{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL02D-P34","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 2nd District House election be at least 34 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Illinois's 2nd District by 34 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":0,"bestBid":73,"bestAsk":77,"spread":4,"volume":0,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":0,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":541,"iyYes":24.97040544539805,"iyNo":182.53400633542685,"cri":2.704,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0548,"cvr":null,"overround":3.68,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":4,"bidDepthUsd":919,"askDepthUsd":312,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-11T23:43:40.454Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL02D-P28","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 2nd District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-IL02D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL02D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL02D-P31","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 2nd District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-IL02D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL02D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL02D-P37","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 2nd District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-IL02D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL02D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL02D-P40","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 2nd District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-IL02D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL02D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL02D-P43","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 2nd District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-IL02D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL02D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL02D-P46","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 2nd District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-IL02D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL02D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL02D-P49","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 2nd District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-IL02D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL02D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL02D-P52","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 2nd District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-IL02D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL02D"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T22:06:20.784Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3271.422927214727,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:01:25.695Z","priceCents":72,"iy":171.70329670329667,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:51:16.377Z","priceCents":76,"iy":211.4629700439148,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:55:28.401Z","priceCents":72,"iy":171.7152339378302,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T02:50:18.204Z","priceCents":73,"iy":180.57442116054355,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T04:00:49.048Z","priceCents":72,"iy":171.7554557846035,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T14:00:50.832Z","priceCents":73,"iy":180.72852621906625,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T14:30:43.465Z","priceCents":74,"iy":190.25789418815316,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T14:41:14.928Z","priceCents":73,"iy":180.73779412795147,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T15:10:42.848Z","priceCents":74,"iy":190.26730266617955,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T15:20:43.159Z","priceCents":73,"iy":180.74673194035228,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T16:05:45.060Z","priceCents":74,"iy":190.28089433288403,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T04:10:41.457Z","priceCents":73,"iy":181.92460735658182,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T06:30:37.090Z","priceCents":72,"iy":173.37480254536374,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T06:35:32.776Z","priceCents":73,"iy":182.29460641947938,"cri":2.704}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"high","reasoning":"Market resolved or at extreme price","positives":["8 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-IL02D-P28","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 2"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-IL02D-P31","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 2"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-IL02D-P37","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 2"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Democrats%20in%20the%20Illinois's%202","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":112}