{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-AZGOVD-P5","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Arizona be at least 5 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Arizona by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":53,"bestBid":53,"bestAsk":60,"spread":7,"volume":47.14,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":34.64,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":495,"iyYes":65.33826788651746,"iyNo":83.0851944288038,"cri":1.128,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1321,"cvr":null,"overround":1.08,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":7,"bidDepthUsd":5338,"askDepthUsd":5326,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T05:49:13.057Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-AZGOVD-P2","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Arizona be ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-AZGOVD","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-AZGOVD"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-AZGOVD-P8","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Arizona be ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-AZGOVD","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-AZGOVD"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-AZGOVD-P11","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Arizona be ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-AZGOVD","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-AZGOVD"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-AZGOVD-P14","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Arizona be ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-AZGOVD","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-AZGOVD"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-AZGOVD-P17","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Arizona be ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-AZGOVD","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-AZGOVD"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T16:30:46.558Z","priceCents":40,"iy":104.29823007332305,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T20:45:33.274Z","priceCents":52,"iy":75.35190690347335,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T06:15:27.634Z","priceCents":53,"iy":78.64425995690401,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T13:30:38.108Z","priceCents":54,"iy":84.00513287983917,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T02:31:22.574Z","priceCents":53,"iy":82.89610583276628,"cri":1.128}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["5 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 48c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXMIDTERMMOV-AZGOVD-P5","marketTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Arizona be at least 5 percentage points?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":48},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-AZGOVD-P2","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor ele"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-AZGOVD-P8","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor ele"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-AZGOVD-P11","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor ele"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Democrats%20in%20the%20governor%20ele","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":187}