{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CTGOVD-P29","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Connecticut be at least 29 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Connecticut by 29 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":0,"bestBid":9,"bestAsk":17,"spread":8,"volume":0,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":0,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":404,"iyYes":913.517417475397,"iyNo":8.935504264642814,"cri":10.111,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.8889,"cvr":null,"overround":2.33,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":8,"bidDepthUsd":200,"askDepthUsd":200,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-09-25T15:38:23.554Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CTGOVD-P11","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Connecticut","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-CTGOVD","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CTGOVD"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CTGOVD-P14","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Connecticut","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-CTGOVD","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CTGOVD"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CTGOVD-P17","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Connecticut","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-CTGOVD","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CTGOVD"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CTGOVD-P20","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Connecticut","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-CTGOVD","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CTGOVD"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CTGOVD-P23","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Connecticut","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-CTGOVD","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CTGOVD"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CTGOVD-P26","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Connecticut","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-CTGOVD","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CTGOVD"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CTGOVD-P32","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Connecticut","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-CTGOVD","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CTGOVD"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CTGOVD-P8","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Connecticut","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-CTGOVD","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CTGOVD"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-08-27T08:32:15.559Z","priceCents":1,"iy":8340.084335597516,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-27T12:46:01.996Z","priceCents":1,"iy":8343.473572650677,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-27T19:32:10.612Z","priceCents":1,"iy":8348.909801275846,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-27T19:46:20.370Z","priceCents":10,"iy":759.0093368545821,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-29T20:01:48.568Z","priceCents":9,"iy":856.6948061829559,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-31T22:46:00.452Z","priceCents":10,"iy":766.313019623212,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-03T15:16:03.616Z","priceCents":11,"iy":693.2530694881367,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-03T21:01:12.285Z","priceCents":10,"iy":771.5813777601356,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-03T22:02:07.900Z","priceCents":2,"iy":4201.246397169884,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-04T03:47:05.246Z","priceCents":10,"iy":772.0927827540092,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-10T07:46:38.225Z","priceCents":1,"iy":8617.914099894826,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-10T09:16:08.917Z","priceCents":10,"iy":783.5625979453249,"cri":9}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"high","reasoning":"Market resolved or at extreme price","positives":["IY 914%","8 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 10.1","illiquid (LAS 0.89)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-CTGOVD-P11","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor ele"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-CTGOVD-P14","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor ele"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-CTGOVD-P17","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor ele"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Democrats%20in%20the%20governor%20ele","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":202}