{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CT01D-P34","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 1st District House election be at least 34 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Connecticut's 1st District by 34 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":53,"bestBid":47,"bestAsk":49,"spread":2,"volume":4920.76,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":1390.71,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":541,"iyYes":76.13120462430659,"iyNo":59.86964436279574,"cri":1.128,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0426,"cvr":null,"overround":3.27,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":2,"bidDepthUsd":1457,"askDepthUsd":1115,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-11T23:50:29.039Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CT01D-P22","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 1st District House","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-CT01D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CT01D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CT01D-P25","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 1st District House","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-CT01D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CT01D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CT01D-P28","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 1st District House","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-CT01D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CT01D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CT01D-P31","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 1st District House","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-CT01D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CT01D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CT01D-P37","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 1st District House","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-CT01D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CT01D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CT01D-P40","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 1st District House","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-CT01D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CT01D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CT01D-P43","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 1st District House","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-CT01D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CT01D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CT01D-P46","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 1st District House","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-CT01D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CT01D"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T17:36:06.036Z","priceCents":50,"iy":67.10891132798422,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T17:40:28.560Z","priceCents":52,"iy":72.70172161354003,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T17:45:28.099Z","priceCents":50,"iy":67.1097750443568,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T18:20:32.132Z","priceCents":47,"iy":75.68031991278123,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T18:50:33.122Z","priceCents":45,"iy":82.02984537935994,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T18:55:45.889Z","priceCents":44,"iy":85.42013668559173,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T19:30:29.875Z","priceCents":45,"iy":82.03406896337543,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T20:10:33.143Z","priceCents":44,"iy":85.42830508905274,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T22:35:31.747Z","priceCents":45,"iy":82.0533823160349,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T05:50:43.652Z","priceCents":43,"iy":89.04198146463084,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T06:20:15.507Z","priceCents":39,"iy":105.06779763314553,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T06:50:23.465Z","priceCents":42,"iy":92.7683621760995,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T07:00:15.569Z","priceCents":39,"iy":105.07321217327788,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T13:30:36.840Z","priceCents":38,"iy":109.66083353088112,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T13:40:39.278Z","priceCents":39,"iy":105.1270011135955,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T14:00:43.215Z","priceCents":38,"iy":109.66507423739158,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T15:50:36.617Z","priceCents":43,"iy":89.11020218657292,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T16:20:37.538Z","priceCents":44,"iy":85.56047300374526,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T16:30:35.825Z","priceCents":45,"iy":82.166275481522,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T16:45:33.954Z","priceCents":46,"iy":78.92005018530396,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T16:55:33.708Z","priceCents":45,"iy":82.16884828540323,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T17:10:43.748Z","priceCents":46,"iy":78.92266675806908,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T18:40:34.067Z","priceCents":45,"iy":82.17989803961542,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T19:40:35.088Z","priceCents":44,"iy":85.5823830925387,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T19:45:33.409Z","priceCents":45,"iy":82.18671101269176,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T22:05:36.643Z","priceCents":44,"iy":85.59831041331087,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T00:55:34.396Z","priceCents":46,"iy":78.96964921128914,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T01:10:41.535Z","priceCents":48,"iy":72.87765523478124,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T01:15:32.033Z","priceCents":47,"iy":75.8599754652095,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T01:20:35.741Z","priceCents":46,"iy":78.97212352153649,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T01:35:41.754Z","priceCents":48,"iy":72.87993871019866,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T01:45:34.773Z","priceCents":47,"iy":75.86291169894335,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T02:00:37.343Z","priceCents":46,"iy":78.97619919408216,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T02:05:44.932Z","priceCents":47,"iy":75.86486931438003,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T02:10:36.989Z","priceCents":48,"iy":72.883297022245,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T02:20:34.653Z","priceCents":46,"iy":78.9782371881151,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T02:30:32.851Z","priceCents":48,"iy":72.88517781218513,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T02:35:34.569Z","priceCents":47,"iy":75.86780592697576,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T02:40:34.316Z","priceCents":46,"iy":78.98027528733232,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T02:55:34.013Z","priceCents":47,"iy":75.86976379501148,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T03:05:45.033Z","priceCents":46,"iy":78.98275026351628,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T03:10:32.426Z","priceCents":47,"iy":75.87116233404875,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T03:15:35.233Z","priceCents":46,"iy":78.98376941644258,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T03:20:37.376Z","priceCents":47,"iy":75.87214134205328,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T03:30:34.294Z","priceCents":46,"iy":78.98522539481993,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T03:50:37.075Z","priceCents":47,"iy":75.87507851766495,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T03:55:36.007Z","priceCents":46,"iy":78.98784629117398,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T04:00:36.621Z","priceCents":47,"iy":75.87605762673813,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T04:45:41.526Z","priceCents":48,"iy":72.89767409562332,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T05:00:36.145Z","priceCents":47,"iy":75.88193281187337,"cri":1.128}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["tight LAS 0.043","8 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 48c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CT01D-P34","marketTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 1st District House election be at least 34 percentage points?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":48},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-CT01D-P22","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut'"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-CT01D-P25","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut'"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-CT01D-P28","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut'"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Democrats%20in%20the%20Connecticut'","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":126}