515,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T14:16:43.990Z","priceCents":5,"iy":45918.029530556836,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T17:02:02.401Z","priceCents":4,"iy":58446.75740592474,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T17:30:55.789Z","priceCents":6,"iy":38203.72349902013,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T19:16:11.435Z","priceCents":8,"iy":28180.597515944948,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T19:31:32.363Z","priceCents":7,"iy":32580.52750796636,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T20:01:26.398Z","priceCents":8,"iy":28239.370290635088,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T21:46:21.088Z","priceCents":7,"iy":32785.381071501004,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T22:16:06.670Z","priceCents":8,"iy":28419.092755585643,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T23:30:55.679Z","priceCents":7,"iy":32947.993710325536,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T03:15:55.396Z","priceCents":6,"iy":39268.87332326146,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T03:31:39.554Z","priceCents":4,"iy":60202.04796921173,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T13:30:57.853Z","priceCents":2,"iy":100000,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T21:00:58.362Z","priceCents":3,"iy":85383.20551777362,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T16:02:07.439Z","priceCents":4,"iy":67229.47045280122,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T17:45:56.713Z","priceCents":5,"iy":53519.0615835777,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T06:02:31.146Z","priceCents":4,"iy":70384.05913546521,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T10:30:56.228Z","priceCents":5,"iy":56566.06851549754,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T11:00:58.512Z","priceCents":6,"iy":46722.22676144565,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T11:16:20.542Z","priceCents":7,"iy":39657.22697322304,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T11:30:59.704Z","priceCents":6,"iy":46802.53178370709,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T11:46:05.700Z","priceCents":7,"iy":39722.19621793671,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T12:30:56.856Z","priceCents":6,"iy":46963.972842750765,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T13:31:52.340Z","priceCents":20,"iy":12032.305917257292,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T14:01:51.965Z","priceCents":21,"iy":11335.715661646482,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T14:15:57.040Z","priceCents":22,"iy":10691.431833203149,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T14:31:25.706Z","priceCents":25,"iy":9054.825105432894,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T14:45:56.297Z","priceCents":22,"iy":10710.013316981785,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T15:15:55.738Z","priceCents":21,"iy":11383.644819227644,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T15:31:37.928Z","priceCents":20,"iy":12115.177163720853,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T15:45:56.563Z","priceCents":19,"iy":12922.951844356345,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T16:01:10.607Z","priceCents":13,"iy":20305.00671398427,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T16:15:55.640Z","priceCents":11,"iy":24568.900317652402,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T16:45:56.256Z","priceCents":12,"iy":22307.41450676445,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T17:01:21.389Z","priceCents":10,"iy":27400.116773709233,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T18:02:30.032Z","priceCents":11,"iy":24721.093405171763,"cri":8.091}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"consider_short","confidence":"low","reasoning":"9c edge in neutral regime","positives":["+9c executable edge (no)","IY 24947%","4 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 8.1","price shifted 45% since edge was set"],"sizeHint":"small"},"nextActions":{"execute":{"description":"Sell 10 NO contracts at market","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXMAXSHIPSHORMUZ-26JUN30-AL80","marketTitle":"Will the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be at least 80 in June 2026?","direction":"no","targetQuantity":10,"triggerType":"immediate"},"auth":"required"},"watch":{"description":"Buy NO if price rises to 12c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXMAXSHIPSHORMUZ-26JUN30-AL80","marketTitle":"Will the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be at least 80 in June 2026?","direction":"no","targetQuantity":10,"triggerType":"price_above","triggerPrice":12},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMAXSHIPSHORMUZ-26JUN30-AL30","reason":"Will the highest daily number of transit calls through the S"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMAXSHIPSHORMUZ-26JUN30-AL40","reason":"Will the highest daily number of transit calls through the S"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMAXSHIPSHORMUZ-26JUN30-AL50","reason":"Will the highest daily number of transit calls through the S"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20highest%20daily%20number%20of%20transit%20calls%20through%20the%20S","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":211}