{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-ID01R-P33","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Idaho's 1st District House election be at least 33 percentage points?","description":"If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Idaho's 1st District by 33 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":0,"bestBid":61,"bestAsk":68,"spread":7,"volume":0,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":0,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":541,"iyYes":43.163779176107006,"iyNo":105.59659586738606,"cri":1.564,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1148,"cvr":null,"overround":3.63,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":7,"bidDepthUsd":2315,"askDepthUsd":985,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-11T23:50:32.649Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-ID01R-P24","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Idaho's 1st District House ele","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-ID01R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-ID01R"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-ID01R-P27","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Idaho's 1st District House ele","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-ID01R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-ID01R"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-ID01R-P30","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Idaho's 1st District House ele","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-ID01R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-ID01R"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-ID01R-P36","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Idaho's 1st District House ele","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-ID01R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-ID01R"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-ID01R-P39","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Idaho's 1st District House ele","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-ID01R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-ID01R"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-ID01R-P42","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Idaho's 1st District House ele","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-ID01R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-ID01R"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-ID01R-P45","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Idaho's 1st District House ele","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-ID01R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-ID01R"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-ID01R-P48","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Idaho's 1st District House ele","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-ID01R","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-ID01R"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T22:06:20.784Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3271.422927214727,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:01:25.695Z","priceCents":59,"iy":96.08870127162807,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:05:31.032Z","priceCents":62,"iy":108.9468417403418,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T04:15:41.035Z","priceCents":61,"iy":105.2448323794649,"cri":1.564}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"high","reasoning":"Market resolved or at extreme price","positives":["8 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-ID01R-P24","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Idaho's 1s"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-ID01R-P27","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Idaho's 1s"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-ID01R-P30","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Idaho's 1s"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Republicans%20in%20the%20Idaho's%201s","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":115}