{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-GAGOVD-P10","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Georgia be at least 10 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Georgia by 10 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":18,"bestBid":14,"bestAsk":21,"spread":7,"volume":23.8,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":23.8,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":495,"iyYes":452.7157899594878,"iyNo":11.997335699304978,"cri":6.143,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.5,"cvr":null,"overround":0.19,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":7,"bidDepthUsd":300,"askDepthUsd":1334,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T08:40:55.619Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-GAGOVD-P1","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Georgia be ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-GAGOVD","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-GAGOVD"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-GAGOVD-P4","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Georgia be ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-GAGOVD","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-GAGOVD"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-GAGOVD-P7","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Georgia be ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-GAGOVD","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-GAGOVD"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-GAGOVD-P13","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Georgia be ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-GAGOVD","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-GAGOVD"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T20:45:33.274Z","priceCents":17,"iy":339.5950193477803,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T21:30:52.848Z","priceCents":18,"iy":316.8831487830438,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T17:02:16.512Z","priceCents":14,"iy":450.30634890349893,"cri":6.143}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 453%","4 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 6.1","illiquid (LAS 0.50)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-GAGOVD-P1","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor ele"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-GAGOVD-P4","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor ele"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-GAGOVD-P7","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor ele"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Democrats%20in%20the%20governor%20ele","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":111}