{"ticker":"KXMENWORLDCUP-26-AR","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the Argentina win the 2026 Men's World Cup?","description":"If Argentina wins the 2026 Men's World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":9,"bestBid":9,"bestAsk":9,"spread":0,"volume":3246180.6,"volume24h":136320.78,"openInterest":2695273.9,"status":"active","closeTime":"2028-07-18T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":771,"iyYes":478.5452799788844,"iyNo":4.6808558964243,"cri":10.111,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.21,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.341,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":0,"observability":"low","eventType":"sports","asPrior":0.15},"computedAt":"2026-06-08T09:22:01.079Z","fresh":false},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMENWORLDCUP-26-FR","connectedTitle":"Will the France win the 2026 Men's World Cup?: France","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMENWORLDCUP-26","groupLabel":"KXMENWORLDCUP-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMENWORLDCUP-26-ES","connectedTitle":"Will the Spain win the 2026 Men's World Cup?: Spain","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMENWORLDCUP-26","groupLabel":"KXMENWORLDCUP-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMENWORLDCUP-26-BR","connectedTitle":"Will the Brazil win the 2026 Men's World Cup?: Brazil","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMENWORLDCUP-26","groupLabel":"KXMENWORLDCUP-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMENWORLDCUP-26-GB","connectedTitle":"Will the England win the 2026 Men's World Cup?: England","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMENWORLDCUP-26","groupLabel":"KXMENWORLDCUP-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMENWORLDCUP-26-DE","connectedTitle":"Will the Germany win the 2026 Men's World Cup?: Germany","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMENWORLDCUP-26","groupLabel":"KXMENWORLDCUP-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMENWORLDCUP-26-PT","connectedTitle":"Will the Portugal win the 2026 Men's World Cup?: Portugal","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMENWORLDCUP-26","groupLabel":"KXMENWORLDCUP-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMENWORLDCUP-26-NL","connectedTitle":"Will the Netherlands win the 2026 Men's World Cup?: Netherlands","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMENWORLDCUP-26","groupLabel":"KXMENWORLDCUP-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMENWORLDCUP-26-UY","connectedTitle":"Will the Uruguay win the 2026 Men's World Cup?: Uruguay","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMENWORLDCUP-26","groupLabel":"KXMENWORLDCUP-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMENWORLDCUP-26-BE","connectedTitle":"Will the Belgium win the 2026 Men's World Cup?: Belgium","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMENWORLDCUP-26","groupLabel":"KXMENWORLDCUP-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMENWORLDCUP-26-US","connectedTitle":"Will the USA win the 2026 Men's World Cup?: USA","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMENWORLDCUP-26","groupLabel":"KXMENWORLDCUP-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMENWORLDCUP-26-HR","connectedTitle":"Will the Croatia win the 2026 Men's World Cup?: Croatia","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMENWORLDCUP-26","groupLabel":"KXMENWORLDCUP-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMENWORLDCUP-26-MX","connectedTitle":"Will the Mexico win the 2026 Men's World Cup?: Mexico","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMENWORLDCUP-26","groupLabel":"KXMENWORLDCUP-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMENWORLDCUP-26-MA","connectedTitle":"Will the Morocco win the 2026 Men's World Cup?: Morocco","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMENWORLDCUP-26","groupLabel":"KXMENWORLDCUP-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMENWORLDCUP-26-CO","connectedTitle":"Will the Colombia win the 2026 Men's World Cup?: Colombia","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMENWORLDCUP-26","groupLabel":"KXMENWORLDCUP-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMENWORLDCUP-26-CH","connectedTitle":"Will the Switzerland win the 2026 Men's World Cup?: Switzerland","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMENWORLDCUP-26","groupLabel":"KXMENWORLDCUP-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMENWORLDCUP-26-JP","connectedTitle":"Will the Japan win the 2026 Men's World Cup?: Japan","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMENWORLDCUP-26","groupLabel":"KXMENWORLDCUP-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMENWORLDCUP-26-NO","connectedTitle":"Will the Norway win the 2026 Men's World Cup?: Norway","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMENWORLDCUP-26","groupLabel":"KXMENWORLDCUP-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMENWORLDCUP-26-EC","connectedTitle":"Will the Ecuador win the 2026 Men's World Cup?: Ecuador","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMENWORLDCUP-26","groupLabel":"KXMENWORLDCUP-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMENWORLDCUP-26-SN","connectedTitle":"Will the Senegal win the 2026 Men's World Cup?: Senegal","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMENWORLDCUP-26","groupLabel":"KXMENWORLDCUP-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMENWORLDCUP-26-TR","connectedTitle":"Will the Turkey win the 2026 Men's World Cup?: Turkey","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMENWORLDCUP-26","groupLabel":"KXMENWORLDCUP-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMENWORLDCUP-26-CZE","connectedTitle":"Will Czechia win the 2026 Men's World Cup?: Czechia","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMENWORLDCUP-26","groupLabel":"KXMENWORLDCUP-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMENWORLDCUP-26-BIH","connectedTitle":"Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win the 2026 Men's World Cup?: Bosnia and Herzegovin","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMENWORLDCUP-26","groupLabel":"KXMENWORLDCUP-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMENWORLDCUP-26-COD","connectedTitle":"Will Congo DR win the 2026 Men's World Cup?: Congo DR","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMENWORLDCUP-26","groupLabel":"KXMENWORLDCUP-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMENWORLDCUP-26-IRQ","connectedTitle":"Will Iraq win the 2026 Men's World Cup?: Iraq","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMENWORLDCUP-26","groupLabel":"KXMENWORLDCUP-26"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T20:51:09.526Z","priceCents":9,"iy":463.22212934071143,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T00:01:07.013Z","priceCents":10,"iy":414.99122644119444,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T00:31:12.244Z","priceCents":9,"iy":466.23708004623217,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T01:45:57.375Z","priceCents":10,"iy":415.02950057485054,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T05:01:25.684Z","priceCents":9,"iy":466.34784002956326,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T05:31:14.245Z","priceCents":10,"iy":415.1118401016992,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T20:45:36.184Z","priceCents":9,"iy":466.7347341979766,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T22:01:44.596Z","priceCents":10,"iy":415.47305116579076,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T23:16:14.578Z","priceCents":9,"iy":466.79613004014044,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-20T11:17:02.498Z","priceCents":10,"iy":415.7633148676202,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-20T16:15:39.891Z","priceCents":9,"iy":467.21452369719384,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T23:01:22.099Z","priceCents":10,"iy":416.5483170687171,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T01:30:58.259Z","priceCents":9,"iy":468.0357575655096,"cri":10.111}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"Low observability — insufficient data for conviction","positives":["IY 479%","tight LAS 0.000","24 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 10.1"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 8c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXMENWORLDCUP-26-AR","marketTitle":"Will the Argentina win the 2026 Men's World Cup?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":8},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMENWORLDCUP-26-FR","reason":"Will the France win the 2026 Men's World Cup?: France"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMENWORLDCUP-26-ES","reason":"Will the Spain win the 2026 Men's World Cup?: Spain"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMENWORLDCUP-26-BR","reason":"Will the Brazil win the 2026 Men's World Cup?: Brazil"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20Argentina%20win%20the%202026%20Men's%20World%20Cup%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":138}