{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-AZ09R-P15","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 9th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?","description":"If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Arizona's 9th District by 15 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":72,"bestBid":69,"bestAsk":74,"spread":5,"volume":3733.47,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":589.53,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":495,"iyYes":33.11761371480727,"iyNo":164.0717574362095,"cri":2.226,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0725,"cvr":null,"overround":3.41,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":5,"bidDepthUsd":5400,"askDepthUsd":390,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T11:30:14.240Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-AZ09R-P12","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 9th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-AZ09R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-AZ09R"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-AZ09R-P18","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 9th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-AZ09R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-AZ09R"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-AZ09R-P21","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 9th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-AZ09R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-AZ09R"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-AZ09R-P24","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 9th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-AZ09R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-AZ09R"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-AZ09R-P27","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 9th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-AZ09R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-AZ09R"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-AZ09R-P30","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 9th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-AZ09R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-AZ09R"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-AZ09R-P33","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 9th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-AZ09R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-AZ09R"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-AZ09R-P9","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 9th District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-AZ09R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-AZ09R"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T20:45:33.274Z","priceCents":70,"iy":162.2964148690195,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T21:30:52.848Z","priceCents":71,"iy":170.3013726428637,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T17:15:36.859Z","priceCents":69,"iy":159.32727891782199,"cri":2.226}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["8 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 65c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXMIDTERMMOV-AZ09R-P15","marketTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 9th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":65},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-AZ09R-P12","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-AZ09R-P18","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-AZ09R-P21","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Republicans%20in%20the%20Arizona's%20","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":142}