{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-GA13D-P46","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Georgia's 13th District House election be at least 46 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Georgia's 13th District by 46 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":0,"bestBid":46,"bestAsk":53,"spread":7,"volume":0,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":0,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":541,"iyYes":79.25389554408946,"iyNo":57.51071432486052,"cri":1.174,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1522,"cvr":null,"overround":2.28,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":7,"bidDepthUsd":1618,"askDepthUsd":1549,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-11T23:51:05.529Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-GA13D-P34","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Georgia's 13th District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-GA13D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-GA13D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-GA13D-P37","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Georgia's 13th District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-GA13D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-GA13D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-GA13D-P40","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Georgia's 13th District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-GA13D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-GA13D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-GA13D-P43","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Georgia's 13th District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-GA13D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-GA13D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-GA13D-P49","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Georgia's 13th District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-GA13D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-GA13D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-GA13D-P52","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Georgia's 13th District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-GA13D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-GA13D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-GA13D-P55","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Georgia's 13th District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-GA13D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-GA13D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-GA13D-P58","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Georgia's 13th District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-GA13D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-GA13D"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T22:06:20.784Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3271.422927214727,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T23:05:35.574Z","priceCents":11,"iy":540.2198096783244,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T23:10:33.919Z","priceCents":13,"iy":446.84022538590006,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T23:35:31.957Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3271.7939711913828,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T23:40:53.030Z","priceCents":9,"iy":675.1370295434192,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T23:45:32.742Z","priceCents":15,"iy":378.37557663401236,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T23:50:34.084Z","priceCents":17,"iy":326.00704377522936,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:01:25.695Z","priceCents":27,"iy":180.53577081354854,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:05:31.157Z","priceCents":53,"iy":75.2981946688567,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:35:29.570Z","priceCents":54,"iy":78.3897293943588,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:40:28.929Z","priceCents":53,"iy":75.30150086459516,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T07:20:21.375Z","priceCents":45,"iy":82.2599081188583,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T23:05:25.580Z","priceCents":46,"iy":79.25052405464498,"cri":1.174}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"high","reasoning":"Market resolved or at extreme price","positives":["8 connected markets"],"warnings":["illiquid (LAS 0.15)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-GA13D-P34","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Georgia's 13"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-GA13D-P37","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Georgia's 13"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-GA13D-P40","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Georgia's 13"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Democrats%20in%20the%20Georgia's%2013","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":179}