{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-ALSENR-P19","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Alabama be at least 19 percentage points?","description":"If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Alabama by 19 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":56,"bestBid":60,"bestAsk":66,"spread":6,"volume":654,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":15,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":521,"iyYes":46.66081169358293,"iyNo":104.98682631056155,"cri":1.5,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1,"cvr":null,"overround":3.71,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":6,"bidDepthUsd":1047,"askDepthUsd":405,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-31T03:30:02.350Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-ALSENR-P13","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Alabam","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-ALSENR","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-ALSENR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-ALSENR-P15","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Alabam","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-ALSENR","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-ALSENR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-ALSENR-P17","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Alabam","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-ALSENR","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-ALSENR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-ALSENR-P21","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Alabam","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-ALSENR","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-ALSENR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-ALSENR-P23","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Alabam","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-ALSENR","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-ALSENR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-ALSENR-P25","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Alabam","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-ALSENR","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-ALSENR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-ALSENR-P27","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Alabam","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-ALSENR","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-ALSENR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-ALSENR-P29","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Alabam","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-ALSENR","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-ALSENR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-ALSENR-P31","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Alabam","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-ALSENR","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-ALSENR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-ALSENR-P33","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Alabam","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-ALSENR","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-ALSENR"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T19:50:11.151Z","priceCents":58,"iy":91.3464019528195,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T05:30:22.590Z","priceCents":59,"iy":95.4301816217822,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T05:35:23.489Z","priceCents":58,"iy":91.57975025938221,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T05:40:28.640Z","priceCents":59,"iy":95.43139532930786,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T15:55:37.073Z","priceCents":60,"iy":99.55251372370039,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T16:05:36.252Z","priceCents":59,"iy":95.50687920062848,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T16:10:37.275Z","priceCents":60,"iy":99.55432393067744,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T16:20:41.017Z","priceCents":59,"iy":95.50861586616534,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T16:25:35.788Z","priceCents":60,"iy":99.55613420348726,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T17:25:38.035Z","priceCents":59,"iy":95.51643164272427,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T21:50:50.196Z","priceCents":64,"iy":118.47199526923471,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T22:15:50.750Z","priceCents":65,"iy":123.76499101823508,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T01:11:15.806Z","priceCents":56,"iy":84.99192327241857,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T03:55:36.007Z","priceCents":55,"iy":82.23837494513177,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T01:16:37.894Z","priceCents":48,"iy":74.52648588064706,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T02:01:00.090Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1651.1447748618864,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T03:46:11.096Z","priceCents":41,"iy":99.01519081999753,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T06:00:39.938Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1651.6615602168276,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-23T08:15:29.490Z","priceCents":56,"iy":87.76915372844569,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T20:45:33.274Z","priceCents":55,"iy":85.01240778853405,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T06:45:40.706Z","priceCents":60,"iy":104.61590199926243,"cri":1.5}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["10 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 50c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXMIDTERMMOV-ALSENR-P19","marketTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Alabama be at least 19 percentage points?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":50},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-ALSENR-P13","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senat"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-ALSENR-P15","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senat"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-ALSENR-P17","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senat"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Republicans%20in%20the%20U.S.%20Senat","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":150}