{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-DESEND-P34","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Delaware be at least 34 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Delaware by 34 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":35,"bestBid":0,"bestAsk":100,"spread":100,"volume":1020,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":1020,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":404,"iyYes":167.71958275468018,"iyNo":48.62875476319128,"cri":1.857,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":4.18,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":false},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":100,"bidDepthUsd":0,"askDepthUsd":0,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-09-25T11:33:16.581Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-DESEND-P14","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Delaware","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-DESEND","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-DESEND"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-DESEND-P16","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Delaware","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-DESEND","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-DESEND"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-DESEND-P18","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Delaware","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-DESEND","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-DESEND"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-DESEND-P20","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Delaware","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-DESEND","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-DESEND"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-DESEND-P26","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Delaware","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-DESEND","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-DESEND"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-DESEND-P28","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Delaware","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-DESEND","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-DESEND"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-DESEND-P30","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Delaware","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-DESEND","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-DESEND"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-DESEND-P32","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Delaware","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-DESEND","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-DESEND"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-09-23T14:02:08.637Z","priceCents":35,"iy":166.94343977370283,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-24T22:31:25.814Z","priceCents":23,"iy":301.95101936536884,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-24T22:46:05.572Z","priceCents":35,"iy":167.5061389499607,"cri":1.857}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 168%","8 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 32c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXMIDTERMMOV-DESEND-P34","marketTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Delaware be at least 34 percentage points?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":32},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-DESEND-P14","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-DESEND-P16","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-DESEND-P18","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Democrats%20in%20the%20U.S.%20Senate%20","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":139}