{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-FLGOVR-P9","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Florida be at least 9 percentage points?","description":"If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida by 9 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":37,"bestBid":35,"bestAsk":39,"spread":4,"volume":1313.14,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":605,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":464,"iyYes":146.15100771812848,"iyNo":42.37514424963488,"cri":1.857,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1143,"cvr":null,"overround":0.86,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":4,"bidDepthUsd":2210,"askDepthUsd":901,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-07-27T19:49:59.987Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-FLGOVR-P12","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Florida b","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-FLGOVR","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-FLGOVR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-FLGOVR-P15","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Florida b","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-FLGOVR","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-FLGOVR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-FLGOVR-P18","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Florida b","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-FLGOVR","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-FLGOVR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-FLGOVR-P3","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Florida b","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-FLGOVR","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-FLGOVR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-FLGOVR-P6","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Florida b","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-FLGOVR","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-FLGOVR"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-06-28T14:02:15.218Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2393.6529828546704,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-28T14:46:00.717Z","priceCents":27,"iy":200.16872920465136,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-29T12:02:08.255Z","priceCents":34,"iy":143.9737569727763,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-29T22:16:21.015Z","priceCents":28,"iy":190.8841071984227,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-07T16:31:22.640Z","priceCents":32,"iy":160.27396128008394,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-08T17:32:24.315Z","priceCents":33,"iy":153.46237602053574,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-11T21:31:00.187Z","priceCents":34,"iy":147.69398737716074,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T18:45:59.358Z","priceCents":35,"iy":141.56146019825766,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T19:31:53.903Z","priceCents":36,"iy":135.52088170256926,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-15T22:30:58.508Z","priceCents":28,"iy":197.308614398003,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-18T20:32:26.570Z","priceCents":26,"iy":219.73652118606628,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-19T23:02:31.333Z","priceCents":36,"iy":137.57410214641513,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-20T02:31:29.011Z","priceCents":37,"iy":131.80490466713744,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-21T18:31:53.763Z","priceCents":36,"iy":138.10466015730216,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-22T00:16:00.268Z","priceCents":37,"iy":132.33985496311578,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-22T22:45:58.550Z","priceCents":36,"iy":138.4514865042991,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-23T05:15:59.411Z","priceCents":37,"iy":132.6811540600433,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-24T00:02:29.698Z","priceCents":36,"iy":138.76325349456485,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-24T05:00:57.077Z","priceCents":37,"iy":132.96217640955518,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-24T22:45:58.067Z","priceCents":35,"iy":145.25219699687642,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-25T07:45:58.914Z","priceCents":36,"iy":139.15665822910287,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-25T20:31:01.278Z","priceCents":35,"iy":145.5347366419355,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-26T05:32:17.944Z","priceCents":36,"iy":139.42785873665946,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-26T18:16:59.274Z","priceCents":35,"iy":145.8186912826237,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-27T07:30:58.581Z","priceCents":36,"iy":139.75277160376837,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-27T18:01:28.657Z","priceCents":35,"iy":146.12958321810297,"cri":1.857}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 146%","5 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 33c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXMIDTERMMOV-FLGOVR-P9","marketTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Florida be at least 9 percentage points?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":33},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-FLGOVR-P12","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor e"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-FLGOVR-P15","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor e"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-FLGOVR-P18","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor e"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Republicans%20in%20the%20governor%20e","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":179}