{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-GASEND-P16","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 16 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia by 16 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":0,"bestBid":9,"bestAsk":15,"spread":6,"volume":0,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":0,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":502,"iyYes":735.0576815021512,"iyNo":7.189913319849564,"cri":10.111,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.6667,"cvr":null,"overround":2.02,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":6,"bidDepthUsd":382,"askDepthUsd":5375,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-06-19T13:27:51.808Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-GASEND-P10","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-GASEND","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-GASEND"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-GASEND-P12","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-GASEND","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-GASEND"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-GASEND-P14","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-GASEND","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-GASEND"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-GASEND-P18","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-GASEND","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-GASEND"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-GASEND-P2","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-GASEND","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-GASEND"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-GASEND-P4","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-GASEND","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-GASEND"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-GASEND-P6","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-GASEND","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-GASEND"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-GASEND-P8","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-GASEND","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-GASEND"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T01:16:37.752Z","priceCents":1,"iy":6810.5742481699,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-24T12:00:31.441Z","priceCents":6,"iy":1082.7613412228795,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T04:30:25.629Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1314.84897722382,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T23:15:22.595Z","priceCents":6,"iy":1087.8470584057509,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T06:00:21.030Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1320.0095170116579,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T21:30:52.848Z","priceCents":6,"iy":1089.7688775221748,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T22:00:36.666Z","priceCents":10,"iy":626.0624957119009,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-30T23:45:24.855Z","priceCents":9,"iy":707.4976862280247,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-17T20:45:47.679Z","priceCents":10,"iy":652.0962363030014,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T17:00:34.470Z","priceCents":9,"iy":733.8314063492821,"cri":10.111}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"high","reasoning":"Market resolved or at extreme price","positives":["IY 735%","8 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 10.1","illiquid (LAS 0.67)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-GASEND-P10","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-GASEND-P12","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-GASEND-P14","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Democrats%20in%20the%20U.S.%20Senate%20","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":130}