{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IASEND-P2","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Iowa be at least 2 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":23,"bestBid":21,"bestAsk":23,"spread":2,"volume":5022.29,"volume24h":4.08,"openInterest":1578.72,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":495,"iyYes":277.2680667285724,"iyNo":19.59224762494799,"cri":3.762,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0952,"cvr":null,"overround":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":2,"bidDepthUsd":1876,"askDepthUsd":314,"volume24h":4.08},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T09:42:46.606Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IASEND-P4","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Iowa be ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-IASEND","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IASEND"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IASEND-P6","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Iowa be ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-IASEND","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IASEND"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T20:45:33.274Z","priceCents":21,"iy":261.66156682964373,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T22:01:05.351Z","priceCents":22,"iy":260.01006796975514,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T00:00:58.125Z","priceCents":21,"iy":275.9302682537896,"cri":3.762}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 277%","2 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 21c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IASEND-P2","marketTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Iowa be at least 2 percentage points?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":21},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-IASEND-P4","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-IASEND-P6","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Democrats%20in%20the%20U.S.%20Senate%20","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":130}