{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-DEALD-P19","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Delaware House election be at least 19 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Delaware by 19 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":0,"bestBid":73,"bestAsk":78,"spread":5,"volume":0,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":0,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":463,"iyYes":30.664832777645763,"iyNo":202.76338408075972,"cri":2.571,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":3.51,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":false},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":5},"computedAt":"2026-07-28T17:56:34.205Z","fresh":false},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-DEALD-P13","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Delaware House election be at le","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-DEALD","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-DEALD"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-DEALD-P16","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Delaware House election be at le","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-DEALD","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-DEALD"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-DEALD-P22","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Delaware House election be at le","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-DEALD","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-DEALD"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-DEALD-P25","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Delaware House election be at le","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-DEALD","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-DEALD"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-DEALD-P28","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Delaware House election be at le","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-DEALD","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-DEALD"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-DEALD-P31","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Delaware House election be at le","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-DEALD","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-DEALD"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-DEALD-P34","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Delaware House election be at le","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-DEALD","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-DEALD"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-DEALD-P37","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Delaware House election be at le","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-DEALD","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-DEALD"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":1,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-07-21T18:02:18.771Z","priceCents":72,"iy":199.75002363860628,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-21T23:31:29.650Z","priceCents":71,"iy":190.2757805694029,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-22T03:31:48.488Z","priceCents":72,"iy":199.9180853142061,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-22T03:46:31.212Z","priceCents":71,"iy":190.34751882027578,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-22T14:46:45.972Z","priceCents":72,"iy":200.11799956321275,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-22T18:02:38.605Z","priceCents":71,"iy":190.58906988783153,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-22T18:16:02.524Z","priceCents":72,"iy":200.17988767988766,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-22T19:02:25.217Z","priceCents":71,"iy":190.60573716281576,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-22T22:45:58.550Z","priceCents":72,"iy":200.2601858365755,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-22T23:01:34.321Z","priceCents":71,"iy":190.6732491060099,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-22T23:16:01.051Z","priceCents":72,"iy":200.2687319849588,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-23T05:32:16.637Z","priceCents":71,"iy":190.78397452895902,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-23T18:46:25.709Z","priceCents":72,"iy":200.61675146821233,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-24T07:00:56.327Z","priceCents":71,"iy":191.21711705682506,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-24T14:00:57.844Z","priceCents":72,"iy":200.96124934886413,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-25T05:32:16.020Z","priceCents":71,"iy":191.6020981520286,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-25T16:31:07.564Z","priceCents":72,"iy":201.4374107597011,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-25T20:47:00.336Z","priceCents":73,"iy":211.8803612709259,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-26T00:16:05.597Z","priceCents":71,"iy":191.92307139715996,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-26T00:31:47.152Z","priceCents":73,"iy":211.9513516562075,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-26T02:32:34.256Z","priceCents":71,"iy":191.96223777228693,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-26T16:01:00.889Z","priceCents":73,"iy":212.24537524934547,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-26T18:30:59.601Z","priceCents":72,"iy":201.90714668323716,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-27T01:16:58.834Z","priceCents":73,"iy":212.42172404963097,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-27T16:01:26.029Z","priceCents":73,"iy":212.70330048945306,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-28T04:15:58.619Z","priceCents":72,"iy":202.51969018494637,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-28T05:31:27.950Z","priceCents":71,"iy":192.84210870966936,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-28T16:32:14.845Z","priceCents":72,"iy":202.74323633751288,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-28T17:16:17.328Z","priceCents":73,"iy":213.18669097370986,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-28T17:30:58.370Z","priceCents":72,"iy":202.76119391469524,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-28T17:46:12.097Z","priceCents":73,"iy":213.19590218992874,"cri":2.704}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"high","reasoning":"Market resolved or at extreme price","positives":["8 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-DEALD-P13","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Delaware Hou"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-DEALD-P16","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Delaware Hou"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-DEALD-P22","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Delaware Hou"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Democrats%20in%20the%20Delaware%20Hou","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":132}