{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL07D-P56","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 7th District House election be at least 56 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Illinois's 7th District by 56 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":89,"bestBid":94,"bestAsk":98,"spread":4,"volume":1348,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":230,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":495,"iyYes":4.705509653320829,"iyNo":1154.941202687299,"cri":15.667,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0426,"cvr":null,"overround":3.57,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":4,"bidDepthUsd":5300,"askDepthUsd":27,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T12:23:15.927Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL07D-P59","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 7th District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-IL07D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL07D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL07D-P62","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 7th District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-IL07D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL07D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL07D-P65","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 7th District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-IL07D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL07D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL07D-P68","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 7th District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-IL07D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL07D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL07D-P71","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 7th District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-IL07D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL07D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL07D-P74","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 7th District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-IL07D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL07D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL07D-P77","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 7th District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-IL07D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL07D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL07D-P80","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 7th District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-IL07D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL07D"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T21:30:52.848Z","priceCents":94,"iy":1089.7688775221739,"cri":15.667}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["tight LAS 0.043","8 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 15.7"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 80c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL07D-P56","marketTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 7th District House election be at least 56 percentage points?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":80},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-IL07D-P59","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 7"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-IL07D-P62","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 7"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-IL07D-P65","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 7"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Democrats%20in%20the%20Illinois's%207","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":142}