{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-GA01R-P18","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Georgia's 1st District House election be at least 18 percentage points?","description":"If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Georgia's 1st District by 18 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":20,"bestBid":0,"bestAsk":99,"spread":99,"volume":10,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":10,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":404,"iyYes":361.1680074410504,"iyNo":22.57300046506565,"cri":4,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":1.26,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":false},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":99,"bidDepthUsd":0,"askDepthUsd":200,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-09-25T09:34:12.164Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-GA01R-P12","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Georgia's 1st District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-GA01R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-GA01R"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-GA01R-P21","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Georgia's 1st District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-GA01R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-GA01R"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-GA01R-P24","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Georgia's 1st District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-GA01R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-GA01R"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-GA01R-P3","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Georgia's 1st District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-GA01R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-GA01R"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-GA01R-P6","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Georgia's 1st District House e","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-GA01R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-GA01R"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-08-27T00:16:13.108Z","priceCents":26,"iy":239.57855462373305,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-27T01:32:05.402Z","priceCents":20,"iy":336.74615567359615,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-27T14:31:24.931Z","priceCents":20,"iy":337.16687450926054,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-27T15:16:57.110Z","priceCents":1,"iy":8345.49687289255,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-27T17:46:08.295Z","priceCents":20,"iy":337.27202374764664,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-27T19:46:20.370Z","priceCents":21,"iy":317.2578709603809,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-27T23:45:59.524Z","priceCents":20,"iy":337.466917840674,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-31T22:46:00.452Z","priceCents":20,"iy":340.5835642769831,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-01T08:02:20.491Z","priceCents":19,"iy":363.31752587708036,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-01T17:32:01.463Z","priceCents":20,"iy":341.2059996167275,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-05T12:01:25.035Z","priceCents":21,"iy":323.74853535646133,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-09T20:31:04.518Z","priceCents":20,"iy":347.80951473425927,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-23T13:46:41.908Z","priceCents":18,"iy":409.4997371703993,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-23T14:16:33.997Z","priceCents":20,"iy":359.5793414279733,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-24T22:31:25.814Z","priceCents":19,"iy":384.50768904831324,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-24T22:46:05.572Z","priceCents":20,"iy":360.7824531229922,"cri":4}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 361%","5 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 18c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXMIDTERMMOV-GA01R-P18","marketTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Georgia's 1st District House election be at least 18 percentage points?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":18},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-GA01R-P12","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Georgia's "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-GA01R-P21","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Georgia's "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-GA01R-P24","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Georgia's "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Republicans%20in%20the%20Georgia's%20","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":125}