{"ticker":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27-LOG","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Logan Paul be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?","description":"If Logan Paul is on the The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":0,"bestBid":3,"bestAsk":12,"spread":9,"volume":0,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":0,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":190,"iyYes":6220.472302602566,"iyNo":5.950074473740365,"cri":32.333,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":3,"cvr":null,"overround":3.92,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":9,"bidDepthUsd":1655,"askDepthUsd":2049,"volume24h":0,"observability":"high","eventType":"cultural","asPrior":0.5},"computedAt":"2026-06-25T21:49:09.026Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27-ARI","connectedTitle":"Will Ariana Grande be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?: Ar","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27","groupLabel":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27-BAD","connectedTitle":"Will Bad Bunny be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?: Bad Bu","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27","groupLabel":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27-BEY","connectedTitle":"Will Beyoncé be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?: Beyoncé","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27","groupLabel":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27-BIL","connectedTitle":"Will Billie Eilish be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?: Bi","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27","groupLabel":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27-CHA","connectedTitle":"Will Charli D’Amelio be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27","groupLabel":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27-CHR","connectedTitle":"Will Christopher Nolan be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27","groupLabel":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27-DRA","connectedTitle":"Will Drake be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?: Drake","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27","groupLabel":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27-DWA","connectedTitle":"Will Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon befo","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27","groupLabel":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27-HAR","connectedTitle":"Will Harry Styles be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?: Har","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27","groupLabel":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27-JEN","connectedTitle":"Will Jennifer Lawrence be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27","groupLabel":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27-KEN","connectedTitle":"Will Kendrick Lamar be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?: K","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27","groupLabel":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27-KIM","connectedTitle":"Will Kim Kardashian be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?: K","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27","groupLabel":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27-KYL","connectedTitle":"Will Kylie Jenner be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?: Kyl","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27","groupLabel":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27-LEB","connectedTitle":"Will LeBron James be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?: LeB","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27","groupLabel":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27-LEO","connectedTitle":"Will Leonardo DiCaprio be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27","groupLabel":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27-LIO","connectedTitle":"Will Lionel Messi be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?: Lio","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27","groupLabel":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27-MAR","connectedTitle":"Will Margot Robbie be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?: Ma","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27","groupLabel":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27-MART","connectedTitle":"Will Martin Scorsese be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27","groupLabel":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27-POS","connectedTitle":"Will Post Malone be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?: Post","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27","groupLabel":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27-QUE","connectedTitle":"Will Quentin Tarantino be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27","groupLabel":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27-RIH","connectedTitle":"Will Rihanna be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?: Rihanna","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27","groupLabel":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27-SCA","connectedTitle":"Will Scarlett Johansson be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27","groupLabel":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27-SIM","connectedTitle":"Will Simone Biles be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?: Sim","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27","groupLabel":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27-STE","connectedTitle":"Will Stephen Curry be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?: St","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27","groupLabel":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27-TAY","connectedTitle":"Will Taylor Swift be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?: Tay","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27","groupLabel":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27-TIM","connectedTitle":"Will Timothée Chalamet be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27","groupLabel":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27-TOM","connectedTitle":"Will Tom Holland be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?: Tom ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27","groupLabel":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27-TRA","connectedTitle":"Will Travis Kelce be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?: Tra","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27","groupLabel":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27-TRAV","connectedTitle":"Will Travis Scott be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?: Tra","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27","groupLabel":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T05:45:39.209Z","priceCents":2,"iy":9060.972211667555,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T12:30:33.224Z","priceCents":3,"iy":5987.53280839895,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T12:31:19.887Z","priceCents":2,"iy":9310.109680744183,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T16:46:38.749Z","priceCents":3,"iy":6149.071343469185,"cri":32.333}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"high","reasoning":"Market resolved or at extreme price","positives":["IY 6220%","29 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 32.3","illiquid (LAS 3.00)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27-ARI","reason":"Will Ariana Grande be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fal"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27-BAD","reason":"Will Bad Bunny be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27-BEY","reason":"Will Beyoncé be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon be"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Logan%20Paul%20be%20on%20The%20Tonight%20Show%20Starring%20Jimmy%20Fallon","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":138}