{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-FL09D-P16","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 9th District House election be at least 16 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Florida's 9th District by 16 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":12,"bestBid":8,"bestAsk":13,"spread":5,"volume":2130,"volume24h":117,"openInterest":379,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":496,"iyYes":847.0984733055508,"iyNo":6.4052814616676805,"cri":11.5,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.625,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.4,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":5,"bidDepthUsd":311,"askDepthUsd":5327,"volume24h":117},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T02:49:37.863Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-FL09D-P10","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 9th District House ele","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-FL09D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-FL09D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-FL09D-P13","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 9th District House ele","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-FL09D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-FL09D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-FL09D-P19","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 9th District House ele","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-FL09D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-FL09D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-FL09D-P22","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 9th District House ele","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-FL09D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-FL09D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-FL09D-P25","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 9th District House ele","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-FL09D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-FL09D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-FL09D-P28","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 9th District House ele","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-FL09D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-FL09D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-FL09D-P4","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 9th District House ele","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-FL09D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-FL09D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-FL09D-P7","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 9th District House ele","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-FL09D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-FL09D"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 847%","8 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 11.5","illiquid (LAS 0.63)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-FL09D-P10","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 9t"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-FL09D-P13","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 9t"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-FL09D-P19","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 9t"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Democrats%20in%20the%20Florida's%209t","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":148}