{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CAGOVPXBECE-P1","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Xavier Becerra in the governor primary election in California be at least 1 percentage points?","description":"If Xavier Becerra wins the 2026 gubernatorial primary election in California by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":97,"bestBid":98,"bestAsk":100,"spread":2,"volume":10178.56,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":2226.7,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":null,"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":2,"bidDepthUsd":1757,"askDepthUsd":0,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T12:26:05.044Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CAGOVPXBECE-P3","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Xavier Becerra in the governor primary election i","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-CAGOVPXBECE","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CAGOVPXBECE"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CAGOVPXBECE-P5","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Xavier Becerra in the governor primary election i","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-CAGOVPXBECE","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CAGOVPXBECE"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-31T04:15:25.057Z","priceCents":72,"iy":179.99329340057463,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-31T04:30:33.930Z","priceCents":67,"iy":142.11891485656102,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-31T04:45:26.575Z","priceCents":69,"iy":155.80692116800807,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-31T05:30:35.018Z","priceCents":70,"iy":163.34384999216843,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-31T08:00:38.309Z","priceCents":68,"iy":148.7892559050511,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-31T13:00:37.082Z","priceCents":69,"iy":155.90977921726665,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-31T13:30:34.589Z","priceCents":70,"iy":163.44823968484874,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T06:45:27.705Z","priceCents":68,"iy":149.06033135835403,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T16:15:29.996Z","priceCents":69,"iy":156.25011632676913,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T16:45:28.121Z","priceCents":70,"iy":163.8050469905711,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T17:00:57.269Z","priceCents":76,"iy":222.3115528918774,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T18:15:27.910Z","priceCents":77,"iy":235.0531142258611,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T18:45:27.589Z","priceCents":78,"iy":248.938796731111,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T20:45:28.198Z","priceCents":79,"iy":264.17870518994124,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T04:15:37.124Z","priceCents":74,"iy":199.9907890210462,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T11:46:18.047Z","priceCents":75,"iy":210.92779334855095,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T16:30:57.942Z","priceCents":70,"iy":164.1175454181657,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T20:30:46.850Z","priceCents":71,"iy":172.25758807470984,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T22:30:44.337Z","priceCents":65,"iy":130.6871278549767,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T22:45:26.991Z","priceCents":68,"iy":149.5391158659436,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T23:01:01.933Z","priceCents":69,"iy":156.63632373024438,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T00:15:42.332Z","priceCents":76,"iy":222.86967442709482,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T03:15:38.542Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2276.1652931241874,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T03:30:26.900Z","priceCents":1,"iy":6969.4240268169015,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T04:45:27.232Z","priceCents":50,"iy":70.40528367542585,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T13:15:46.034Z","priceCents":51,"iy":73.32918188662454,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T15:45:25.046Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1338.8857998949743,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T17:45:42.890Z","priceCents":85,"iy":399.38081491708255,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T20:15:26.268Z","priceCents":12,"iy":516.949572631415,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T20:45:41.533Z","priceCents":13,"iy":471.78080726442903,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T21:00:26.534Z","priceCents":12,"iy":516.980524706261,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T21:15:40.485Z","priceCents":11,"iy":570.3997222889947,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T22:30:25.807Z","priceCents":10,"iy":634.5533111706494,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T04:30:33.050Z","priceCents":89,"iy":570.7326337663944,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T04:45:26.640Z","priceCents":86,"iy":433.3254463224487,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T16:45:49.605Z","priceCents":85,"iy":400.1209713041364,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T19:45:24.433Z","priceCents":86,"iy":433.84949306366013,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T08:01:28.005Z","priceCents":87,"iy":473.1231626529045,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T13:45:51.410Z","priceCents":86,"iy":434.4808666474548,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T17:45:43.291Z","priceCents":88,"iy":518.8494851888826,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T23:30:35.205Z","priceCents":89,"iy":572.7160775692228,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T01:45:50.049Z","priceCents":95,"iy":1345.1601390354401,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T12:30:28.024Z","priceCents":96,"iy":1700.6274461079688,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T16:01:16.606Z","priceCents":97,"iy":2291.777112781583,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T13:30:27.409Z","priceCents":96,"iy":1704.0746057868494,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T14:30:37.762Z","priceCents":97,"iy":2295.95476181212,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T14:30:36.583Z","priceCents":98,"iy":3506.7252264617046,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T22:45:30.117Z","priceCents":96,"iy":1722.1144262469097,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T00:30:54.433Z","priceCents":97,"iy":2343.441804804302,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T04:46:33.115Z","priceCents":98,"iy":3566.8274082317203,"cri":49}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["2 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 87c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CAGOVPXBECE-P1","marketTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Xavier Becerra in the governor primary election in California be at least 1 percentage points?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":87},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-CAGOVPXBECE-P3","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Xavier Becerra in the governo"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-CAGOVPXBECE-P5","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Xavier Becerra in the governo"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Xavier%20Becerra%20in%20the%20governo","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":142}