{"ticker":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27-MAR","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Margot Robbie be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?","description":"If Margot Robbie is on the The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":28,"bestBid":26,"bestAsk":40,"spread":14,"volume":1626,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":437,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":243,"iyYes":427.8679030322385,"iyNo":52.81933938089723,"cri":2.846,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.5385,"cvr":null,"overround":4.95,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":14,"bidDepthUsd":1073,"askDepthUsd":866,"volume24h":0,"observability":"high","eventType":"cultural","asPrior":0.5},"computedAt":"2026-05-03T20:00:54.564Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27-TAY","connectedTitle":"Will Taylor Swift be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?: Tay","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27","groupLabel":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27-LEO","connectedTitle":"Will Leonardo DiCaprio be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27","groupLabel":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27-TIM","connectedTitle":"Will Timothée Chalamet be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27","groupLabel":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27-JEN","connectedTitle":"Will Jennifer Lawrence be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27","groupLabel":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27-TOM","connectedTitle":"Will Tom Holland be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?: Tom ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27","groupLabel":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27-DWA","connectedTitle":"Will Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon befo","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27","groupLabel":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27-SCA","connectedTitle":"Will Scarlett Johansson be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27","groupLabel":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27-DRA","connectedTitle":"Will Drake be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?: Drake","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27","groupLabel":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27-BEY","connectedTitle":"Will Beyoncé be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?: Beyoncé","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27","groupLabel":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27-RIH","connectedTitle":"Will Rihanna be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?: Rihanna","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27","groupLabel":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27-BIL","connectedTitle":"Will Billie Eilish be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?: Bi","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27","groupLabel":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27-TRAV","connectedTitle":"Will Travis Scott be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?: Tra","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27","groupLabel":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27-BAD","connectedTitle":"Will Bad Bunny be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?: Bad Bu","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27","groupLabel":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27-ARI","connectedTitle":"Will Ariana Grande be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?: Ar","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27","groupLabel":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27-POS","connectedTitle":"Will Post Malone be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?: Post","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27","groupLabel":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27-HAR","connectedTitle":"Will Harry Styles be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?: Har","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27","groupLabel":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27-KEN","connectedTitle":"Will Kendrick Lamar be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?: K","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27","groupLabel":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27-KIM","connectedTitle":"Will Kim Kardashian be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?: K","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27","groupLabel":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27-KYL","connectedTitle":"Will Kylie Jenner be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?: Kyl","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27","groupLabel":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27-LOG","connectedTitle":"Will Logan Paul be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?: Logan","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27","groupLabel":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27-CHA","connectedTitle":"Will Charli D’Amelio be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27","groupLabel":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27-LEB","connectedTitle":"Will LeBron James be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?: LeB","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27","groupLabel":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27-STE","connectedTitle":"Will Stephen Curry be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?: St","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27","groupLabel":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27-LIO","connectedTitle":"Will Lionel Messi be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?: Lio","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27","groupLabel":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27-TRA","connectedTitle":"Will Travis Kelce be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?: Tra","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27","groupLabel":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27-SIM","connectedTitle":"Will Simone Biles be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?: Sim","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27","groupLabel":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27-CHR","connectedTitle":"Will Christopher Nolan be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27","groupLabel":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27-MART","connectedTitle":"Will Martin Scorsese be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27","groupLabel":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27-QUE","connectedTitle":"Will Quentin Tarantino be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27","groupLabel":"KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T19:07:44.902Z","priceCents":27,"iy":368.4647803261242,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T06:05:58.160Z","priceCents":26,"iy":405.21203796301216,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T03:45:35.935Z","priceCents":27,"iy":397.17462685410266,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T05:00:36.504Z","priceCents":26,"iy":418.18810134860627,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T06:10:51.550Z","priceCents":27,"iy":397.3361404098982,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T07:25:44.069Z","priceCents":26,"iy":418.35819577800527,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T08:35:53.666Z","priceCents":27,"iy":397.49618429024065,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T09:45:10.383Z","priceCents":26,"iy":418.51999800424375,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T10:55:44.712Z","priceCents":27,"iy":397.6515500873803,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T12:10:49.867Z","priceCents":26,"iy":418.69205005950965,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T13:31:00.044Z","priceCents":27,"iy":397.82467764182,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T14:45:17.590Z","priceCents":26,"iy":418.87268813602424,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T16:00:41.232Z","priceCents":27,"iy":397.99153560355046,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T17:20:17.517Z","priceCents":26,"iy":419.05348214670806,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T18:35:20.259Z","priceCents":27,"iy":398.16495939150764,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T19:50:25.479Z","priceCents":26,"iy":419.2310486146594,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T21:05:19.537Z","priceCents":27,"iy":398.33210298121935,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T22:25:34.684Z","priceCents":26,"iy":419.4121521759587,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T01:10:30.525Z","priceCents":27,"iy":398.60562084040924,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T02:20:30.177Z","priceCents":26,"iy":419.6900353683249,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T03:40:29.815Z","priceCents":27,"iy":398.7731346786108,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T04:55:41.557Z","priceCents":26,"iy":419.8715357877916,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T06:15:19.151Z","priceCents":27,"iy":398.947240443982,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T06:20:18.975Z","priceCents":26,"iy":419.97168262020034,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T06:06:02.765Z","priceCents":25,"iy":444.45166030092827,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T06:55:50.998Z","priceCents":26,"iy":421.71917780842165,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T09:10:11.563Z","priceCents":25,"iy":444.6826914876768,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T09:20:54.433Z","priceCents":26,"iy":421.8921574293474,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T10:00:39.760Z","priceCents":25,"iy":444.7459059007018,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T10:35:53.172Z","priceCents":26,"iy":421.98127159314566,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T10:46:26.993Z","priceCents":25,"iy":444.80371766541015,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T20:30:11.358Z","priceCents":26,"iy":422.68866296111173,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T20:35:11.217Z","priceCents":25,"iy":445.54395016417993,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T22:20:10.899Z","priceCents":26,"iy":422.8211327285785,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T22:25:11.814Z","priceCents":25,"iy":445.6817710050429,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T17:36:08.899Z","priceCents":26,"iy":424.2058351625017,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T17:40:58.509Z","priceCents":25,"iy":447.1431838228088,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T00:21:01.181Z","priceCents":26,"iy":424.69488322069975,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T00:25:57.954Z","priceCents":25,"iy":447.6568536468703,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T09:15:34.082Z","priceCents":26,"iy":425.3399964158687,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T09:20:37.979Z","priceCents":25,"iy":448.33685451776154,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T13:00:36.679Z","priceCents":26,"iy":425.6118426298242,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T13:05:38.127Z","priceCents":25,"iy":448.6252401886274,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T16:55:41.013Z","priceCents":26,"iy":425.89625854630776,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T17:00:40.390Z","priceCents":25,"iy":448.9250397677889,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T18:10:36.417Z","priceCents":26,"iy":425.9870724515532,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T18:15:38.085Z","priceCents":25,"iy":449.02076567266994,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T19:50:41.292Z","priceCents":26,"iy":426.10938311477275,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T19:55:41.203Z","priceCents":25,"iy":449.147849627761,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T03:35:49.005Z","priceCents":26,"iy":426.67467043686366,"cri":2.846}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 428%","29 connected markets"],"warnings":["illiquid (LAS 0.54)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27-TAY","reason":"Will Taylor Swift be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fall"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27-LEO","reason":"Will Leonardo DiCaprio be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27-TIM","reason":"Will Timothée Chalamet be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Margot%20Robbie%20be%20on%20The%20Tonight%20Show%20Starring%20Jimmy%20Fal","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":7614}