{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CT02D-P8","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 2nd District House election be at least 8 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Connecticut's 2nd District by 8 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":90,"bestBid":92,"bestAsk":94,"spread":2,"volume":474,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":174,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":541,"iyYes":5.870322328140882,"iyNo":776.3501278966326,"cri":11.5,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0217,"cvr":null,"overround":3.5,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":2,"bidDepthUsd":950,"askDepthUsd":721,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-11T23:00:46.286Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CT02D-P11","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 2nd District House","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-CT02D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CT02D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CT02D-P14","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 2nd District House","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-CT02D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CT02D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CT02D-P17","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 2nd District House","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-CT02D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CT02D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CT02D-P20","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 2nd District House","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-CT02D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CT02D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CT02D-P23","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 2nd District House","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-CT02D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CT02D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CT02D-P26","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 2nd District House","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-CT02D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CT02D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CT02D-P29","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 2nd District House","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-CT02D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CT02D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CT02D-P32","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 2nd District House","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-CT02D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CT02D"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T22:00:39.111Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3271.3989917835484,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T23:55:33.140Z","priceCents":9,"iy":675.149380484636,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:01:25.695Z","priceCents":14,"iy":410.1800976800976,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:05:31.157Z","priceCents":10,"iy":600.9648366967241,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:15:31.929Z","priceCents":89,"iy":540.268236485311,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T04:00:53.012Z","priceCents":90,"iy":603.3523246972219,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T12:30:21.811Z","priceCents":91,"iy":680.7836790644519,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T10:46:02.125Z","priceCents":92,"iy":775.6256744571086,"cri":11.5}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["tight LAS 0.022","8 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 11.5"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 81c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CT02D-P8","marketTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 2nd District House election be at least 8 percentage points?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":81},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-CT02D-P11","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut'"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-CT02D-P14","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut'"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-CT02D-P17","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut'"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Democrats%20in%20the%20Connecticut'","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":114}