{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL07D-P65","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 7th District House election be at least 65 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Illinois's 7th District by 65 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":0,"bestBid":61,"bestAsk":69,"spread":8,"volume":0,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":0,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":541,"iyYes":43.163779176107006,"iyNo":105.59659586738606,"cri":1.564,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1311,"cvr":null,"overround":3.55,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":8,"bidDepthUsd":2408,"askDepthUsd":1387,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-11T23:50:32.464Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL07D-P56","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 7th District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-IL07D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL07D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL07D-P59","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 7th District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-IL07D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL07D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL07D-P62","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 7th District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-IL07D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL07D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL07D-P68","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 7th District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-IL07D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL07D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL07D-P71","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 7th District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-IL07D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL07D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL07D-P74","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 7th District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-IL07D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL07D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL07D-P77","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 7th District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-IL07D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL07D"},{"connectedTicker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL07D-P80","connectedTitle":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 7th District House el","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXMIDTERMMOV-IL07D","groupLabel":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL07D"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T22:06:20.784Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3271.422927214727,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T22:21:25.855Z","priceCents":1,"iy":6609.742579473305,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T22:30:32.510Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3271.5246567048416,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T00:01:25.695Z","priceCents":65,"iy":124.0079365079365,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T23:45:55.083Z","priceCents":66,"iy":129.85409875918995,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T04:20:36.833Z","priceCents":61,"iy":105.2454144386215,"cri":1.564}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"high","reasoning":"Market resolved or at extreme price","positives":["8 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-IL07D-P56","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 7"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-IL07D-P59","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 7"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-IL07D-P62","reason":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 7"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20margin%20of%20victory%20for%20Democrats%20in%20the%20Illinois's%207","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":119}